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Bears01

ATRL Member
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Everything posted by Bears01

  1. Progressives should keep running hot people. AOC, AES, and Mamdani get the message out effectively and clear, and do a good job at it, and I think all 3 being 8+ out of 10 kinda helps (seriously AES could bend me over ) Just my useless observation of the day
  2. I'll always give her credit: she lead. Bad for politics as a whole (insider trading, corrupt, and an establishment figurhead) but the party is totally in shambles and lost at sea without her. Chuck Schumer in comparison can't lead a dog inside its own house, he looks terrible compared to her.
  3. For how much people get on AOC's ass (and she's not perfect, she's made some bad choices and calls before) she's very politically smart. She has A LOT of power in the Democratic Party now, and it's not because of her playing nice with the establishment, it's because the voters and base like her, and they like her a lot more than those at the top. Shes not as authentic and fresh and full on "take down the establishment guns ablazing" as she was when she entered politics, but she still a good politician/person and her place in politics is better for the American people, which is more than we can say for 99% of Congress and much of the elected leaders in states across the country
  4. There is no possible way Steven's is winning that primary. Her campaign reeks of loser. If this was 2018 she'd run away with it, but there's no way in 2026. The funny thing is, even going by shallow metrics, AES is way more electable. He's attractive, he's young, he's good in front of camera, and he stands for something. Steven's is none of those things (other than being not old).
  5. Bob Casey losing in 2024 (and very luckily for Dems only him) made winning the senate in 2026 a huge uphill battle anyway. That's just the reality. I always felt like the best case scenario democrats would gain ground this cycle, but still be in the minority, but be in a solid position to regain the majority come 2028, where Ron Johnson would be insanely vulnerable (but then fettermans seat in PA would be as well). There's also this cold truth: the political environment has probably improved for republicans. Back in April it was awful, but gas prices are back down to below $3 a gallon by me, so to a lot of "normies" everything is fine now.
  6. I've sadly just came to accept that this country just loves republicans and will always want them in power. They can know on every Americans door, essentially rob them blind, and millions upon millions of them will be talked into finding reasons to vote for them. Sadly, I feel the economy under trumps first term has brainwashed an entire generation into thinking "republicans will always be better for my wallet"
  7. I don't even honestly care anymore. Democrats and republicans are honestly one and the same, and both are too deeply entrenched in corporate money for anything to change. Rooting for Hong and El Sayed but the leadership at the top of the party is still there and will remain there
  8. I was really high on McMorrow at first, but man what a fall off. Dem candidates are really gonna have to start aligning with their voters, whether they like it or not. Israel support and being anti M4A are just not gonna cut it anymore. Having your entire platform be essentially: "I will FIGHT Trump, but won't change much about the regular status quo" has quickly lost its luster. Trumps time in politics is almost over, and you've already lost to him. Your fault you did too. Clinging to the ways of old when a lot of his voters wake up and realize their life still sucks won't do the job
  9. He's actually hot, unlike most of the men she's been with (although Mac Miller is a king and I'll always have a soft spot for him). Get that hot D queen
  10. IL is blue, but there's no true progressive movement in the state (speaking as someone very familiar with it). It's not quite as neolib as states like Delaware or VA in comparison, but It doesn't have a true progressive built in movement like the DSA does in NY
  11. I mean, I would love a democrat version of trump, only just on the complete opposite end of the political spectrum Essentially what FDR was, only reinvented to fix American issues in the 21st century? Sign me the **** up. Medicare 4 all, strengthened unions, higher wages, corruption out of politics, nationwide legalized weed, paid family leave and universal childcare, all born out of wine moms angry because the Dem establishment has done nothing but fail and they decided to revolt? YES PLEASE
  12. Centrists in the Dem party are flailing at this point, I genuinely don't care if Dems lose in 2028 if we don't get an even modestly acceptable nominee. That means no Shapiro, no newscum, no Peter, noโ€ฆ.pretty much any of the front runners. No losermala
  13. This is a big issue that's still tanking a lot of democrats in DC (that I think the DSA is rightfully jumping on): a lot of people are done voting for democrats simply because they oppose Trump. This is why I'm glad so many "legacy democrats" like the Clinton's, the Obama's, the Bidens, the Kennedys are firmly out of the picture. Democrats can't run on big names who the public has known for decades, and they can't win a general simply for opposing Trump once these midterms are over. With how bad and corrupt this country/world has gotten with affordability, the horrid economy, and the explosion in data centers, voters are seeing through all the bs that democrats used to hide behind ("they can actually win!" "They'll take down Trump!" "Remember when bill was president" etc). And want someone who actually stands for something/anything.
  14. The winner in what? Big debuts? Morgan Wallen and Kendrick's albums had way more longevity and continue to do so, on top of big debuts. Bad Bunny is way bigger globally and also has way more longevity on the charts
  15. It's spread to my small town. Ones being built about 3 miles away from me. Even when we had a town hall where over 1,000 people showed up and almost unanimously railed against it. Meanwhile our state is having some of the highest energy prices in the country and absolutely nothing to stop this madness.
  16. Republicans can blatantly just rig maps however they deem necessary, but the actual majority of people vote for something different, and they just decide "yeah, nah". This country is legit owned by corporations at this point. Insanity
  17. Sabrina feels like she's getting bigger and bigger and the GP is loving her. Olivia screams "covid era fad"
  18. Lemonade. It's a technically impressive album, but it's just not something I can relate to, and it doesn't have a truly memorable song (imo). CC had genuinely some of her best work ever, so I don't get the hate on here at all
  19. Yup. A 52-48 dem senate pretty much ends the Trump presidency. A 51-49 senate leaves the door open for Fetterman to party switch giving them the chance to appoint alito or Thomas or Boths replacement. I can be sweet talked into voting for a corporate neoliberal hack if there's a very clear and real possibility of flipping the Supreme Court. It would be a MASSIVE underrated way of starting to fix our country's problems, since the hopes of Congress doing it are about 0.0000000001%
  20. Since we were doing predictions and I'm late, I'll give my take on how the next few years play out: Right now, it's pretty close to baked in voters minds, that the Trump presidency is a gigantic flop. His saving grace from his 1st term was the economy, everyone (including me personally) remembers life being better In 2017-2019 and there's years of data to back that up (although I don't credit him). The astronomical price of gas, groceries and health insurance has almost reached the point where it's too late for him to turn it around in voters minds. Like Biden in 2022 pretty much. The question is: will there be a huge recession like the end of bush to essentially doom republicans for good in 2028? We're not at THAT point (especially with how weak the Dem bench is) but if things stay consistently terrible the next 2+ years, I think it's safe to assume any Dem will probably win in 2028. Now if Dems do win, with the current crop of candidates we have, I expect another repeat of Biden era essentially. Frustrating lack of change, voters not feeling their life getting better, and the right wing attack media in full force to push the narrative, and republicans will likely storm back to power, but this time with a new census map that greatly benefits them, and a weakened section 2. Essentially: Dems have to go big or go home when they have power next, otherwise we're bound to repeat the last decade until further notice, only next time republicans probably won't have a total moron running the show, and their more sinister desires will be able to come to life. If Dems don't expand the Supreme Court, implement universal healthcare, and do something that the average American feels in their everyday life that benefits them, they're screwed. Simple as that.
  21. Who still listens/cares about Britney outside of horny bottoms in the year 2026?
  22. The way this fake assassination attempt feels like a total non factor (compared to the one in 2024). Meanwhile gas prices jumped back up to $4.40 a gallon by me. You're not gonna get the public to care and rally behind you when they still can't afford to live, and it's your fault whyโ€ฆ.
  23. I honestly think she stands for nothing. She's an empty suite who just wants to and wanted to rise to the top, with absolutely no political talent whatsoever to do it. She has no conviction, unlike some like Bernie or even Warren, and even someone moderate who openly loved Israel (like Biden). She changes her mind every 20 seconds. That's not someone you should trust running the country and setting us on a different path. The path this country is currently on is unsustainable, things need to change and we have to have someone who will actually change things and SOON. She is not that person
  24. I actually see more similarities to bush's second term than Nixon. Which is frightening because 2007/2008 were some of the absolute worst times in this country's history and an economic collapse on that level would just about be the nail in the coffin for Millenials and their long term outlook
  25. It sounds populist in nature (at first) but to me it reads like more word slop and unclear policy objectives. If no democrats advocate for Medicare for all/universal healthcare explicitly, they're not getting my vote: https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2048174441574658059?s=46

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