Armani.

It may go nowhere...but there's a local Detroit rapper - Skilla Baby that said they would endorse Abdul over their social media. Could influence young Black turnout to make the margins slightly less bad notably in Detroit but it's up to the Abdul team to talk to him.

Hopefully Abdul still wins by 1pt, I know his volunteers are going to be phone banking and texting crazy the days prior, and the electorate won't be the typical Democratic primary for sure.

Shontel Brown voting present

Overall good for Stevens to photo finish, but the Democratic base is pissed at Whitmer at the moment They were already dragging Dana Nessel to hell when she endorsed her -https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1HkMaXsmxJ/ , I can't imagine the discourse for Whitmer Doing all that to get Haley to win feels like it will backfire a little.

They probably just think it's a good strategy with 1 month left in the race to move undecideds even though it's disgusting and shameless. Probably not polling based unless they did some internal poll about the ad.

Apparently Data For Progress has been somewhat reliable this cycle, here for wanting the delusional reality of Haley Stevens getting 41% of the vote after blowing through 60M dollars Average between this poll and Detroit News though is Haley - 45% to Abdul 48% which is... a tie, advantage Abdul.

This troll pollAre they trying to manufacture continued donations for a close race, I'm lost.

Is Shri scared?

Michigan usually has one of the highest youth turnout in the country. Strictly for 18 to 29 year olds, it was #1 in the country in 2022 - 37% turnout vs the national average of 23% Report: Michigan's youth turnout in the 2022 election was...Young people in Michigan turned out to vote last November at a higher rate than anywhere else in the country, according to the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement (CIRhttps://allianceforyouthaction.org/press-releases/michigan-had-the-highest-youth-voter-turnout-in-the-2022-midterms/ I doubt they dislike her that much to vote Mike Rogers but she could also struggle in margins compared to 2020 Biden.

Why are they carrot dangling?

I don't think so, her overall unfavorability is 20%, but for under 40 years old it was 50%. It looks weighted to a primary electorate.

She's still bombing with voters under 40 in the poll, it's why her unfavorability is still higher than Abdul Will make turnout bad in November, the governor options here aren't great either.

Aipac is targeting Black voters trying to make it look like Obama endorsed her, and using us as pawns. It's hard to combat that. "If Obama trusts her, so should we" is the ad slogan of the superpacs

Probably wouldn't change anything, she's not liked by young voters in the poll...which isn't surprising.

The poll crosstabs had both tied at 34% definite voters btw, Haley gets the lead from 14% of likely voters saying probably to Abdul's 8%. I'm not sure on Zachary's analysis on being Abdul at this point lmao, but I do agree on progressives outperforming the fundamentals which I already said earlier

She's inescapable on the airwaves, I hear her commercials almost everyday. I heard her on the radio at work today twice with that 2018 Obama clip trying to pander to Black folks It's not her ads frankly (Superpacs) so she hides behind actors and Obama

Took long enough... I'm still going to stick by a 48 - 47 - 5 result prediction in August though

Normie voters aren't aware of Aipac or notice that it's wierd Haley is dominating the airwaves. They see Obama on their TV and think ok, she's alright, I like Obama. Abdul has an advantage with both higher & lower propensity voters under the age of 45 so I think he will overperform the fundamentals of a primary anyway, but Haley would win just by spending 60M dollars by August 4th, that is extremely hard to out organize.

How is Haley's Unfavorability still higher than Abdul's in that poll after all that spending

Bad poll for him, his White support needs to be 60% in a head to head.

Haley going on news outlets with Gary Peters endorsing her, the ghost of Obama wasn't enough?

When those data centers turn Florida back into a swing state after 8 years lol