20 minutes ago, YellowRibbon said:

Finally got some free time...

 

Okay... I don't think YouTube is a good indicative of Spotify streams for her any longer, especially because Latin America (sans Brazil) and Southest Asia are not exactly Beyoncé's stronger markets. 

 

Let's do a little breakdown and predictions...

 

  Hide contents

Apple Music's top music markets are the US, UK, Canada, Australia and Mexico.

 

Important Spotify Markets in Latin America based on Apple Music's performance

 

Argentina: okay so here the song's sitting at #49 right now, two spots behind Harry's "Matilda". Matilda got 30K filtered streams there yesterday so I think Bey's doing between 25K - 38K filtered streams there (it could either miss the Argentinian Top 200 or chart in the 180's/190's...

 

 

Chile: the song's at #79 right now there, international pop songs tend to do a lot better on Apple Music than on Spotify here (per example, Taylor's Willow peaked at #6 on the overall AM chart but it barely debuted in the 140's)... I expect the song to not make it to the top 200 (<25K filtered streams)

 

Brazil: the song rose to the #1 spot of Apple Music Brazil very quick, Beyoncé's strongest Latin American market is Brazil precisely so I expect her to clear between 350K - 500K filtered streams (Top 5-10)

 

Mexico: song's at #62 on AM and the Mexican AM Chart is very similar to the Spotify Chart, I think she can land between #90-100 tomorrow (155K-170K streams)

 

Other countries: ~50K - 70K streams

 

Streams from Latin America: 600K - 800K

 

Important Spotify Markets in Anglo-America based on Apple Music's performance

 

Canada: song's sitting at #12 right now and non rap songs tend to do better on Spotify. I expect her to make it to the top 10. (140K - 200K streams)

 

United States:  she's at #4 on AM right now and the Spotify tracking day is over so she should have a Top 10 debut on Spotify locked since non-rap songs usually have a better performance on that platform. (1M - 1.5M streams)

 

Streams from Anglo America: 1.14M - 1.7M 

 

Important Spotify Markets in Oceania based on Apple Music's performance

 

New Zealand: she's at #7 there on AM and the Top 10 of Spotify yesterday was almost the same as Apple Music's so... She will land another Top 10 debut there. (21K - 30K streams) 

 

Australia: she's at #11 and should have no problem getting another top 10 debut on Spotify. (127K - 140K)

 

Streams from Oceania: 148K - 170K streams

 

Important Spotify Markets in Asia based on Apple Music's performance

 

 

Japan: she's not in the top 200 of AM there so I'm not expecting a Top 200 debut (<30K streams)

 

The Philippines: she's at 16, one spot above Lizzo and three spots above Taylor's All Too Well 10M... Lizzo was at #23 yesterday with ~145K streams while Taylor was at #49 with ~100K streams... Since Bey's above both on AM, I'm gonna say that she's debuting inside the top 20 of Spotify Philippines with 160K  - 180K streams.

 

Indonesia: she's not in the Top 200 of AM so I doubt she's gonna make it to the top 200 of Spotify (<45K streams)

 

India: for some reason she has two versions charting at #96 and at #120... That should be enough to make similar numbers to Ed's Perfect (#76 on AM India) so... (100K - 120K streams)

 

Other countries: 50K - 100K 

 

Streams from Asia: 360K - 470K streams

 

Important Spotify Markets in Europe based on Apple Music's performance

 

Germany: she's at #18 and the performance between AM and Spotify there seems to be pretty even so I'm predicting (185K - 200K streams) 

 

France: international songs do way better on Spotify than on AM there. Bey's #17 which is 6 spots above Harry's As It Was. AIW got 209K (#10 on Spotify) streams in France yesterday. Kate Bush is at #19 on AM now and was at #4 on Spotify yesterday with +255K streams. These comparisons lead me to believe that Bey's debuting in the Top 3 of Spotify France with 260K - 300K streams. 

 

Spain: she's at #24 on AM there and international artists tend to do better on AM. I expect a Top 50 debut with 140K - 160K streams. 

 

United Kingdom: she's at #1 on AM there. Kate did 591K streams on Spotify yesterday so I'm gonna predict 600K - 650K

 

Sweden: she's between Kate and Harry on AM right now, both were at #6 and #7 on Spotify yesterday respectively so I'm gonna go with 95K - 105K streams there, another Top 10 debut. 

 

The Netherlands: she's at #1 on AM there and ahead of the #1 and #2 song on Spotify yesterday. I'm gonna predict 210K - 230K streams. #1 tomorrow.

 

Italy: she's at #24 there and the AM/Spotify relation seems to be pretty even for international songs. She should debut in the Top 20 with 145K - 180K streams. 

 

Streams from other countries: 350K - 500K (since she also seems to be performing well in Norway/Belgium, etc)

 

European Streams: 1.98M - 2.17M

 

Streams from Africa are still low so I'm gonna go with 80K - 100K from the entire continent. 

 

That brings us to a total of 4.3M - 5.4M filtered

 

Keep in mind that this is just my prediction... Anyways goodnight Hive

 

PD: after listening to it obsessedly, the song finally grew on me

 

 

 

 

Thank you for this break down! 

Just now, Ari29 said:

After having this on repeat all day I feel like RENAISSANCE might serve a Black Is King type visual project. I keep trying to think of a visual that fits the song, and with lyrics so far removed from Beyonce (9-5), the only thing I can come up with that’s similar is Black Is King. 
 

Kinda makes sense if you think about the way her visuals progressed from ST to LEM to BIK 

I'm still holding out hope the rumor Zendaya is in it is true and that its a Netflix series.

Is it me or does it sound like she updated the single on Tidal with a better quality version?

1 minute ago, Mr. Specialist said:

Is it me or does it sound like she updated the single on Tidal with a better quality version?

Never heard of that before

1 minute ago, ShouldersSideways said:

I'm still holding out hope the rumor Zendaya is in it is true and that its a Netflix series.

First time I’m hearing of the Zendaya rumor, I’ll have to look into it but I hope it’s true too. 

3 minutes ago, Mr. Specialist said:

Is it me or does it sound like she updated the single on Tidal with a better quality version?

It definitely sounds different now than it did when it was first uploaded. I don’t remember if the little m was there last night but I feel like it was?
 

Either way the quality sounds different using the exact same headphones to me as well 

Just now, Ari29 said:

First time I’m hearing of the Zendaya rumor, I’ll have to look into it but I hope it’s true too. 

I'm sure its fake but we've manifested so much so far this era might as well keep going.

 

She's a true stan so its not surprising, but she's been sharing everything so far. The idea of her as the protagonist in a film or series

 

She missed the MET in May because she was filming and said she'd be playing tennis, which references the movie she's going to star in but multiple outlets reported filming on that wouldn't begin until June.

27 minutes ago, YellowRibbon said:

Finally got some free time...

 

Okay... I don't think YouTube is a good indicative of Spotify streams for her any longer, especially because Latin America (sans Brazil) and Southest Asia are not exactly Beyoncé's stronger markets. 

 

Let's do a little breakdown and predictions...

 

  Hide contents

Apple Music's top music markets are the US, UK, Canada, Australia and Mexico.

 

Important Spotify Markets in Latin America based on Apple Music's performance

 

Argentina: okay so here the song's sitting at #49 right now, two spots behind Harry's "Matilda". Matilda got 30K filtered streams there yesterday so I think Bey's doing between 25K - 38K filtered streams there (it could either miss the Argentinian Top 200 or chart in the 180's/190's...

 

 

Chile: the song's at #79 right now there, international pop songs tend to do a lot better on Apple Music than on Spotify here (per example, Taylor's Willow peaked at #6 on the overall AM chart but it barely debuted in the 140's)... I expect the song to not make it to the top 200 (<25K filtered streams)

 

Brazil: the song rose to the #1 spot of Apple Music Brazil very quick, Beyoncé's strongest Latin American market is Brazil precisely so I expect her to clear between 350K - 500K filtered streams (Top 5-10)

 

Mexico: song's at #62 on AM and the Mexican AM Chart is very similar to the Spotify Chart, I think she can land between #90-100 tomorrow (155K-170K streams)

 

Other countries: ~50K - 70K streams

 

Streams from Latin America: 600K - 800K

 

Important Spotify Markets in Anglo-America based on Apple Music's performance

 

Canada: song's sitting at #12 right now and non rap songs tend to do better on Spotify. I expect her to make it to the top 10. (140K - 200K streams)

 

United States:  she's at #4 on AM right now and the Spotify tracking day is over so she should have a Top 10 debut on Spotify locked since non-rap songs usually have a better performance on that platform. (1M - 1.5M streams)

 

Streams from Anglo America: 1.14M - 1.7M 

 

Important Spotify Markets in Oceania based on Apple Music's performance

 

New Zealand: she's at #7 there on AM and the Top 10 of Spotify yesterday was almost the same as Apple Music's so... She will land another Top 10 debut there. (21K - 30K streams) 

 

Australia: she's at #11 and should have no problem getting another top 10 debut on Spotify. (127K - 140K)

 

Streams from Oceania: 148K - 170K streams

 

Important Spotify Markets in Asia based on Apple Music's performance

 

 

Japan: she's not in the top 200 of AM there so I'm not expecting a Top 200 debut (<30K streams)

 

The Philippines: she's at 16, one spot above Lizzo and three spots above Taylor's All Too Well 10M... Lizzo was at #23 yesterday with ~145K streams while Taylor was at #49 with ~100K streams... Since Bey's above both on AM, I'm gonna say that she's debuting inside the top 20 of Spotify Philippines with 160K  - 180K streams.

 

Indonesia: she's not in the Top 200 of AM so I doubt she's gonna make it to the top 200 of Spotify (<45K streams)

 

India: for some reason she has two versions charting at #96 and at #120... That should be enough to make similar numbers to Ed's Perfect (#76 on AM India) so... (100K - 120K streams)

 

Other countries: 50K - 100K 

 

Streams from Asia: 360K - 470K streams

 

Important Spotify Markets in Europe based on Apple Music's performance

 

Germany: she's at #18 and the performance between AM and Spotify there seems to be pretty even so I'm predicting (185K - 200K streams) 

 

France: international songs do way better on Spotify than on AM there. Bey's #17 which is 6 spots above Harry's As It Was. AIW got 209K (#10 on Spotify) streams in France yesterday. Kate Bush is at #19 on AM now and was at #4 on Spotify yesterday with +255K streams. These comparisons lead me to believe that Bey's debuting in the Top 3 of Spotify France with 260K - 300K streams. 

 

Spain: she's at #24 on AM there and international artists tend to do better on AM. I expect a Top 50 debut with 140K - 160K streams. 

 

United Kingdom: she's at #1 on AM there. Kate did 591K streams on Spotify yesterday so I'm gonna predict 600K - 650K

 

Sweden: she's between Kate and Harry on AM right now, both were at #6 and #7 on Spotify yesterday respectively so I'm gonna go with 95K - 105K streams there, another Top 10 debut. 

 

The Netherlands: she's at #1 on AM there and ahead of the #1 and #2 song on Spotify yesterday. I'm gonna predict 210K - 230K streams. #1 tomorrow.

 

Italy: she's at #24 there and the AM/Spotify relation seems to be pretty even for international songs. She should debut in the Top 20 with 145K - 180K streams. 

 

Streams from other countries: 350K - 500K (since she also seems to be performing well in Norway/Belgium, etc)

 

European Streams: 1.98M - 2.17M

 

Streams from Africa are still low so I'm gonna go with 80K - 100K from the entire continent. 

 

That brings us to a total of 4.3M - 5.4M filtered

 

Keep in mind that this is just my prediction... Anyways goodnight Hive

 

PD: after listening to it obsessedly, the song finally grew on me

 

 

 

 

Wow this is so cool. Never seen you before please be more active during Renaissance's eras cuz we really need it. Thank you!

I want her to vogue during the rap part (but choreography) with a bunch of girls. 
 

The queens in the front and the doms in the back

Ain’t takin no flicks but the whole clique snapped

There’s a whole lotta people in the HOUSE

Tryna smoke with the Yak in they mouth

Lol the way people on TikTok are using the sound for any and everything and it just works!

We should get the first day stream report in the next 12-16 hours.

Imagine Formation on streaming after the Super Bowl  

29 minutes ago, GodSaveTheQueen said:

Lol the way people on TikTok are using the sound for any and everything and it just works!

They eatin the song up! Can’t wait for the video!

1 minute ago, ShouldersSideways said:

Imagine Formation on streaming after the Super Bowl  

Listen! A record would have been SET! Even though she did break records but it would be been more monstrous 

 

7 minutes ago, ShouldersSideways said:

 

 

Atp, I’d rather they just say ion like the ***** and feel victimized by her willingness to try new things and remain versatile in her career field. 

The placeholder cover is killing me

when do we find out first day spotify numbers? and will they be a full day?

1 hour ago, GodSaveTheQueen said:

Lol the way people on TikTok are using the sound for any and everything and it just works!

 

Her mind! A radio smasha, a gym smasha, a club smasha and now a TikTok smasha 

 

 

 

27 minutes ago, ShouldersSideways said:

 

Listen, I’m muting all the haters for this Era. Not being distracted by the nonsense

The way shes reclaiming INTERNATIONAL WHITE STRAIGHTS with this new sound... I CAN stand it 

 

Now we have a global smash on our hands, a moment of silence for moments that could have been.

 

Schoolin Life literally should have been the lead to 4, a true representation of the album and a flawless pop song 

 

Haunted was her Frozen, an alternative bop that showed her growth and would of evolved her brand in the eyes of the GP (honorable mention goes to Mine)

 

 

Partition, now the most popular song from ST despite not being a single outside of the US Urban Radio

 

Flawless/Flawlesz remix, we see "woke up like this" everywhere despite it not being formally released. 200m streams on Spotify despite the remix arriving on streaming services 6months late 

 

Hold Up, tidal exclusivity aside it was sabotaged by her trying to push Sorry as the lead single. Now look at theit streams and let's see who was really lead single potential 

 

Daddy Lessons. Not even a fan of this song but its the most popular album track for a reason (honorable mention 6inch) and another olive branch to non fans & adult contemporary radio which is where LOT gained its wings  

 

Find Your Way back. Should have been pushed instead of Mood 4 Ever. Remembering The Lion King is kids film, give them the feel good summer bop (ala Happy/Can't Stop The Feeling) 

 

 

------

 

 

Can't believe we're about to get an era with good choices being made 

 

 

I heard it in my sleep

4 hours ago, Blue Rose said:

Hopefully zero

This music video is gonna send you into a frenzy then lol.

 

Think Macarena, very gay, the pauses in the song are meant for callback chants, everybody (EVERYBODY!), and it’s gonna start a new dance craze for sure.

 

tik tok will eat it up all summer