So far Drake seems to be underperforming, so it's likely in 2 weeks he will not be a threat

However, Ella MAGAley is very strong in points and there are also rumors that Beyonce might be dropping part 3 that day.

Does she have the #1 on lock or will she have to pull a Yes and/Drop Dead?

I think she'll do the same numbers as 'drop dead' so it's likely, but Ella is quite strong so if it's not well received or promoted it could peak at #2

i think with vinyl and her big post-wicked profile it seems likely? she seems to be one of the few pop girls who (ironically) brings that kind of weight to the hot 100

absolutely

Yes. Choosin Texas is a strong #1 but it's not unbeatable. Beyoncé isn't releasing on the 29th and if she is it won't change anything. I love Bey but her singles don't debut #1 and her streaming can't compete with Ariana's.

Yes.

Yes. Also, Bey is not releasing that day. Don't let the fake insiders fool you

21 minutes ago, Tm4074 said:

Yes. Choosin Texas is a strong #1 but it's not unbeatable. Beyoncé isn't releasing on the 29th and if she is it won't change anything. I love Bey but her singles don't debut #1 and her streaming can't compete with Ariana's.

Texas Hold Em, her last lead single, did debut at #1 though

OT: Yes I think Ariana will safely be able to snatch a #1 debut with this one

Of course. Most streaming artists can easily debut at #1 these days as long as they're not completely irrelevant and their labels also "cheat" a lot to help that lol. Ariana is liked and she has received a lot of positive attention with the Wicked movie, I'm sure she'll debut at #1 if the song isn't atrocious.

Yes? And I hope so. She deserves

It's quite possible. She's a force so if the song is good and the radio deal is set then she is good to go.

Princess of Pop will do it.

Edited May 17May 17 by TaylorsSquad

Yes. "Yes... and?" did multiple variants to debut at #1, right? Unless Billboard changed the rules.

However, the main threat would be Ella in my opinion, she could perhaps pull a sales tactic as well to keep her on top for a few more weeks.

Do you guys think Ari's career is slowly declining, or is she steady? she has been consistent like P!nk in a sense.

i hope she does but her sales were never that strong, she revealed the single way too far ahead of its date so people already forgot that she's releasing on the 29th and eternal sunshine's singles didn't have any strong radio deal, so i'm kinda scared that she won't. but we will see

it's big mama grande. of course she will

7 minutes ago, honeymoonave said:

i hope she does but her sales were never that strong, she revealed the single way too far ahead of its date so people already forgot that she's releasing on the 29th and eternal sunshine's singles didn't have any strong radio deal, so i'm kinda scared that she won't. but we will see

yes, and? outsold drop dead in pure sales both in the US (53,000 vs 45,000) and globally. Both did variants. Her sales are solid. She may not even need the big of a cushion from pure sales, WCBF debuted #1 with just streaming carrying it. I think you're severely underestimating her lol, she has 7 #1 debuts only behind Taylor (8) and Drake (9).

She already has physicals ready to ship and will probably release remixes too if needed so yes she'll get it one way or another

Of course she will.

2 hours ago, makeawish said:

she seems to be one of the few pop girls who (ironically) brings that kind of weight to the hot 100

Gurl, I....

Hopefully she does. Wouldn't matter if she doesn't.

Of course she will. How much of a hold she'll have and how far she'll drop the next week is the real question, and I say this as an Ariana fan. We need her to bring it this time.

1 hour ago, LOTF said:

Gurl, I....

as a big ari fan i am actually a bit worried about her (tho she looks better on the new album sleeve) but ngl i saw it written out and i couldn't resist the pun...

5 hours ago, makeawish said:

i think with vinyl and her big post-wicked profile it seems likely? she seems to be one of the few pop girls who (ironically) brings that kind of weight to the hot 100

Bich