news 2024 US Election Megathread 🇺🇸🏛️

[GhostBox]

37 minutes ago, VOSS said:

 

She will just pulll a Kennedy and pretend she never said that. That's literally all he does in his interviews when confronted with clips of things he said 💀

[GhostBox]

Make it make sense 💀

 

[ZeroSuitBritney]

Daily reminder Genocide Joe is over xoxo

[Gottasadae]

16 minutes ago, ZeroSuitBritney said:

Daily reminder Genocide Joe is over xoxo

[GhostBox]

maybe NBC should skip showing it then 🤷

[argentite]

So the RNC fired McDaniel, but they don't like it that NBC fired her? Pot, kettle.

[Bloo]

11 hours ago, Redstreak said:

?

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/

For the millionth time, the FiveThirtyEight predictive model is not a poll.

 

It a statistical black box that should be taken with 10,000 pounds of salt. Even still, their statistical model giving Dems a 41% chance of winning the Senate and them ultimately doing it isn't a contradiction. A 41% probability does not round down to 0% likelihood. That's the biggest mistake most people seem to have when interpreting these models which, again, are not polling data and thus are not good arguments to highlight how polls are unreliable. 41% is closer to 1/2 than it is to 1/3 41% is good odds—especially since the Dems barely won the Senate. The fact that the model forecasted significantly less likelihood of the Democrats keeping the House and that being the result seems to suggest that there is something real being captured in the data.

 

Quote

Did the polls predict a red wave or was that the pundits interpreting the polls? 

Polling never predicted a red wave - certainly not in the Senate and with a wide range of uncertainty focused mostly on more moderate GOP gains in the House.

https://www.rutgers.edu/news/what-happened-red-wave

[GhostBox]

 

[ClashAndBurn]

The polls said Hillary was likely to win, but her lead was within the margin of error in swing states. That was enough for an environment where Hillary Hens had unfounded levels of super-high confidence in her inevitable victory, even though everyone who had a realistic view of the election outcome knew she was in danger. Michael Moore was screaming from the rooftops that she was about to lose Michigan and liberals told him to stfu.

[Bloo]

38 minutes ago, ClashAndBurn said:

The polls said Hillary was likely to win, but her lead was within the margin of error in swing states. That was enough for an environment where Hillary Hens had unfounded levels of super-high confidence in her inevitable victory, even though everyone who had a realistic view of the election outcome knew she was in danger. Michael Moore was screaming from the rooftops that she was about to lose Michigan and liberals told him to stfu.

Another good example of this is actually FiveThirtyEight. Nate Silver’s model (roughly) gave Trump a 33% chance of winning and Hillary a 67% chance of winning. Note: 1 out of 3 are not bad odds; again, 33% does not round down to 0% likelihood. Anyway, Nate Silver was lambasted by overly confident liberals who said he lost the plot because his model was giving Trump such a high likelihood of winning. Nate Silver got so angry about the backlash that he went on a large Twitter rant defending the modeling only to gloat over the fact that Hillary lost as proof that his detractors fell for mindless punditry rather than actually just looking at the data. Here’s a link archiving this example and it was written right before the election:
https://www.businessinsider.com/nate-silver-model-odds-ryan-grim-2016-11?amp

[GhostBox]

 

[GraceRandolph]

 

[ClashAndBurn]

6 hours ago, GraceRandolph said:

 

And that's just outside the event! Inside, well…

 

 

[GhostBox]

7 hours ago, GraceRandolph said:

 

I guess she missed 2016 😂

[GhostBox]

 

[Vroom Vroom]

2 hours ago, ClashAndBurn said:

And that's just outside the event! Inside, well…

 

 

Didn't they have to donate at least $200 to the Biden campaign to be in the theater? 
5 protesters = $1,000 for the Biden campaign. They have supported his reelection effort more than I have. I've given the Biden campaign $0 

 

Donating to interrupt the event sounds counterproductive 

[GhostBox]

 

[GhostBox]

Ah yea never forget how Trump conditioned help on wether the governor liked or praised him 

 

[GhostBox]

 

[ZeroSuitBritney]

 

Looking forward to November xoxo

 

https://news.gallup.com/poll/642695/majority-disapprove-israeli-action-gaza.aspx

[GhostBox]

Even at a funeral trump makes it about how much they loved him in the funeral 💀

 

[GhostBox]

12 minutes ago, ZeroSuitBritney said:

 

Looking forward to November xoxo

 

https://news.gallup.com/poll/642695/majority-disapprove-israeli-action-gaza.aspx

why are you looking forward to November? Just to see Biden lose? 
 

yet with that comes worse stakes for Gaza and the people living there. Trump and Bibi love each other and Trump will be letting him do and get away with alot more than the Biden admin have 💀 I know you may think what more can they do? But there's plenty more knowing they don't have the US breathing down their backs. Not to mention how the people in the US protesting this issue will be treated and many deported. Trumps already released a plan to deport people he can for protesting against Isreal. but I guess that's what you are "looking forward to" 
 

Edited March 29 by GhostBox

[ZeroSuitBritney]

Just now, GhostBox said:

why are you looking forward to November? Just to see Biden lose? 
 

yet with that comes worse stakes for Gaza and the people living there. Trump and Bibi love each other and Trump will be letting him do and get away with alot more than the Biden admin have 💀not to mention how the people in the US protesting this issue will be treated and many deported. Trumps already released a plan to deport people he can for protesting against Isreal. but I guess that's what you are "looking forward to" 
 

Once again, your brain dead empty box refuses to realize that whatever would happen to us or Gaza if Trump wins is not our fault, regardless of how many times we need to explain this to you. It's not the Independents fault. It's not the fault of people who stay home and don't vote. It's not the fault of people who vote for third party in a swing state. And more importantly it's not the fault of people who refuse to support an old clown who is literally breaking international rules by bypassing Congress 100 times to give weapons of destructions to a state conducting what is now an unarguable genocide. 
 

It is, without a question, the sole fault and responsibility of Joe Biden and the Democratic Party for being complicit to what is truly happening, trying to hide it or sweep it under the rug, and know it risks him winning re-election. If Joe Biden is willing to lose re-election by his unconditional support for a genocidal country and our Democratic leaders are turning a blind eye to what is happening so they continue getting coins from Israel lobbies, that is entirely on them. The sooner you understand that, the more you will be at peace… and maybe produce a couple brain cells when it comes to basic things like common sense.

[GhostBox]

16 minutes ago, ZeroSuitBritney said:

Once again, your brain dead empty box refuses to realize that whatever would happen to us or Gaza if Trump wins is not our fault, regardless of how many times we need to explain this to you. It's not the Independents fault. It's not the fault of people who stay home and don't vote. It's not the fault of people who vote for third party in a swing state. And more importantly it's not the fault of people who refuse to support an old clown who is literally breaking international rules by bypassing Congress 100 times to give weapons of destructions to a state conducting what is now an unarguable genocide. 
 

It is, without a question, the sole fault and responsibility of Joe Biden and the Democratic Party for being complicit to what is truly happening, trying to hide it or sweep it under the rug, and know it risks him winning re-election. If Joe Biden is willing to lose re-election by his unconditional support for a genocidal country and our Democratic leaders are turning a blind eye to what is happening so they continue getting coins from Israel lobbies, that is entirely on them. The sooner you understand that, the more you will be at peace… and maybe produce a couple brain cells when it comes to basic things like common sense.

Um I didn't say anything about anyone being to blame for Trump winning in that comment. Maybe you should re read that. 
 

you said you are looking forward to November. I asked was it  just to see Biden lose because everything else that comes along with that will be worse than what is happening now 🤷

yet you are so eager for that time to come. 

Also again you resort to name calling. It's a pattern with you and a few others. Not surprising though. Maybe that why you won't mind another trump term. You can relate to the way he behaves 

 

 

Edited March 29 by GhostBox

[GhostBox]

So looking forward to this again