First day streaming debut Spotify:

Hot 100 debut:

Depends on the sound and whether the song is actually deserving of (lead) single status

Let it be announced first girl 

DWAS is doing 10~11M daily so somewhere around that 

Given that Happy Mistake did 1.1 million first day streams, I'll say: 

 

2.1 million first day streams, #45 on Spotify Global

Hot 100 debut: #12

COVID-24

#17

TikTok just has to latch onto it like they did with Die With A Smile and it'll have an opening at 6M+.

We need to hear it first. 

But its a Gaga lead single first time in 4.5 years so i expect Top10 debut. 

Which is fine for her standards, I prefer Top5 considering her solo Top5 per era streak and album opening with 200k+ like rest of her albums. 

1 minute ago, Femininomenon said:

DWAS is doing 10~11M daily so somewhere around that 

You can't use DWAS as an excuse if the lead does well tho. Know it sucks for you 

Just now, Hector said:

TikTok just has to latch onto it like they did with Die With A Smile and it'll have an opening at 6M+.

Looks like it will be promoted as modern Halloween hit with its theme and release

Half the posters in this thread have Lady Gaga Disease(LGD for short) and are experiencing symptoms of acute OGH and chronic onlineness as the disease takes its toll. 

 

I predict a psychiatrist is the only way to stop the spread among cats and swiffers

Edited October 18, 20241 yr by Sheep

The people wanting her to flop can't even troll properly, the second hand embarrassment is real. 

 

OT: anything around 6M first day on Spotify and top 10 on BBH100 will be a success

 

 

It will perform closer to Harlequin than DWAS

 

Top 5 for sure

Just now, playboi said:

It will perform closer to Harlequin than DWAS

 

I have no idea tbh, its a coin toss 

First day streaming debut Spotify: 15M

Hot 100 debut: #1

3 minutes ago, Princess Aurora said:

Top 5 for sure

And then free fall the next week like Stupid Love did? 

I think a Top 30 debut on the Hot 100 would be a win. It's been four and a half years since her last pop hit.

Just now, MatiRod said:

I think a Top 30 debut on the Hot 100 would be a win. It's been four and a half years since her last pop hit.

doesn't she literally have the biggest hit in the world right now tho

 

#3 Nurtec charts

In light of recent circumstances, 20-30 is my estimate. Maybe 3m streams? 

 

#1 on my Spotify Repeat playlist and  #1 song on my Spotify Wrapped year end charts 

 

5 minutes ago, KatyPrismSpirit said:

doesn't she literally have the biggest hit in the world right now tho

 

I mean, at least she was able to score a (smash) hit this year and strengthen her recurrents, so yeah

 

 

But to stay on topic, I guess a top 20-30 should be possible, it depends on its sound honestly