charts discussion Winston - Hot 100 Predictions: Anti/Hero #1; Lift Me Up #2

[pride4jc1222]

7 minutes ago, FightDragonsWithMe said:

Rooting for Taylor to keep her #1 

Here you go: 

 

[TrieLz]

13 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Here you go: 

 

She wants a multi-week #1 for both US & UK chart!! 

[inmymendes]

3 hours ago, Trainwreck said:

 

????? Willow was #1 everywhere during it's release week, the discount only gave the song one tiny little push. LMU on the other hand can't even enter the Top 20 on Spotify/Apple Music after Disney pulled out all these tricks and you know damn well they sent radio stations some big FAT cheques  I mean if you want tl drag, at least do some research before posting nonsense 

Smash hit

 

 

Edited November 3, 2022 by inmymendes

[inmymendes]

Drake is releasing his album tonight, so I kind of expect him to have the next number 1 song. 

Edited November 3, 2022 by inmymendes

[ALA]

Not Taylor potentially having 5 spots in the top 10

[nsst]

1 hour ago, inmymendes said:

Smash hit

 

 

Oh wow! A song released without radio support and in the middle of Christmas? How could she break that record? Shock! 

 

- 

 

Taylor is truly a phenomenon. 

A totally unique and long-lasting artist. A legend fr

Edited November 4, 2022 by nsst
..

[pride4jc1222]

3 hours ago, inmymendes said:

Drake is releasing his album tonight, so I kind of expect him to have the next number 1 song. 

Let's see if Drake can one-up Taylor and claim 14 of or the entire Top 15.

[fridayteenage]

US Youtube switched back to Antihero too:

 

7	+1	Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero	1,277,515	+52,495
8	-3	Rihanna - Lift Me Up (From Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - Music From and Inspired By)	1,212,002	-262,195

[simmnfierzig]

7 hours ago, greeneyedsoul said:

So what's the latest prediction? 

 

The radio switch actually helps Anti-Hero very slightly. Makes it from a 8-9M gap to 7-8M gap as it had a bit more AirPlay October 31 - November 3

 

 

Edited November 4, 2022 by simmnfierzig

[suburbannature]

I think Anti-Hero has it, tbh

[Harry]

today’s radio update could be the tiebreaker me thinks 

[Squall]

12 hours ago, bad guy said:

Willow was not going #1 even with the multiple remixes, videos, CD variants, vinyl variants, and discounts which is why there were additional discounts to the discounts. Not really domination but ok

 

Willow debuted with more points than what LMU will debut with despite having 60M Al in a week  

[simmnfierzig]

20 minutes ago, Harry said:

today’s radio update could be the tiebreaker me thinks 

The last 3-4 days have pretty much been the same. There is no big variance where it will go

[Harry]

1 hour ago, simmnfierzig said:

The last 3-4 days have pretty much been the same. There is no big variance where it will go

no i mean the midweek predictions have radio at lower number for LMU. it’s outperformed the predictions at least on this metric. maybe im not getting this right tho. 

[simmnfierzig]

2 minutes ago, Harry said:

no i mean the midweek predictions have radio at lower number for LMU. it’s outperformed the predictions at least on this metric. maybe im not getting this right tho. 

The radio numbers I've seen for LMU seem fine. They last few days havent changed that

 

 

The official Billboard announcement of the change to Mediabase  changed the numbers a bit, but as I said in favor of Anti-Hero. 

[Harry]

1 minute ago, simmnfierzig said:

The radio numbers I've seen for LMU seem fine. They last few days havent changed that

 

 

The official Billboard announcement of the change to Mediabase  changed the numbers a bit, but as I said in favor of Anti-Hero. 

if you may, how exactly the change in rule affect both songs? why is it in favor of AH

[simmnfierzig]

14 minutes ago, Harry said:

if you may, how exactly the change in rule affect both songs? why is it in favor of AH

October 31 to November 3 will now use the higher Mediabase numbers. AH had slightly higher airplay than LMU on those 4 days.

 

First 3 days of the week will still have the old numbers. Which are ~30% lower than Mediabase. LMU had that massive first day, using Mediabase for that would have greatly helped LMU, but its confirmed now that its only starting October 31

Edited November 4, 2022 by simmnfierzig

[Badgalbriel]

11 hours ago, inmymendes said:

Smash hit

 

 

I don't get you point. The song was still #1 on its first week. 

[Cloröx]

I wish Drake releases his album last week so both Navy and Swifties will help each other instead of fighting 

[Paola Bracho]

3 minutes ago, Cloröx said:

I wish Drake releases his album last week so both Navy and Swifties will help each other instead of fighting 

Nah. ATRL became interesting and fun again after a looong time.

[Cloröx]

4 minutes ago, Paola Bracho said:

Nah. ATRL became interesting and fun again after a looong time.

It's a mess but we need something to save this dying website 

[pride4jc1222]

Drake is coming. Already 10 of the Top 11 just 9 hours in: 

 

 

[Starchild]

42 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Drake is coming. Already 10 of the Top 11 just 9 hours in: 

 

 

Well yeah he's huge especially on AM

[Headlock]

18 hours ago, bad guy said:

Willow was not going #1 even with the multiple remixes, videos, CD variants, vinyl variants, and discounts which is why there were additional discounts to the discounts. Not really domination but ok

 

True, it had nothing to do with the fact that it was competing against AIWFCIY... the week before Christmas

 

[pride4jc1222]

HER LOSS ON AM AFTER 12 HOURS

1/76(DEBUT) Rich Flex/clean version
2(DEBUT) Major Distribution
3(DEBUT) On BS
4(DEBUT) BackOutsideBoyz
5(DEBUT) Spin Bout U
6(DEBUT) Privileged Rappers
7(DEBUT) Hours in Silence
8(DEBUT) P***y & Millions
9(DEBUT) Circo Loco
11(DEBUT) Treacherous Twins
12(DEBUT) Middle of the Ocean
13(DEBUT) Broke Boys
14(DEBUT) I Guess It's F**k Ne
15(DEBUT) 3AM on Glenwood
16(DEBUT) More M's
17(DEBUT) Jumbotron s**t Poppin