cats was an objectively poorly-made adaptation of a property that was already not liked by audiences/a punchline; west side story and in the heights were both the “limited theatrical runs then dumped on streaming” in question; and while greatest showman and ASIB did succeed, they did so without the context of being an established $3b+ IP lol. truthfully there has not been a recent movie musical that stands up as a fair comp to wicked when you consider both cultural context and demand; the closest would be les mis which comfortably pulled over 400 without casting the biggest pop star on the planet. with big release box office numbers already returning to and, in some instances, eclipsing what they were pre-covid, it’s safe to say nobody needs to be panicking about buying multiple tickets to make sure these movies recoup