Tropic

If anything this graph shows that in the past 40 years Republicans have only been overestimated by the polls a total of three times. Democrats have been overestimated 8 times. Same ratio if you extend it back 60 years.

Again, it's not about whether or not the democrat is winning in the national polls, it's about how much they're winning by. If the national polls were to suggest Kamala was only going to win the popular vote by 3 million like Hillary (2% difference), obviously that would be a sign she is losing the election not a sign she's winning it. Have you not heard of extrapolation.

This is dumb, they do matter because the electoral college margin is directly correlated with the popular vote. If Harris is leading 3-4% in the national polls she's extremely favoured. If they're even Trump is extremely favoured. National polls often have a much bigger sample size than swing state polls and are better for tracking changing voter sentiment – they're also often more accurate (i.e national polls accurately predicted declining Clinton's margins towards the end of the 2016 election even though state polling was very off).

Lennon produced/worked on Harry Nilsson’s Don’t Forget Me song, so it’s her imagining that like Nilsson, Lennon is also speaking to her/giving her encouragement through that song. Both of them are big musical heroes of hers.

@Trent WA nineteen year old who spends her time and days protesting for an important cause is “equally annoying” as a misogynist rapist and sex trafficker? You seriously need to get a grip because nothing you’re saying is remotely logical. I’m genuinely curious what you think Greta has done to deserve being called trash other than maybe come off as a bit abrasive in her messaging (once again, she’s an autistic teenager and who is passionate about a cause, not a trained politician or public speaker).

There’s a difference between not liking her personality and equating her with Andrew Tate as one of the worst people on the internet you’re super weird for that

Technically she already has collaborated with him on an scrapped album. California, Thunder and Dealer came from those sessions.

Seems like it’s just a temporary 12 hour suspension which is… ridiculous and uselessly light given the scale of his hate speech. @mercurialworld maybe you should include this in the OP

This exactly. People who keep saying 1989TV is gonna be the biggest TV or break records completely misunderstand the factors behind the success of the TVs and especially RedTV. Red was a fan favourite and had massive fan appeal because of ATW10, and the beloved and slept-on album tracks + super good vault tracks. It’s not the original re-recorded singles driving the interest in the TVs at all. 1989 doesn’t have much going for it apart from the singles and given how concisely manufactured 1989 was I doubt the vault songs will be as good as RED either.

Yes? lmfao what.

She's just an incredibly talented songwriter and artist.

Gross

This reads like it was written by a delusional 12 year old swiftie, not an insider

Lover and 1989 both leaked what are you talking about sis 1989 leaked many days in advance in fact

65 on Metacritic coming

I think this basically confirms “You’re on your own kid” for track 5 since “you’re” is a contraction of two words. so the title is technically 5 words, but could be 6 with you are instead of you’re

Here you go:

Well some of the other ones are derived from various other leakers who are less credible. It's basically a compilation of random leaks made into a tracklist so its hard to know for sure which ones are accurate. But yes those three are the only ones the actual leaker who we know is credible teased. (I don't think he revealed anything indicating that Track 12 would be called Sweet Nothing so that's probably just a guess based on the length of the characters he teased for it). Supposedly he also teased Lavender Haze but I didn't see that tweet myself before he went private so I can't speak on that.

It's annoying me he went private so I can't actually link the tweets here. But he teased "Track 12 - ***** *******" and "Track 4 - snowflake emoji ... summer/beach emoji". He also had a lot of random tweets with the word Labyrinth in them which is where thats coming from. I believe he might have said something about Lavender Haze but not 100% sure on that as it also came from several other leakers who were later disproven. Also in terms of his previous hints, he straight up teased Bejeweled as Track 9 a while ago, posted a picture of Taylor in a maroon dress a few days before maroon, and had several old tweets from September referencing the word anti-hero. I feel like the track 4 hint could be something like "Winter to Summer" so swifties might be taking the emojis too literally by thinking up Snow on the Beach but who knows.

Bejeweled was teased already days ago as track 9 by the ACTUAL leaker (tsthinker13) who also teased maroon and anti-hero, which is I assume where that swiftie got it from. The other titles are, once again, either made up or just guessed from other clues the leaker gave like track 4. The one you posted is clearly derived from that asterixed out one posted here, but the leaker straight up said it was wrong today.

ALSO the reason Track 5 is written as ** w*u** l***e ** F**e in the fanmade tracklist is because ANOTHER leaker (probably fake) teased those letters for track 5 but scrambled them up. It’s actually supposed to be “Leave It Up To Fate” that they were teasing but the swiftie obviously decoded it incorrectly hence the blocked out letters not making sense. (It was probably a fake title anyway as I don’t think it came from tsthinker13).

Some of them, like the leaker teased Track 12 as ***** ****** (but didn’t give any letters). I believe the leaker also teased the titles Labyrinth, Lavender Haze and Dial Tones maybe (?) but didn’t give any track numbers for those. Venom is from another leaker who seems to be fake and Karma is completely invented. That tracklist with some of the letters coded out isn’t from him at all. (It was a speculative tracklist made by a swiftie using some of the clues he did give, i.e the snowflake and beach emoji for track 4).

Why are y’all still entertaining that fake fanmade tracklist with the ** w*u** l***e ** F**e. It’s NOT from the leaker it’s speculation from a random swiftie on Twitter who the leaker already replied to calling it wrong. The snow on the beach thing is because the leaker teased track 4 with “❄️…?️” but it could easily be something like Winter to Summer instead.

Cruel World vs willow Ultraviolence vs champagne problems Shades of Cool vs gold rush Brooklyn Baby vs 'tis the damn season West Coast vs tolerate it Sad Girl vs no body, no crime Pretty When You Cry vs happiness Money Power Glory vs dorothea ****** My Way Up to the Top vs coney island Old Money vs ivy The Other Woman vs cowboy like me Black Beauty vs long story short Guns and Roses vs marjorie Florida Kilos vs closure Both amazing but i don’t think any album can top the first 5 tracks of ultraviolence… truly a 1-2-3-4-5 PUNCH

the 1 vs Norman ******* Rockwell cardigan vs Mariners Apartment Complex the last great american dynasty vs Venice ***** exile vs **** It I Love You my tears ricochet vs Doin' Time mirrorball vs Love song seven vs Cinnamon Girl august vs How to disappear this is me trying vs California illicit affairs vs The Next Best American Record invisible string vs The greatest mad woman vs Bartender epiphany vs Happiness is a butterfly betty vs Hope is a dangerous thing for a woman like me to have - and I have it