I think Disease should win.

I think Disease will win.

1 hour ago, Aston Martin said:

My Grammy predictions

• AOTY: DtMF (2nd most likely: Mayhem)

• ROTY: Luther (2nd most likely: Abracadabra)

• SOTY: Golden (seems pretty locked tbh)

• BNA: Leon Thomas (2nd most likely: Olivia Dean)

• Producer of the Year: Cirkut (him winning this makes Gaga a touch more likely to nab a GF win so I'm hoping he gets this but also think he's the most likely).

• Pop Vocal Album: Mayhem (2nd most likely: Man's Best Friend)

• Pop Solo: Manchild (2nd most likely: The Subway)

• Pop Duo: Golden (2nd most likely: Apt)

• Dance album: The Skrillex one (2nd most likely: Eusexua)

• Dance recording; Abracadabra

• Traditional pop album: A Matter of Time (2nd most likely: Harlequin)

I think the frustrating thing (at least with how I'm predicting things) is that Gaga's 2nd in multiple categories but only two awards seem definitively within reach (Dance Recording and Pop Vocal album, and the blind ballots showed that MBF is strong competition there). Even with vote splitting being taken into account, I still think that Gaga's largest chances for a GF award this year are in ROTY. But I'm definitely going into Grammys with low expectations. 

Yeah these are the safest bets, sadly (other than BNA which is a coin toss between Leon & Olivia).

The thing giving me hope is that at least one of AOTY/ROTY/SOTY has to be an upset. It's never that straightforward. AOTY & SOTY really do seem to be trending towards DTMF & Golden.

That leaves ROTY. Hopefully there is some Kendrick fatigue from the NLU sweep last year. I am hoping Abracadabra sneaks the win, but we shouldn't count out APT either. It was massive, and I don't see it walking away empty handed. Also, there's always a chance BB was stronger than expected & sweeps beyond AOTY.

I've rewired my expectations to hope she wins just one of these four: PVA, AOTY, ROTY, AOTY. Anything more is a bonus.

Edited January 26Jan 26 by Chaos Angel

i don't really need a performance tbh she'll just have gotten back from Japan and staring down the barrel of an inevitable snub in the major categories, so need to give them the goods when they can't give her a big award.

My hope is that Gaga is a pop veteran and that will push her over the edge. Voters know her Name And will reward her. If she loses Best pop album I fear it's Over for most categories.

All since 2017

3 wins in collaboration

2 wins in Traditional

1 in pop performance

hopefully the stat about them generally not giving Pop Vocal Album to the same artist twice in a row, or close together helps Gaga

3 hours ago, Artur said:

PITCHFORK / Grammy predictions

ROTY

will win APT

should win Abracadabra

"But if it's top-to-bottom production and performance the Grammys are allegedly after, "Abracadabra" should win. The MAYHEM single doesn't exactly warrant a Lifetime Achievement nod. But after a decade of the Academy pointedly rewarding Gaga's more traditionalist work, seeing her clinch her first Record of the Year for a song sharing more DNA with "Swine" than "Shallow" would be extremely satisfying. —Hattie Lindert"

AOTY

will win MAYHEM

should win Bad Bunny

Pop Vocal Album

will win MAYHEM

should win MAYHEM

"Now here's one that Lady Gaga can and should run away with handily. Let's break it down. "Pop": She last won Best Pop Vocal Album in 2011 for The Fame Monster, which reshaped pop music in its image, and Mayhem is arguably her best full-length project since. "Vocal": Nobody has pipes like Gaga, and a decade-and-a-half of training for the stage and screen has made her a more dynamic, expressive singer. "Album": Sure, after 17 tracks, Mayhem limps to the finish line a bit, but show me a stronger run of pop singles (and could've-been singles) from this year's eligibility period than "Disease" into "Abracadabra" into "Garden of Eden" into "Perfect Celebrity." It's hard to imagine even last year's winner, Sabrina Carpenter, standing a chance against the grande dame herself. —Walden Green"

Pitchfork deleted Joanne's win from history?

Garden of Eden is still so damn good, like who else could do that, that's a GAGA song

Edited January 26Jan 26 by WildAmerican

When r the grammys?

Hot predictor

14 minutes ago, infrared said:

My hope is that Gaga is a pop veteran and that will push her over the edge. Voters know her Name And will reward her. If she loses Best pop album I fear it's Over for most categories.

All since 2017

3 wins in collaboration

2 wins in Traditional

1 in pop performance

Omg never beating the CollagGa allegations

4 minutes ago, Canonical Ensembl said:

Hot predictor

ohh he could be my boyfriend for the night

35 minutes ago, Chaos Angel said:

I'm sorry but I can't believe Mayhem is being rivaled by the other album. We need to start being serious.

8 minutes ago, Yanko said:

When r the grammys?

Sunday

4 minutes ago, Teneo said:

I'm sorry but I can't believe Mayhem is being rivaled by the other album. We need to start being serious.

As much as a joke it seems to be MBF does have compelling reasons why it can win:

• It was huge throughout Grammy voting and remained in the Top 10 of BB200. Mayhem has been out of the top 50

• Younger voters could favor her

• Sabrina might be the new Grammy darling that voters are ready to award (think Billie in 2020-21)

Gaga has legacy and acclaim on her side, but Sabrina has a lot of recency bias. It really can go either way.

Edited January 26Jan 26 by Chaos Angel

58 minutes ago, Canonical Ensembl said:

Pitchfork deleted Joanne's win from history?

joanne didn't win pop vocal album lmao

Man's Best Friend is so dull

42 minutes ago, Chaos Angel said:

As much as a joke it seems to be MBF does have compelling reasons why it can win:

• It was huge throughout Grammy voting and remained in the Top 10 of BB200. Mayhem has been out of the top 50

• Younger voters could favor her

• Sabrina might be the new Grammy darling that voters are ready to award (think Billie in 2020-21)

Gaga has legacy and acclaim on her side, but Sabrina has a lot of recency bias. It really can go either way.

Unfortunately MBF is bad. It's virtually indistinguishable from Short and Sweet visually, sonically, and stylistically. It's the less-hot version of an album that already won, and it is absolutely absurd it's even in the running when a number of albums that didn't even get nominated are superior.

Yall doubt her way too much. She has a shot at a lot of these categories.

Streets saying Pitchfork always gets it wrong...

1 hour ago, helpthomas said:

joanne didn't win pop vocal album lmao

the song *****, he was listing all her wins since 2017

4 hours ago, RandomHooker said:

Britney Spears is as viable as a brick as a performer in 2026. The amount of delusion is shocking. Anyone who thinks she can make a comeback or occupy such a big stage needs to seek help. Even if she does it, it's going to be panned and a hard watch.

i mean it'd probably be promoted as goodbye concert or something so it might be very popular

Omg WhoaEddie227 just followed Gaga.

She's cooking something

Disease better win yall. It's a future classic.

8 minutes ago, LostInStereo100 said:

Omg WhoaEddie227 just followed Gaga.

She's cooking something

Disease better win yall. It's a future classic.

Who the **** is that?

Don't know if you guys are checking, but Gagamania is kind of in full force in Japan right now. The Mayhem Ball is being praised as one of the best western shows of all time, universal acclaim, people calling Gaga their mother…

I wonder if she'll get a chart re-peak there

Edited January 27Jan 27 by Edonis

37 minutes ago, Bad News said:

Streets saying Pitchfork always gets it wrong...

Yeah…yeah…