NoMythologies

Early Predictions 1. This Is America 479 (=) 2 weeks #1 2. Nice For What 392 (=) 3. God's Plan 355 (=) 4. Psycho 324 (=) 5. Meant to Be 276 (=) 6. The Middle 263 (=) 7. Never Be the Same 220 (+1) 8. No Tears Left to Cry 217 (+2) 9. Look Alive 216 (-2) 10. Perfect 205 (-1) 11. Boo'd Up 200 (+6) 12. Heaven 195 (+8) 13. Whatever It Takes 193 (-1) 14. Walk It Talk It 189 (=) 15. Freaky Friday 185 (-4) 16. Mine 172 (-1) 17. Rockstar 167 (-4) 18. Friends 166 (+3) 19. Pray For Me 165 (+3) 20. In My Blood 163 (+7) 21. I Like It 160 (-3) 22. Be Careful 154 (+3) 23. Havana 152 (+1) 24. Better Now 143 (-1) 25. Plug Walk 142 (+1) 26. Powerglide 141 (+2) 27. Call Out My Name 141 (+2) 28. Wait 137 (+2) 29. Watch 135 (-13) 30. Finesse 135 (+1)

It's cool if you prefer older music. Lots of people (probably most, in fact) would agree with you. But there's often a strong implication that there's no way people could genuinely like certain songs because of outside factors. Like... you keep claiming what your point is, but your original comment that I responded to was that This Is America, as a song, does not deserve #1. Point blank. I reiterate, that is simply your opinion and I and, many others, disagree with you on that. Hence the popularity of the song. You state certain points as if they are facts but they are just your opinion. Which you're entitled to. But it doesn't change the fact that they are opinions.

But if a song is popular for any variety of reasons that doesn't make its popularity any less valid. And who are any of us to assume why any person is listening to a song? There are always stans who blindly love everything an artist puts out. And people like that have always existed. But if a song manages to hit #1 and stay at #1 no less, it indicates some level of widespread acceptance and appreciation.

That's cool if that's your opinion. But I certainly disagree. And it'll deserve the #1 spot as long as it's still streaming and selling well enough regardless of our opinions.

I must say... it's great to see Childish Gambino officially at #1. As a long time fan, I never thought I'd see him at #1, much less debuting there. Really thought Redbone was gonna be his biggest hit. It'll certainly be interesting to see how it holds up over the next couple months.

Looking like This Is America will get an easy second week at #1. And if anyone is wondering, even if YT's influence on the H100 is cut in half, This is America would have still gotten the #1. And it looks like the same will be true for its second week at #1.

Finally getting a chance to break down last week's chart and I just noticed that Dame Tu Cosita's position is a huge question mark. I assumed it had a huge week on YT or something, but after looking it up on YT insights, they actually have it falling substantially in streams last week. In fact, they only have it at 4.7M streams for the week. Sometimes I double what YT insights reports for YT heavy songs (like Gummo and Outside Today), but the song would need about 4x the amount of streams reported. It certainly isn't getting many points outside of YT considering I don't see it anywhere on spotify and it's not even in the top 200 Latino songs on AM. @simmnfierzig did I miss anything? Any thoughts? Curious to see if this will correct itself like that Medicine song did or if this will stay high next week.

Thanks for sharing! I love seeing more posters sharing their predictions. Hope to see more of yours! I keep going back and forth on Chun-Li. My gut tells me HDD underestimated its streaming # this week and it's gonna be surprisingly high, but I might just be getting swayed by the fact that it's peak three weeks ago was higher than expected.

Go fig lol. Glad to see it finally making an appearance. Crazy it jumped in so high too. I saw Boo'd Up on the Are & Be playlist yesterday. I wonder how long it's been featured there.

It's looking like I over predicted Chun-Li and under predicted Watch. Thinking their positions should be switched. Also think Better Now will stay in the top 20.

How is Boo'd Up top 20 on AM, #3 on YT and yet absolutely nowhere to be seen on the Spotify top 200? Is it getting like no playlist support there? Everyday I keep expecting to see it make an appearance on spotify t200 and yet nothing. If it ever gets on TTH, it'll definitely explode. Hope she gets more support there soon.

Early Predictions 1. This Is America 521 (NEW) 1 week #1 2. Nice For What 418 (-1) 3. God's Plan 386 (=) 4. Psycho 334 (-2) 5. Meant to Be 315 (-1) 6. The Middle 272 (-1) 7. Look Alive 247 (+2) 8. No Tears Left to Cry 235 (+2) 9. Never Be the Same 233 (-3) 10. Perfect 219 (+2) 11. Freaky Friday 215 (+2) 12. Chun-Li 185 (+38) 13. Walk It Talk It 184 (+5) 14. Mine 183 (+5) 15. Whatever It Takes 181 (+6) 16. Rockstar 179 (-8) 17. Watch 176 (NEW) 18. Boo'd Up 175 (+19) 19. Heaven 170 (+9) 20. I Like It 170 (+2) 21. Friends 164 (+4) 22. Be Careful 162 (+4) 23. Havana 160 (+4) 24. Better Now 160 (-17) 25. Pray For Me 159 (+5) 26. Powerglide 157 (+13) 27. Plug Walk 156 (+4) 28. Call Out My Name 152 (+4) 29. In My Blood 150 (+7) 30. Wait 142 (+8)

Excellent #. Really thinking he's got the #1. This would be the most exciting and unexpected #1 debut I've ever seen. Can't wait to see the YT update tomorrow.

I love that This is America has a shot at #1. It doesn’t seem to be slowing on YT at all. Eagerly waiting for today’s Spotify update.

I love that This is America has a shot at #1. It doesn’t seem to be slowing on YT at all. Eagerly waiting for today’s Spotify update.

I'd say it's safe to call This is America a lock for top ten. Need to see tomorrow's YT and Spotify update tho to see just how high it can go.

FINAL PREDICTIONS 1. Nice For What 418 (=) 4 weeks #1 2. Psycho 413 (+3) 3. God's Plan 405 (-1) 4. Meant to Be 332 (=) 5. The Middle 274 (+2) 6. Never Be the Same 270 (+7) 7. Better Now 248 (NEW) 8. Look Alive 238 (+1) 9. No Tears Left to Cry 235 (-6) 10. Paranoid 230 (NEW) 11. Rockstar 229 (+21) 12. Perfect 222 (-1) 13. Freaky Friday 216 (-1) 14. Rich & Sad 206 (NEW) 15. Spoil My Night 204 (NEW) 16. Ball For Me 202 (NEW) 17. Stay 197 (NEW) 18. Mine 187 (-1) 19. Walk It Talk It 183 (-1) 20. Same Bitches 180 (NEW) 21. I Like It 173 (-5) 22. Be Careful 173 (+1) 23. Zack and Codeine 173 (NEW) 24. Whatever It Takes 172 (+2) 25. Over Now 172 (NEW) 26. Friends 168 (-2) 27. Havana 165 (-5) 28. Takin' Shots 165 (NEW) 29. Pray For Me 160 (-2) 30. Plug Walk 159 (-9) 31. Call Out My Name 158 (-12) 32. Heaven 155 (-3) 33. Finesse 153 (-8) 34. In My Blood 144 (+2) 35. New Rules 140 (-2) 36. Wait 139 (+6) 37. Powerglide 138 (+3) 38. 92 Explorer 138 (NEW) 39. Ric Flair Drip 136 (+4) 40. You Make It Easy 133 (-2) 41. ATM 132 (-35) 42. KOD 131 (-32) 43. Sad! 131 (-12) 44. Japan 131 (-9) 45. Boo'd Up 131 (+10) 46. Otherside 130 (NEW) 47. Blame It On Me 130 (NEW) 48. Kevin's Heart 129 (-40) 49. Esskeetit 127 (-12) 50. Stir Fry 126 (-11)

I knew I shouldn't have said anything. Always a smart ass, condescending, undermining response. This thread has been a toxic wasteland for months. Which really sucks cuz it used to always be my favorite.

I, honestly, don't know what to make of this week's race for #1. Earlier I had assumed Psycho was probably going to hit #1 but, if HDD's #s are to be believed, it may not even come in at #2. Now, I'm not gonna go with HDD's #'s in my final predictions. Psycho gained 7.8M streams on spotify over last week so I'm guessing its overall #'s are probably closer to 30M, give or take. However, 30M still wouldn't necessarily put it at #1. Or even #2. I usually lean on the conservative side with my predictions, so atm I'm kinda thinking NFW stays at #1 (and I'm leaning towards Psycho being at #3). But it absolutely wouldn't surprise me at all if Psycho hit #1. It's anyone's guess this week.

Yeah, I agree with simm that I don't see J Cole that high. Thinking in the 6-8 range for him. Tough to say whether he'll be able to come in ahead of The Middle and Look Alive. Don't see top 5 for him what with streams being so frontloaded, but it's still very early.

I think she could go as high as 3 if streams hold up well throughout the week. But, for now, I'm thinking it debuts at #5.

I agree. And I'd be curious to see how much that kind of discount would boost sales for songs by big artists.

Estimated Breakdown 1. Nice For What - 55.4M streams (76.4%) + 42M airplay (10.4%) + 46k sales (13.2%) 2. God's Plan - 45.8M streams (62%) + 112M airplay (29.4%) + 28k sales (8.6%) 3. Meant to Be - 19.8M streams (34.6%) + 140M airplay (48.4%) + 42k sales (17%) 4. Psycho - 35.6M streams (69.1%) + 56M airplay (21.2%) + 22k sales (9.7%) 5. The Middle - 17M streams (37.9%) + 116M airplay (50.1%) + 24k sales (12%) 6. Look Alive - 33.4M streams (73%) + 50M airplay (21.5%) + 11k sales (5.5%) 7. Perfect - 19.9M streams (46.2%) + 88M airplay (43%) + 19k sales (10.8%) 8. Freaky Friday - 31.1M streams (82.1%) + 17M airplay (8.5%) + 16k sales (9.4%) 9. I Like It - 26.2M streams (83.7%) + 3M airplay (1.7%) + 22k sales (14.6%) 10. Walk It Talk It - 27.1M streams (85.1%) + 16M airplay (9.5%) + 8k sales (5.4%) 11. Mine - 22.4M streams (63.3%) + 48M airplay (27.9%) + 13k sales (8.8%) 12. Finesse - 13.8M streams (39.4%) + 90M airplay (53%) + 11k sales (7.6%) 13. Never Be the Same - 10.5M streams (31.8%) + 93M airplay (55.1%) + 19k sales (13.1%) 14. Be Careful - 24.8M streams (83%) + 16M airplay (10%) + 10k sales (7%) 15. Chun-Li - 19.7M streams (66.6%) + 12M airplay (7.3%) + 37k sales (26.1%) 16. Plug Walk - 27.3M streams (92.7%) + 5M airplay (2.9%) + 6k sales (4.4%) 17. Call Out My Name - 25.7M streams (91.3%) + 4M airplay (2.8%) + 8k sales (5.9%) 18. Havana - 17.4M streams (52.9%) + 57M airplay (37.9%) + 12k sales (9.2%) 19. Pray For Me - 9.8M streams (33.6%) + 85M airplay (56.3%) + 13k sales (10.1%) 20. Whatever It Takes - 5.8M streams (21.8%) + 78M airplay (55.7%) + 27k sales (22.5%) Streaming - 61.3% Radio - 27.6% Sales - 11.1% Highest % Streaming in Top 50 - Japan - 96.9% Highest % Radio in Top 50 - Lights Down Low - 70% Highest % Sales in Top 50 - You Make It Easy - 29.9%

Final Predictions 1. Nice For What 478 (=) 2 weeks #1 2. God's Plan 460 (=) 3. Meant to Be 343 (=) 4. Psycho 314 (=) 5. The Middle 277 (+1) 6. Look Alive 276 (-1) 7. Perfect 244 (=) 8. Freaky Friday 237 (+1) 9. I Like It 207 (-1) 10. Walk It Talk It 206 (+2) 11. Mine 205 (+3) 12. Finesse 202 (-2) 13. Never Be the Same 200 (+2) 14. Be Careful 198 (-3) 15. Chun-Li 194 (+77) 16. Plug Walk 189 (-3) 17. Call Out My Name 187 (+3) 18. Havana 180 (-2) 19. Pray For Me 180 (-2) 20. Whatever It Takes 167 (+2) 21. Sad! 166 (-3) 22. Stir Fry 158 (-3) 23. Rockstar 154 (+1) 24. All the Stars 154 (+1) 25. New Rules 152 (+2) 26. Ric Flair Drip 152 (=) 27. Barbie Tingz 151 (+56) 28. Heaven 150 (+2) 29. You Make It Easy 144 (+12) 30. Friends 141 (+4) 31. Esskeetit 140 (NEW) 32. Thunder 139 (+1) 33. Japan 138 (-4) 34. Wait 134 (+1) 35. Let You Down 131 (-4) 36. In My Blood 130 (+1) 37. Powerglide 128 (-1) 38. Drip 124 (-17) 39. Feel It Still 122 (+1) 40. Bartier Cardi 115 (-8) 41. Say Something 113 (+1) 42. Lights Down Low 112 (+3) 43. I Do 110 (-20) 44. Him & I 109 (=) 45. I Fall Apart 109 (+1) 46. Bad at Love 107 (+2) 47. King's Dead 106 (=) 48. Most People Are Good 105 (+12) 49. New Freezer 105 (=) 50. Ring 104 (-22)

Radio and YT. Of course it's still super early and we don't have any YT #'s for this week yet. And NFW and GP are super close in points. But it wouldn't surprise me if GP returned to #1.