46 minutes ago, Mark Rih said:

 

Give Your Heart A Break, peaked at #16. I’m kinda confident BMH can go top 15 in 2 weeks, we’ll see 

Oh right I forgot about the first radio fueled hit

 

Yeah I do think this will def go Top 15 cuz I don’t see why the great updates will suddenly stop in the next 2 weeks 

x3. Break My Heart : 15.157 (+337) | 68.927  (+1.704)

yes due yes hit

It makes no sense to compare when radio has been losing so much power. Before 2018 only a total of 4 pop radio number-ones missed the Top 10 on the Hot 100, while in 2018 alone 4 songs did so. Also Close to Me (2018) was #2 on pop / #1 on HAC that year and it peaked at #24 on the Hot 100.

 

Less people listening to radio and dead sales, which used to be the huge advantage for pop and directly impacted by airplay.

 

Mediabase peaks this year:

Blinding Lights: 160m

Circles: 145m

Say So: 143m

Memories: 141m

DSN: 139m

 

Compare to:

Happy (2014) : 305m

All Of Me (2013) : 272m

Shape of You (2017) : 250m

That's What I Like (2017) : 230m

 

 

 

And talking about Break My Heart:

The radio number that used to count for the Hot 100 was approximately Mediabase (kworb) x 0.72 two months ago. On June 1 it was reduced for the 2nd week in a row, down to Mediabase x 0.48.

BMH radio with old formula: 67.30m

BMH radio with new formula: 44.87m

~22.5m less audience counted for the H100. Just two months ago the prospects for a Top 10 would have been very good. It's not a smash hit, but nothing fishy going on either.

 

I think the following example illustrates it very well:

March 23: (normal H100 formula)
Billboard Hot 100: #18 (+8) My Oh My

Chart positions:

Radio: #14 (72m)
iTunes: 73
Spotify: 62
Apple Music: 228

 

July 7: (significantly reduced radio impact)

Billboard Hot 100: #20 (+3) Break My Heart

Chart positions:

Radio: #9 (86m)
iTunes: 34
Spotify: 47
Apple Music: 110

 

Edited July 13, 20206 yr by NightCrawler

POP

1. Blinding Lights : 16.903 (-49) | 84.289 (+0.404)

2. Falling : 16.610 (+35) | 71.099 (+0.325)

3. Break My Heart : 15.399 (+242) | 69.977 (+1.050)

4 (+1) Roses : 13.993 (+161) | 64.087 (+0.234)

5 (-1) Say So : 13.934 (-300) | 63.139 (-1.212)

6. Adore You : 12.934 (+34)  | 72.224 (+0.200)

7 (+1) Savage : 12.540 (+192) | 56.504 (+0.594)

8 (+1) Watermelon Sugar : 12.452 (+450) | 62.409 (+1.781)

9 (-2) Intentions : 12.179 (-322) | 52.579 (-0.963)

10. Before You Go : 10.457 (+90) | 48.607 (+0.535)

 

11. Rain On Me : 10.302 (+87) | 44.828 (+0.230)

12. Sunday Best : 9.709 (+103) | 40.551 (+0.118)

13. Supalonely : 8.956 (+32) | 42.285 (-0.270)

14. Coffee For Your Head : 8.568 (+93) | 37.163 (+0.376)

15. Be Kind : 7.590 (-37) | 26.546 (-0.380)

16. Blueberry Faygo : 7.077 (+113) | 30.710 (+0.285)

17. Rockstar : 7.015 (+112) | 32.577 (+0.625)

18. If The World Was Ending : 5.790 (+114) | 25.104 (+0.413)

19 (+1) I Hope : 4.837 (+151) | 18.863 (+0.689)

20 (+1) Like That : 4.724 (+167) | 19.083 (+0.203)

 

21 (-2) Stuck With U : 4.344 (-469) | 16.682 (-2.149)

22 (+1) Past Life : 3.978 (+355) | 17.720 (+1.558)

23 (+1) MAMACITA : 3.708 (+103) | 14.040 (+0.612)

24 (+1) Heartless : 3.446 (+29) | 9.887 (+0.007)

25 (+1) Savage Love : 2.934 (+292) | 14.273 (+1.230)

26 (+1) Daisies : 2.654 (+50) | 8.735 (+0.099)

27 (+1) 100 Ways : 2.418 (+32) | 6.991 (+0.108)

28 (+1) Drinks : 2.363 (+54) | 6.436 (+0.080)

29 (+1) Don't Rush : 1.822 (+81)  | 5.957 (+0.332)

30 (+1) Bang! : 1.645 (+87) | 4.018 (+0.616)

Dua

Harry with +450 KING

Ms Gomez coming for another smash with Past Life

Abel not giving up that easily. C'mon Dua!

 

I'm surprised PL is coming very hard.

 

Roses #4 And probably its peak.

Im not liking Past Life’s performance especially seeing its performance on streaming 

I hope Break my Heart blocks Falling

Dua sis slow down we need to peak in 2 weeks

9 hours ago, NightCrawler said:

It makes no sense to compare when radio has been losing so much power. Before 2018 only a total of 4 pop radio number-ones missed the Top 10 on the Hot 100, while in 2018 alone 4 songs did so. Also Close to Me (2018) was #2 on pop / #1 on HAC that year and it peaked at #24 on the Hot 100.

 

Less people listening to radio and dead sales, which used to be the huge advantage for pop and directly impacted by airplay.

 

Mediabase peaks this year:

Blinding Lights: 160m

Circles: 145m

Say So: 143m

Memories: 141m

DSN: 139m

 

Compare to:

Happy (2014) : 305m

All Of Me (2013) : 272m

Shape of You (2017) : 250m

That's What I Like (2017) : 230m

 

 

 

And talking about Break My Heart:

The radio number that used to count for the Hot 100 was approximately Mediabase (kworb) x 0.72 two months ago. On June 1 it was reduced for the 2nd week in a row, down to Mediabase x 0.48.

BMH radio with old formula: 67.30m

BMH radio with new formula: 44.87m

~22.5m less audience counted for the H100. Just two months ago the prospects for a Top 10 would have been very good. It's not a smash hit, but nothing fishy going on either.

 

I think the following example illustrates it very well:

March 23: (normal H100 formula)
Billboard Hot 100: #18 (+8) My Oh My

Chart positions:

Radio: #14 (72m)
iTunes: 73
Spotify: 62
Apple Music: 228

 

July 7: (significantly reduced radio impact)

Billboard Hot 100: #20 (+3) Break My Heart

Chart positions:

Radio: #9 (86m)
iTunes: 34
Spotify: 47
Apple Music: 110

 

Hopefully this will end any attempt at BMH vs MOM

 

enough is enough

 

 

22 minutes ago, selenachris said:

Im not liking Past Life’s performance especially seeing its performance on streaming 

They'not even trying with streaming, the song is not even in Top 25 on TTH (it peaked on #26 if I'm not wrong) . They're pushing hard on radio but zero on streaming. 

30 minutes ago, Mark Rih said:

Dua sis slow down we need to peak in 2 weeks

If it peaks next Monday it will be useless because she will be blocked by 450 Juice Wrld songs   

Just now, Green said:

If it peaks next Monday it will be useless because she will be blocked by 450 Juice Wrld songs   

Exactly. Peak in 2 weeks and secure that top 15

3. Break My Heart : 15.399 (+242) | 69.977 (+1.050)

yes yes yes it wasn't a fluke

Selena 

This is Dua on POP she'll take just as long to decline as she did to rise.

Adore You could be back in positive bullets tomorrow. 

 

Break My Heart could be #1 this week. And I expect Watermelon Sugar to take over the following week. Funnily enough it would be the second time Harry Styles replaces Dua Lipa at #1 on pop this year. 

Edited July 13, 20206 yr by SignificantOther

Scooter his power

 

9 (-2) Intentions : 12.179 (-322) | 52.579 (-0.963)

21 (-2) Stuck With U : 4.344 (-469) | 16.682 (-2.149)

Dua and Harry deservedly SLAYING pop radio this year  

 

I still wish Lights Up and Physical got their chances  

Edited July 13, 20206 yr by State of Grace.

ROM on power on every radio station in Toronto. You can't escape this song even if you tried.

25 (+1) Savage Love : 2.934 (+292) | 14.273 (+1.230)

31 minutes ago, Raphy23 said:

ROM on power on every radio station in Toronto. You can't escape this song even if you tried.

Love that for her! 

Watermelon Sugar

2 hours ago, LCTV said:

This is Dua on POP she'll take just as long to decline as she did to rise.

True, they're never done with her