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jakeisphat

ATRL Member
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Everything posted by jakeisphat

  1. He'll be serving twink and nothing more, look at them arms
  2. Ossoff is really benefiting from the fact that this poll only includes 5 candidates though. When the other hopefuls were included, he received 4-6% in all July and August polls. When the primary pops off, we're likely to have 10-15 candidates or even more like 2020. It will be hard for him to define himself if he has to try and stand out against other centrists like Kelly, Shapiro, Pritzker, etc. That's why things didn't work out for Amy and Pete anyway because people were like, if all of them are pushing the same ****, I'll just go with Biden since he has the biggest name and resume. I feel like part of that is going to benefit people like Kamala and Newsom in the long run because voters in early states will be split among all these white male centrist candidates. And if Kamala re-heats her 2020 nachos and tries to be more progressive, she might end up just barely making it over the line. Axios polled 18-34 year olds for 2028 just last month and they overwhelmingly supported Harris even with AOC included in the poll. But it's really going to depend on who Kamala has advising her and running her campaign because if she hires anybody from Biden's orbit like a lunatic, she's gonna flop hard af. For instance, the state polling thus far shows Kamala doing terribly, but that's also because state polls have small samples and people with buzz from that region are typically at the top. When looking at national polls where the sample is 3-4 times larger, Kamala and Newsom have consistently been at the top. I think the DNC will sideline Ossoff anyway if KLB loses the gubernatorial election in 2026. They won't want a GOP governor appointing someone to fill his seat if he were to win. Pete polling so high will never not make me laugh. He cannot win in the South and will look weak because his resume is being the mayor of a small town and then a Transportation Secretary for Biden. He seems to just get buzz because people think he's a good speaker, but his policy positions are essentially like the Harris 2024 platform but even more conservative. Newsom's buzz was all about the redistricting, but he's now in 3 place behind Pete and Kamala. We know Pete can't win because his support among minorities is awful. Newsom has more support that Pete in that Demographic, but Newsom is going to find that he can't justify the issues in his home state in other parts of the U.S. All the GOP would have to do is tell brainless voters about how Cali has the highest cost of living, highest home prices, highest cost of utilities and gas, high taxes, etc. They'll just say that if Newsom is president, the rest of the states will end up the same way and people would believe it. Regardless of who ends up running, the current primaries have shown that Democratic voters are done with centrist, incremental policies. I don't see that changing with Trump still being in office, so if we have progressive-coded Kamala and AOC running, I think they'll do much better than polling currently shows. Newsom, Buttigieg, and the other male centrists have shown they plan to shift right, and people aren't going to show up for that.
  3. Voted condoms to be one of the underdogs
  4. The last 1:30 was fine, but that first chunk was messy. I'm surprised she actually released it this way. Still prefer the single version.
  5. Not my ultimate "fave" but for a long time I really like Mariah the Scientist. I never looked into her personal life because I was only concerned with the music, but then I saw her going viral for making fun of GloRilla's appearance. That opened a can of worms, which led to me finding out she supported Tory Lanez after he shot Megan. I was done after that. It's a shame because I'd still be streaming Burning Blue and her first 3 projects hard, had she not shown that she's a mean girl that will make a fool of herself over a dumb man.
  6. Honestly, I wish a Dem in a safe blue seat would just go on Fox and be like, "I think it's time for you all to just admit you can't stand Hasan because deep down you want to **** him. Don't we all?" The reactions would be such a kii.
  7. She died of cancer. The official statement says it was a brief battle. However, in that video she posted looking healthy, many fans noted that she had been in that same outfit and makeup months prior to the video - so it was suspected of being pre-recorded. I think she probably knew for up to a year that the prognosis wasn't good, so she just kept positive and used the time to be with loved ones so her illness wasn't a spectacle in the media. She was such a remarkable legend. I don't know that we'll ever have a celebrity so sweet and down to earth. She was filthy rich and no matter how famous she got, she was always humble and never changed. Truly the best of us.
  8. I mean… she's always going to have the admin on her resume because she was his veep. However, her discussing the things she disagreed with is fair game when she was told Biden would be a transition candidate and ended up bungling the entire plan by refusing to step aside. It's kind of crazy to me how people always perceived the Clintons as the biggest vindictive egomaniacs in the Democratic Party when the Bidens are right there. They go on the media regularly to bash any person that acknowledges he should have stepped down. And frankly, Kamala and other former Biden allies could be saying much worse but have tried their best to at least be respectful about their critiques. The Bidens need to wake up and realize that people are never going to look back and think it was reasonable for Joe to run for reelection when he had a 33% approval rating and could barely get through an interview without mixing up countries, forgetting names, or remembering the topic.
  9. Commenting on what I believe the "criminal conduct" might be based on the information that has come from reports. Care to offer what you're doing by posting this comment without context? Forums are for discussing topics including current events - how is my post any different? I did not see you seemingly be offended by the various posts that theorized Brian murdered her or beat her based on the previous DV history?
  10. In what way is it frivolous? Substance abuse is a mental health condition just like any other mental health diagnosis. Not everyone that uses illicit substances is doing so for recreational fun. Some people turn to them when vulnerable and become dependent. Sadly, a lot of people take advantage of that because they know an addict will take anything they can get and do not have the foresight to consider risk or trust. All that matters is that the seller gets some money out of it. If someone is actively addicted to opioids, their brain isn't wired to think about the fact that the pills they are buying could be counterfeit pills containing fentanyl. Their brain is only focusing on the next fix so that their body does not go into withdrawal. Selling someone substances without knowing what is in them is reckless. Selling someone pills you claim to be Percocet while knowing the pills actually contain fentanyl is premeditated. If either case is true in this situation, the person that distributed her the pills should be held accountable. Especially if it was Brian or his brother - they knew she was an addict that was struggling.
  11. I don't believe that they deliberately overdosed her or drugged her. But reading between the lines, here is what I think likely happened: Multiple articles said she was in pain in the past year due to nerve issues in her back. Hayden had openly been a survivor of addiction - which means doctors probably refused to prescribe her painkillers. Witnesses from the property reported that when EMS was trying to revive her, Brian's brother was hysterical, while Brian didn't become emotional until they told him she was deceased. Other articles noted that Hayden's pills were found in a baggie - not a prescription bottle. So to me, it seems like Hayden was in pain and couldn't get meds, but Brian or his brother had access to pills off the street. Pills off the street are extremely dangerous because they often contain fentanyl or are highly potent compared to prescription drugs. They knew there was a risk due to them not coming from a legit source, which is why they kept Narcan at the home. Hayden probably took an amount she was used to taking in the past but if the pills were counterfeit, the content of opioids in them was too high. Regardless of whether Brian or his brother knew the pills were counterfeit, either of them could end up being charged with crimes that carry 20-30 years in prison if it is determined they sold or distributed the pills that resulted in her death. It would be surprising if her access to the pills were not through one of them, since they were from SC and I can't see Hayden risking her career by smuggling pills through the airport. LE's investigation into "criminal conduct" is likely all about where the pills came from and who supplied them to her instead of whether she was drugged involuntarily.
  12. Cardi said she wanted to release a new album shortly after AITD. How likely do we think it is that we'll get one in 2027? I'm hopeful but it's hard to gauge because of how long AITD took and the fact that AH HA was released on the fly with no proper rollout. It kind of feels how it did when we'd get random singles without any clear direction for what project it would go on.

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