I'm gonna keep it cute and say 320k, prove me wrong neck! 

I have no doubt CC is gonna outdo Rennie in streaming, but I have no clue about pure sales.

 

1 hour ago, Devin said:

act ii: First Week Predictions

 

300K - Armani?

305K - PrettyHurts

315K - QueenB

335K - trainsskyscrapers

345K - Burn / luxurious / suneclipse121

350K - Massive_Teardrop

365K - Hallad173

366K - kimberly

375K - Lose My Breath / YellowRibbon

385K - cuteboyzay

388K - benyonce

397K - Slamless

400K - Devin / QueenDiva

401K - Redporus

404K - ShouldersSideways

412K - Kristie Kuwa 

420K - SashaDevachelli

450K - MrPiggyMoka

475K - cloudbusting

515K - Blue Rose

540K - PrudenceHCharmed

550K - Chris

 

350k 

Compared to our predictions for Reneigh

 

99K - nuclear 

150K - SashaDevachelli

175K - Almost Home

180K - Machete

200K - Devin

210K - Beyle Street

220K - Rafael

230K - Insomniac

250K - Starshine 

275K - Mitsouko

280K - Bey Admired / Destiny

300K - ATWK / Armani?

309.9K - MingYouToo

316.5K - Taz

320K - KingB.

325K - Massive_Teardrop

330K - Hallad173 / Iylana, Fix Me

340K - PrettyHurts

347K - RRJ

350K - Pepo / Mr Lovett / king_queen

360K - Wizard

363K - abeille
375K - Tripthelight 

400K - Hivy

405K - Space&Time 

430K - Quiqui4eva

444K - Nemo

482K - black-star1

503K - ShouldersSideways 

575K - satellites.™ 

1.5M - Material Girl 

Edited March 16, 20242 yr by Beyle Street

act ii: First Week Predictions

 

275K - sillycilla

300K - Armani?, Cbreezy

305K - PrettyHurts

315K - QueenB

320K - Starshine

335K - trainsskyscrapers

345K - Burn / luxurious / suneclipse121

350K - Massive_Teardrop / Beyle Street

365K - Hallad173, Jon Snow

366K - kimberly

375K - Lose My Breath, YellowRibbon

385K - cuteboyzay

388K - benyonce

397K - Slamless

400K - Devin, QueenDiva, Havoc, SoundsandSongs

401K - Redporus

404K - ShouldersSideways

412K - Kristie Kuwa 

420K - SashaDevachelli

450K - MrPiggyMoka

475K - cloudbusting

515K - Blue Rose

540K - PrudenceHCharmed

550K - Chris

 

love that Renaissance boost our confidence.

 

My prediction:

400k US

 

I expect better numbers than Renaissance worldwide given how global Texas is. 

35 minutes ago, Redporus said:

 You dream a lot, you dream in your sleep.

GIRL I CAN JUST FEEL IT!!!

Bey had like 130k from streaming at her weakest with Renaissance, but 200k in pure sales with a longer preorder timeframe.

 

I know Bey has the millennials/aunties on her side that refuse to transition to streaming, I think she can still pull 200k pure at the least due to how much more talked about CC is than Rennie. The Trumpies WILL be tuning in out of curiosity and word of mouth with travel faster than Nicki at a buffet.

 

Maybe 150k stream-equivalent and 200k pure = 350k 

Make the cover cvnty and it'll be 400k. 

Edited March 16, 20242 yr by Starshine

Less than Renaissance. 
 

We hate country music. 
 

400k debut. 

The set up and delusions. 
 

275k

4 minutes ago, sillycilla said:

The set up and delusions. 
 

275k

she will do close to this in pure numbers alone...lol

5 minutes ago, sillycilla said:

The set up and delusions. 
 

275k

honestly this is how i feel atm. i just don't see cc doing as many sales as ren. hell, the bulk of ren's presales probably happened before bms came out. people were interested to see what she was doing. i dont think cc preorder reached any kind of general audience 

Edited March 16, 20242 yr by PrettyHurts

7 minutes ago, Kingdom said:

she will do close to this in pure numbers alone...lol

I don’t see how. 
 

7 minutes ago, PrettyHurts said:

honestly this is how i feel atm. i just don't see cc doing as many sales as ren. hell, the bulk of ren's presales probably happened before bms came out. people were interested to see what she was doing. i dont think cc preorder reached any kind of general audience 

It hasn’t. That’s why I’m keeping my expectations low. They aren’t going to push the album beyond the cover reveal. 

10 minutes ago, PrettyHurts said:

honestly this is how i feel atm. i just don't see cc doing as many sales as ren. hell, the bulk of ren's presales probably happened before bms came out. people were interested to see what she was doing. i dont think cc preorder reached any kind of general audience 

You guys are crazy… I see the past trauma didn’t leave you, im happy Bey is gonna prove you wrong all over again

50 minutes ago, Devin said:

act ii: First Week Predictions

 

300K - Armani?

305K - PrettyHurts

315K - QueenB

320K - Starshine

335K - trainsskyscrapers

345K - Burn / luxurious / suneclipse121

350K - Massive_Teardrop / Beyle Street

365K - Hallad173

366K - kimberly

375K - Lose My Breath / YellowRibbon

385K - cuteboyzay

388K - benyonce

397K - Slamless

400K - Devin / QueenDiva / SoundsandSongs

401K - Redporus

404K - ShouldersSideways

412K - Kristie Kuwa 

420K - SashaDevachelli

450K - MrPiggyMoka

475K - cloudbusting

515K - Blue Rose

540K - PrudenceHCharmed

550K - Chris

 

love that Renaissance boost our confidence.

 

300k.

 

Gonna be cautious with it for now.

@Starshine’s breakdown is a pretty comprehensive and realistic take on things. What sis has gained in streaming traction, she arguably doesn’t have (yet) with the pace of preorders (which wouldn’t have been an issue with a longer preorder frame).

 

It’s also a little hard to gage. Because there are definitely Hive who have been vocal about sitting out the era because of the genre (I personally know a few). Yet, the GP gains thanks to Texas should fill in that gap. Theoretically. 
 

Gag worthy collabs with huge streamers could up the ante, as could having another Cuff If moment out of the gate. But personally like to work with what we know we have and also how she tends to operate with collabs these days (art not charts)

Before release though, the truest indication of the album’s potential will be when she posts the cover across her socials and plugs the preorder. At the moment, the preorders are from us die hard stans and those plugged into her broader online presence (Parkwood and Shop Beyonce pages). 

She's had to have done 75k in preorders already

zz

 

 

1 minute ago, Lose My Breath said:

She's had to have done 75k in preorders already

someone said 51k in the usa

1 hour ago, Devin said:

act ii: First Week Predictions

 

300K - Armani?

305K - PrettyHurts

315K - QueenB

320K - Starshine

335K - trainsskyscrapers

345K - Burn / luxurious / suneclipse121

350K - Massive_Teardrop / Beyle Street

365K - Hallad173

366K - kimberly

375K - Lose My Breath / YellowRibbon

385K - cuteboyzay

388K - benyonce

397K - Slamless

400K - Devin / QueenDiva / SoundsandSongs

401K - Redporus

404K - ShouldersSideways

412K - Kristie Kuwa 

420K - SashaDevachelli

450K - MrPiggyMoka

475K - cloudbusting

515K - Blue Rose

540K - PrudenceHCharmed

550K - Chris

 

love that Renaissance boost our confidence.

 

i'm feeling 365K

 

No promo for a completely new genre album, no 300k. That’s how I see it. 

1 hour ago, Devin said:

ato ii: previsões da primeira semana

 

275K - boba

300K - Armani?, Cbreezy

305K - Muito dói

315K - RainhaB

320K - brilho estelar

335K - trens arranha-céus

345K - Queimar / luxuoso / suneclipse121

350K - Massive_Teardrop / Rua Beyle

365K - Hallad173, Jon Snow

366K - Kimberly

375K - Perco o fôlego, YellowRibbon

385K - fofoboyzay

388K - Benyoncé

397K - sem batida

400K - Devin, QueenDiva, Havoc, SoundsandSongs

401K - Redporus

404K - Ombros Laterais

412K - Kristie Kuwa 

420K - SashaDevachelli

450K - MrPiggyMoka

475K - arrasador de nuvens

515K - Rosa Azul

540K - PrudênciaHEncantada

550K - Chris

 

amo esse Renascimento aumentar nossa confiança.

 

450k

250k is the worst case scenario I think. 130k from streaming is pretty much on lock if Renaissance pulled that after stagnant streaming growth and her Wakanda forever image for half a decade. The Hive and some obsessed Liddos were the main ones streaming that album. And I'm sawry the American GP did not care, they absolutely did not because it was a House album. They didn't even care for it until Cuff Hit smashed on TikTok and gave it legs. CC will fare better on streaming and have larger GP support. And we don't have to worry about the Hive dropping CC due to it being country because we'd still tune into Bey queefing on a folk track regardless, it WILL be quality. The genre does not matter. 

 

The only uncertainty are the pure sales. She could at the least pull 100k pure, Ariana is doing 70k and she has a way less dedicated fanbase and has uglee covers.  Vinyl sales will be fine, CD sales is where the uncertainty is. The Hive were operating on hype.. it was a brand new era after 6 years. We all rushed to buy and some ended up disappointed with the pose boxes, some reported crumbs in theirs, now we have hindsight regarding the quality upon arrival. I think the GP will do more heavy lifting this era.

 

But we do know 

 

Rennie vinyls: 33k first week

CC vinyls: 50k as of right now (?)

 

So it's looking up. I think it'll end up looking more like 150-170K streaming with her having a larger presence today than 2022. And I'm gonna keep it very conservative with 150k pure. She's always manages to outdo expectations, I want the shock of a lifetime. 250k pure alone is not impossible for her.

 

 

 

 

Edited March 16, 20242 yr by Starshine

45 minutes ago, sillycilla said:

The set up and delusions. 
 

275k

This makes no sense. Why would she have her lowest first week sales with a smash #1 hit as a lead? 

 

You are underestimating the power and hype a BEYONCE album brings.  There will be a Cuff It-esque hit on the album that will go viral almost immediately. Mark my words. 

Edited March 16, 20242 yr by Havoc

34 minutes ago, Jon Snow said:

i'm feeling 365K

 

Same. 

21 minutes ago, Starshine said:

250k is the worst case scenario I think. 130k from streaming is pretty much on lock if Renaissance pulled that after stagnant streaming growth and her Wakanda forever image for half a decade. The Hive and some obsessed Liddos were the main ones streaming that album. And I'm sawry the American GP did not care, they absolutely did not because it was a House album. They didn't even care for it until Cuff Hit smashed on TikTok and gave it legs. CC will fare better on streaming and have larger GP support. And we don't have to worry about the Hive dropping CC due to it being country because we'd still tune into Bey queefing on a folk track regardless, it WILL be quality. The genre does not matter. 

 

The only uncertainty are the pure sales. She could at the least pull 100k pure, Ariana is doing 70k and she has a way less dedicated fanbase and has uglee covers.  Vinyl sales will be fine, CD sales is where the uncertainty is. The Hive were operating on hype.. it was a brand new era after 6 years. We all rushed to buy and some ended up disappointed with the pose boxes, some reported crumbs in theirs, now we have hindsight regarding the quality upon arrival. I think the GP will do more heavy lifting this era.

 

But we do know 

 

Rennie vinyls: 33k first week

CC vinyls: 50k as of right now (?)

 

So it's looking up. I think it'll end up looking more like 150-170K streaming with her having a larger presence today than 2022. And I'm gonna keep it very conservative with 150k pure. She's always manages to outdo expectations, I want the shock of a lifetime. 250k pure alone is not impossible for her.

 

 

 

 

honey renee did 26k vinyls first week because it was very limited...

25 minutes ago, Starshine said:

We all rushed to buy and some ended up disappointed with the pose boxes, some reported crumbs in theirs, now we have hindsight regarding the quality upon arrival. I think the GP will do more heavy lifting this era.

 

ZJFBAHJFBHSFBAHJSA this actually makes me laugh out loud every time and the way you slipped it in so casually made it even better