slas

But I was told she was forgotten and was Paula Abdul the second

Manchild's run is one of the weirdest I've seen. Big debut but frontloaded inside the top 10, then crazy good longevity outside the top 10 afterwards on Spotify. This could be like that.

I can't tell which song will top IFPI because the top 4 is close with Billboard's global numbers (Die With A Smile is #1 there), but I think it's going to be Ordinary because IFPI downweights streams from SEA/LatAM regions heavily starting in 2024, so it will be downweighted the least presumably My guess Ordinary - 1.96B Die With A Smile - 1.90B Golden - 1.84B APT. - 1.81B

The formula change benefited all songs significantly -- streams & radio got boosted in absolute terms by like 15-30% on average: I would say the formula change added more points than YouTube lost points (5-20%) on average

Bring back autoplay of CURRENT hits. Spotify's 2024 autoplay algorithm created monocultural smashes left and right. People complained but it's needed in this era of fragmented listening habits to bring back popular music to a good state.

What are your thoughts? Did Gaga and Bruno really produce the biggest song ever? MediaTraffic isn't official, but their numbers certainly aren't unfounded: - Die With A Smile spent 18 weeks at #1 on the official Billboard Global 200 chart, the most for any non-holiday song ever. - Die With A Smile spent 60 weeks in the top 10 of the BBG200, the most ever in its (short) history, but possibly all time (or on par with Blinding Lights) if it dated far back to 1950s given slow turnover of charts nowadays. It's #9 this week. - According to Talk of the Charts, Die With A Smile earned 17.6 million global chart units in its first 52 weeks (the most EVER this decade), while Blinding Lights earned only 12.9 million. IIRC this also might be bigger than Shape of You and Despacito under the same formula. - Billboard places Blinding Lights officially at #1 of all time on the Hot 100, but it performed even better globally, and Die With A Smile has done better than Blinding Lights during its first 65 weeks on the global charts - both in terms of raw units and Billboard's "all-time" point system. - It spent an INSANE 201 days at #1 on daily Spotify Global. No other song comes close. - It's the fastest song ever to 1 billion, 2 billion, and 3 billion streams in Spotify history. Is MediaTraffic's formula too biased to modern songs? MediaTraffic has an absurd number of 2024 songs in its top 10, but 2024 was an insane year for streams. But still, it shows they're giving too much weight to the current era, no? There's also another clearly questionable stat on their chart: Candle in the Wind 1997 is #1 on their all-time chart - this, while valid, is sort of an "artifact" of its insane sales - yes it was huge at its peak, but it's also entirely forgotten nowadays. Billboard's system manages to cancel this type of effect out by not considering real points (e.g. Hello also gets downweighted from this system, which is also low key forgotten now given its poor recurrent stats.) I don't think either of those apply to Die With A Smile, though. Talk of the Charts' 2020s decade chart, which uses Billboard's Hot 100 point system, puts Die With A Smile at #2, quite a ways from Blinding Lights, but certainly not out of reach of #1 in some years.

Coincidentally, it also became the Hot 100's #1 song ever according to TOTC/Pulse trackers this week, suprassing Blinding Lights. It was also much faster to Diamond than BL, so

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The #1 is probably around 1.1B now. I doubt it does <100K a day

Week old numbers from TOTC 1. Nokia 2.22M 2. I'm The Problem 2.18M 3. Ordinary 2.01M 4. DtMF ~1.95M (fell off the chart; chartdata #3 since the luminate source he uses includes UGC) 5. BAILE INoLVIDABLE ~1.6M (fell off the chart) 6. Just in Case 1.50M 7. Sports car 1.48M 8. NUEVAYoL ~1.4M (fell off the chart) 9. Abracadabra 1.27M 10. Anxiety 1.14M --- This is much worse than last year, as you can imagine 1. Beautiful Things 3.21M 2. Like That 2.55M 3. Million Dollar Baby 2.21M 4. Too Sweet 2.18M 5. Carnival 2.18M 6. Texas Hold 'Em 2.10M 7. Not Like Us 2.08M 8. Redrum ~2M 9. A Bar Song (Tipsy) 1.99M 10. Fortnight 1.74M

A lot of people have no idea what "Sweater Weather" is, so I would say in general, no Peaks also don't matter much either, though. What matters is weeks spent in the top 10, which is an undeniable hit metric.

Global sales (IFPI's 2020 formula) Blinding Lights 2.72B (52 weeks) Die With A Smile ~3.30B (42 weeks) Reminder that Shape of You holds the record for fastest-selling streaming era song, with 26.6M units in 2017 (I think that is 3.32B in the 2020 IFPI formula), so it's bigger than SoY too

This is smashing on US Apple Music, top 20 already

This went #1 on iTunes relatively quickly iTunes is meaningless by itself, but is still somewhat of a signal - none of his other singles this era went #1 there

Never listened to Busy Woman, just did now and Manchild is so much better and will be way bigger. It's also a lot poppier than The Giver and won't tank like that, imo.

Espresso, Kiss Me More, Closer, Freaky Deaky, Punteria, Priceless

It's Die With A Smile for both Solo female: Birds Of A Feather Solo male: Blinding Lights

Biggest song of all time globally and it's not really debatable at this point. It will surpass Blinding Lights in every metric except the Hot 100. It's already faster-selling than Shape of You under the 2017 formula.

A Bar Song (Tipsy) (next week, #3 of all time from TOTC) 19 weeks at #1 (record-tying) 44 weeks top 5 52 weeks top 10 56 weeks on chart Blinding Lights (#1 of all time) 4 weeks at #1 43 weeks top 5 57 weeks top 10 90 weeks on chart It will have way more impressive stats than Blinding Lights by the end of its run, but I don't think Billboard will make it #1 of all time they gave it to Blinding Lights illegitimately by boosting 2021 weight too high

It's always funny when people say DWAS will become the "song of the decade" because it ALSO means it's the song of the century and probably all-time. (Which btw I agree that it will be bigger than Blinding Lights worldwide). Blinding Lights is #2 of all time on MediaTraffic, the closest we have to any kind of all-time reference for global performance (the monster real points/sales-heavy Elton John song is #1 which is just not correct nowadays), and #1 all time on Hot 100. Given Blinding Lights was bigger globally than in the US, we can infer it's also the biggest global song ever. DWAS won't be #1 in the US but probably around top 20 of all time.

2021 was one of the BIGGEST years ever for hits, and so was 2024. I think you meant to say 2022, which was extremely dead but 2025 is record-breakingly dead. 2021 had drivers license, good 4 u, Levitating, Save Your Tears Remix, Kiss Me More, Montero, Peaches, Leave The Door Open, Stay, Industry Baby, Cold Heart, Bad Habits, Shivers, Easy On Me, Heat Waves, deja vu, Beggin', Up, Good Days, ...

The label (which is who controls credits) removed DaBaby's credit after the "incident" because even on the Global 200, he had no credit despite that being impossible (radio stations changing to the solo version was a somewhat believable excuse for the Hot 100)

Billboard doesn't count performance for an artist prior the artist's credit being added. SYT spent a bunch of time in the top 10 in early 2021 as a solo hit, and as a result the points given to Ariana is lower. Also, the original likely actually started getting the credit right around May 2022 when it fell out of the top 10 permanently because that's when the OG started doing ~better than it on Spotify (and it has a way bigger YouTube video). Billboard's website doesn't show this so it's only known to them. On the Hot 100, the 21st century list doesn't actually even credit her

For Global, UWC isn't a perfect or official metric of course (I think it overweighs the modern era) but Die With A Smile is outpacing every song of the streaming era so far. I think every song in general, excluding Candle in the Wind 1997, this far into its run. It's easily going to overtake Blinding Lights/CITW (which are basically tied) and rank #1 of all time on the chart. http://www.mediatraffic.de/alltime-track-chart.htm

The chorus is gorgeous, dunno if it'll be a hit but have it on repeat