I'm kinda surprised I haven't found a single thread predicting Watch It Burn chart debut/success, but here we are! Anticipating her upcoming alleged 15th comeback song, predict "Watch It Burn" debut!

Spotify Global: 2.5m-3m (awesome), ~2m (decent), ~1.5m (expected), <1m (terrible)

Youtube: probably 3m views

I hope it's similar to RUNWAY at least

Just now, Iceland said:

I hope it's similar to RUNWAY at least

so nearly a 3m debut and 400k daily streams a month from now

Just now, GAGAISTHEBESTYA said:

so nearly a 3m debut and 400k daily streams a month from now

Most likely from now

That would be good numbers for an indie artist like Katie

OUT-OUT bh100

360k streams first day US

902k streams first day WW

#88 norway first day spotify, OUT second day

I'm a bit confused cause Katy is acting like it's the next big thing to her fans but then down playing the song on podcasts as her 'just needing to express' to bridge into KP7.

Debut will be higher if they allow her on TTH after TOTGA and her monthly listener success. .

I'll go for 2.3m debut, 2.6m if on TTH. 2.5m for MV. The song flops, but crosses 100m streams and does better on UK chart and maybe HAC format.

Keep expectations low.

1 minute ago, Mr. Stratus said:

I'm a bit confused cause Katy is acting like it's the next big thing to her fans but then down playing the song on podcasts as her 'just needing to express' to bridge into KP7.

Debut will be higher if they allow her on TTH after TOTGA and her monthly listener success. .

I'll go for 2.3m debut, 2.6m if on TTH. 2.5m for MV. The song flops, but crosses 100m streams and does better on UK chart and maybe HAC format.

Keep expectations low.

yeah it's not gonna smash on HAC with that loud ass instrumental

Edited June 25Jun 25 by GAGAISTHEBESTYA

a very stable start and a worldwide #1 smash hit

lizzo's numbers

I'm sure it will be MASSIVE since Kay Tee Mania

Just now, Infernal Paradise said:

I'm sure it will be MASSIVE since Kay Tee Mania

as long as it ends up being a moderate 60-million-streamed track after 2 years, it's a success

1.5m

Solo songs Abracadabra and Disease respectively debuted with 4.9M and 4.5M, and we are consistently told by a certain fanbase that their fave is only below Gaga because "CollabGa!", so I fear we should expect a 5M debut at minimum.

7 minutes ago, Iceland said:

Most likely from now

That would be good numbers for an indie artist like Katie

then it won't be similar to Runway but rather just any of her single this decade

Just now, Pop Art said:

Solo songs Abracadabra and Disease respectively debuted with 4.9M and 4.5M, and we are consistently told by a certain fanbase that their fave is only below Gaga because "CollabGa!", so I fear we should expect a 5M debut at minimum.

I'm perched for her

What makes you think a Katy Perry song will pull the numbers you're saying?

That being said I use her music.

1.43M → second day drop -57%

9 minutes ago, GAGAISTHEBESTYA said:

as long as it ends up being a moderate 60-million-streamed track after 2 years, it's a success

In the KatyKat world with inverse laws, that translates to a HUGE global smash so you're a bit wrong with underplaying it as just a "success", I fear

Edited June 25Jun 25 by Infernal Paradise

1.5m first day and then stabilizing at 50k in a month

Similar to her boatmate

around 2.1M debut on Spotify (somwhere between #60-#80).

2M on YouTube

I can see this being bigger than bandaids

It won't even chart

3 minutes ago, Ribbit said:

It won't even chart

I agree. No shade, when is the last time someone cared about Katy besides the big major hype pre-Woman's World (before we heard that flop of a single produced by an awful person)

Katy's gonna be lucky if she makes it to #91 and that's being gracious.