jamiko1230
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Viewing Topic: Spotify | Taylor Swift - Patient Zero | Day 4: #1 WW (7.61m), #1 US (3m)
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Spotify | Taylor Swift - Patient Zero | Day 4: #1 WW (7.61m), #1 US (3m)
Ya, thinking this is mostly if not entirely due to the music video premiere? How much did Opalite fall the day or 2 after? Happy she's got the 16th #1 absolutely on lock this week. But CT seems to reeally be itching to come back next week.
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Spotify | Taylor Swift - Patient Zero | Day 4: #1 WW (7.61m), #1 US (3m)
I'm in the camp that this was a last minute 'deluxe version' NOT a brand new album. But barely a year ago didn't she insist no more new/additional songs from this? The GP doesn't break it all down/overthink like that lol. They're simply well aware Taylor has new music out so by default look at it as a 'brand new album' whether it's deluxe, EP or whatever. I def. want Taylor to break the #1 singles record, continued mega success but NOT at the expense of artistic integrity. She really should've tried to listen & respect to what the gp (esp. her hardcore fans) were truly hungry for. Not this lol but Taylor's 20 year old TV w/ ya, a new or reworked single from *that.
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Spotify | Taylor Swift - Patient Zero | Day 4: #1 WW (7.61m), #1 US (3m)
Ugh...ya Taylor very luckily locked in/padded her #1 debut & 16th #1 (great) that 1st and 2nd day. But, ya, I think Ella is lassoing #1 again next week if these declines continue?
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(10/10/2026) Hot 100 early predictions: Taylor #1, #3, #4, #5 & #14
Def. wanted her to get that #1 debut (and obv. another #1). I want her to get the all time *record! lol She's clearly churning in the Atlantic in 90 degree bath water for it, obviously lol (level of hunger) the fact this will be her FOURTH in 1 year. This will put her at 16. So at the min. just duplicating the same effort (regardless of how people feel about the quality of the songs). By 2027/early '28 4 more 1s= 20 (simply doing what she did in the last year). Who in the actual F thinks she's stopping until IT happens!? lol That all said, I'm still not at all ruling out Choosing Texas returning to #1 maybe next week or the week after or just whenever. Ya, Taylor's physicals are coming but CT just isn't simmering down much. Many are only first connecting w/ it now! lol.
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Madonna - 'CONFESSIONS II'
^ exactly! If not end of Sept. someone big was very highly likely coming in Oct. at the latest. Adele, Drake, Billie, Beyonce etc...ESP w/ the charts & state of big new releases so stagnant. I refuse to believe all the record companies were gonna just let Ella & Stella coast w/out at least attempting to drop something from someone else. But it's less about 'Ella' lol & the timing of the year. It's almost a given *something big drops in Oct.
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Taylor Swift - "Patient Zero"
But you think Mariah is thrilled that Taylor will then be just 3 #1s from tying her & blatantly coming hard for her AND the Beatles? lol Ya, 'longest #1' is big but *most #1 singles ever= a way more BFD.
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Taylor Swift - "Patient Zero"
Ya, she highly likely stops Ella (at least 1 week) but also inches closer to Mariah all time #1 record too. I've been saying that's def. Taylor's ruthless key mission now. She's zoning in hard on it. That's the only metric she's slightly 'lagging'. She wants IT and will get IT...easily lol. Not just Mariah but the Beatles obviously. And by quite a lot by the time she's 40 yold. She hasn't even put out a Greatest Hits yet!! lol
- UK Singles: Sienna Spiro #1, Dua #5, Ashe #9, Adéla #13/15; Albums: Ezra Collective#1
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Hot 100 | Final predictions (9/19/26): Texas #1 (x22), Boston #2, Bby Wow #10
Agree. It's a huge HIT. I think they botched it now by how long they waited (or are waiting). Should've been much sooner while the iron was scalding. It's kind of similar to how Warner/Madonna's team sat on Danceteria when it was/is THE album stabilizer. No, she's not getting #1 or even top 10 (talking the US) but it absolutely would've at least kept the album afloat & stabilized esp. w/ a decent video, Tik Toks etc...
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Hot 100 | Final predictions (9/19/26): Texas #1 (x22), Boston #2, Bby Wow #10
So...bbY Wow atp is really the only song w/ major juice/buzz rn. But has no radio. But even if it was sent to radio asap would likely still take a good 3-4 weeks to have a shot. But its streaming #s would have to stay in or around where they are now. Stella Groupon Gracie Apple Lefty is basically just being propped up by radio now. Her streaming #s have clearly peaked or are stagnant at best. All that + Drake ain't teasing 'what' he did unless it's very highly coming lol. If so, they're prob. waiting for that 23-24th week. I'm sure Ella doesn't just want to surpass Mariah but have at least some padding 25-27 weeks...maybe more. But Taylor, Adele could also def. surprise at any time. Then there's Mariah herself. She's def. getting a min. of 2-3 weeks.
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MILEY - "Bass Persuades"
'Panned, negative response' etc...? Are we/some of us reading the same things? I don't dislike it nor really care for it. Indifferent.. But it's clearly like an easily ~75-80+% very vocal positive reactions here! Lol How is the doing on Spotify & Apple? Or is too soon. iTunes #1 is always nice but need the others way more now. I wonder if this has a chance to debut at #1. Or more like top 10 etc..
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MILEY - "Bass Persuades"
I'm still indifferent at best lol. Multiple listens really trying to connect/for it to hit. Not really happening so far. 'Issue' or whatever for me personally...I just don't care for the chorus. No, it's not 'bad'/messy. It's just...there. Chorus just could've/should've been craftier. The intro, initial pace, flow, elements of the production & some other bits & pieces sounded very promising. 'Gimme More' energy. But that song only kept elevating *esp. the chorus. Didn't let up. With this, there's a flatness when it came to the chorus/key vocal drop & hook etc...It's way more 'Not Myself Tonight' by X-Tina overall than Gimme More. Ya, def. some other mid 00s-early 2010s big names influences (all well known & already named). Not Myself Tonight def. came close to hitting the mark too but missed it, ultimately. Here it seems this is smashing lol. I have no idea what's gonna happen though w/ the GP esp. as the week goes on.
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MILEY - "Bass Persuades"
Lol Yup, seems there's clearly 2 very vocal divided camps here. I'm in the 'the kids don't wanna dance (repeated 2-3+ x) chorus/key vocal hook...dunno Lol. The intro, certain build ups & production at x are fine. Ya, it's comparable to Not Myself Tonight. However, 'I could love you baby...I could love you baby ...somehow was. The delivery, flow, vibe, It just hit the mark. She & her team "clearly had the same intent/goal w/ this. It's not 'bad'. It's just the overall, complete end result is missing something. I'm not NOT getting why (or judging or whatever) why many are euphoric over this. Lol It's what you/someone connects with. No idea how this will do w/ the GP. Doubtful it's gonna 'flop'. But I don't think (atp) Ella is gonna lose that much sleep about her upcoming record lol. Really curious to hear what the chart predictor messiah's here think.
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MILEY - "Bass Persuades"
Uhh..as usual w/ soo many of 'these' lately starts off way more promising/good-very decent 2007 Britney-esque build up then...just dissolves into not really much lol
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Spotify | Dolly Parton resurgence | "Jolene" #1 WW - 4.73M, #2 artist WW
So ~how many daily streams (Jolene looks like it could be the one) would Dolly need (actually starting tomm.-next Thurs) to knock off Ella? I'd think her biggest Spotify etc...#s are gonna be from Wed, Thurs. (today), Fri & maybe into the weekend. I guess the biggest question & factor that determines everything will be later in the weekend/early next week. She did ~500k more than CT yesterday. Would she need that daily margin (or more) of a lead for a full week?
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Hot 100 | Final predictions (9/5/26): Texas #1 (x20), Boston #2, Jolene #16
It also says that Dolly will debut (re-enter) with around 118 points at #16. Very impressive! All a question of whether or not she sustains those initial 2-3 day #s (all or for most of the week) w/ Jolene. I'd think the biggest boosts would occur only for x-amount of days (mostly the shock/newness of when the legend passes away). If she would've gotten ~300 points w/ Ella actually gaining again (296 points!) lol thinking Dolly needed the full tracking week & would've been flip of a coin odds for both. For next week...dunno now.
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Hot 100 | Final predictions (9/5/26): Texas #1 (x20), Boston #2, Jolene #16
Thrilled for Dolly but is she truly a threat for #1 on the Hot 100? lol There's just 2 tracking days this week + no airplay. As I predicted she'll very likely show up somewhere on the Hot 100 but #1? Thinking she'd need a full week at #1 on all or most streaming & have pretty massive #s for x-amount of consecutive days. Don't think that'll be likely. This sadly happened under 24 hours ago so it's all still new & raw. Dolly absolutely deserves the outpouring of love and support she's getting & then some. *Oh anyone else notice TOTC disabled comments! Ugh. Ya, there were some annoying loons & bots in the comments but still.
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Hot 100 | Final predictions (9/5/26): Texas #1 (x20), Boston #2, Jolene #16
Someone like Queen Dolly (if she had that ONE definitive, decade/demo crossing smash) would actually be a top 10 contender...at least. She's just that much of a beloved heavyweight. Like what happened w/ Whitney in 2012. Her specific passing was actually what caused BB to allow old songs/singles to re-chart on the Hot 100! BB allowed old albums to start charting on the Top 200 again in 2009 w/ MJs death. If what happened to Whitney (& MJ) happened *today their biggest, most iconic songs would most def. be contenders for #1. Dolly got an absolute sh**load of classics (both that *she recorded and obv. wrote for others). Just dunno what '1' song the masses would unify & flock to. Thinking we may see 9 to 5, Jolene, her version of I'll Always Love You show up next week.
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H100: Texas #1(x19) ties 2nd longest ever, Boston #2
^ many are saying (at least for this week) any 'larger than usual bump' is mostly due to the album release. Ya, it's def. gaining on a # of formats on radio & doing better on streaming vs weeks ago. But don't think it's 'seriously taken off' yet? It's inching up. But need more seasoned chart experts to confirm. I keep reading everywhere (+ the betting markets) all seem pretty certain Ella is gonna get at least 22- 23 weeks at #1. As I/others keep saying Ella has strongly hinted (barely a week ago) she & her team likely have at least 1-2 other tricks up her sleeve coming (acoustic version that a lot of fans want) + who knows what else. I think she failed a couple x but during some of those 5+ weeks she got knocked off #1 she def. tried to fight fire w/ fire pretty hard. She's both fully aware of the smashery & reeally wants the record! lol Unusual for a 'country' artist. Her actions are of a pop artist.
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H100: Texas #1(x19) ties 2nd longest ever, Boston #2
Like I just mentioned in the UK chart thread I wonder at what point/where in points Ella's team is waiting to release that in high demand acoustic version she strongly hinted. If it's coming, pays to preserve it for now. Pretty pointless to release it atp. Even if Ella 'only' ends up 70-80 points above Boston next week that's still a very durable lead. Just a question of % wise how much Ella's team sees Stella closing the gap in real time before the act. + it seems on pop CT is biding it's time waiting for Ariana & Taylor to duke it out before seriously popping. CTs updates are of a song just churning in the Atlantic in hot ocean water. Seems pretty deliberate what they're waiting for. I'd think the callouts are stellar w/ it's bonkers streaming & sales #s etc..
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UK Mid: Rein Me In #1x23, Fontaines DC #15, PARTYNEXTDOOR #20; Albums: Paul Heaton #1
Hmm...so what on earth caused Boston to be ahead of CT on yesterdays update? lol We didn't have the #s but it was ahead. In just 1 day CT pulled ahead again & by a decent amount. I wonder if 'any' increase (even on the 1st TOTC prediction) was/will be due to Stella's album release? If so, esp. in the US the difference in points next week will likely be a really good indicator if CT gonna handily go 22-25+ weeks at #1 US AND #1 in the UK in the next couple weeks. Def. curious if Ella can get back to 100 point lead (or pretty close to it). I just don't see how she & her team aren't saving the acoustic version she strongly hinted for the exact perfect time. No need for it this 2nd. But in 2-3 weeks, definitely. + sure her team is gonna push harder for pop to get on board.
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Hot 100 | Final predictions (9/5/26): Texas #1 (x20), Boston #2, Jolene #16
Ya, that under 80 point lead prediction for CT (instead of 100 or whatever) isn't that only due to Stella's album being released? They're taking that into account. Not seeing any other noteworthy gains for Boston (or losses for CT). Boston's overall airplay is def. increasing but CT is *still stable ah, #1 on basically every streaming platform.
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Hot 100 | Final predictions (8/29/26): Texas #1 (x19), Boston #2, Loser #18
So CT has at least 2 things still going in its favor. It's still growing on pop & she's highly likely gonna release an acoustic version. She & her team have shown they're clearly zoned in on the charts during its run vs. most other country singers. Like some said, she'll likely save the acoustic version (& even other versions & tricks) for those crucial 21-25 weeks at #1 AND once Rein On Me goes ACR in the UK. Beyond clear Ella is fired up wanting this record.
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US Airplay Discussion
Okay, would 'It's So Easy' please start seriously dropping now lol. Initially, was a smooth, pleasant song. Nothing more. Why/how is it ending up this big and barely dropping. Choosing Texas is only just now taking off on pop! lol. Crazy. The fact she's about get gains there + exposure to that audience= may be looking at a #1 lock well into X-Mas unless Taylor or maybe Beyoncé drops a new song. Taylor is the only one though who'd get more than a front loaded 1 week #1 (atp)
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Madonna & Kylie - "Love Sensation" (Afterhours Mix)
Their chemistry vocally, personalities, energy etc...totally electric, magnetic, organic ah. I knew the baseline would be 'good' but they literally crushed it. Meshed into other. 10...20x exceeded more than Sabrina, Britney and ESP Justin lol. She was 'fine' w/ Sabrina and Britney. But in a super safe, corporate, curated way. With Kylie, everything start-finish pulsated & throbbed perfect chemistry. Total equals who showed authentic adoration. You felt it personally and artistically. What we heard it sounded like the recorded duet is already done. Unlike Coachella & BYL just hoping they get it out ASAP (by Friday...latest). AND unlike the live BYL at Coachella I'm actually hoping 'what' we heard is basically the same/very similar to the studio version. We all know how messy the studio version ended up w/ BYL lol (weird, odd vocal mixing etc..) There were subtle but noticeable differences (improvements) in the production, vocals, and flow. 1 instant example: Kylie's repeating/build up to the 'Love Sensation' line over & over was epic, hit harder & longer than Ms og version. Was A KEY vocal hook & highlight.