charts discussion Final Predictions (5/25): Posty/Morgan #1 (675 pts), biggest debut of 2024

[faceclef]

4 hours ago, Braz said:

Kendrick almost 1 million ahead of Post/Morgan already... 

thank god, the biggest musical moment of the decade should not be blocked by that

 

watch him run back to metro boomin after this

[Ms. Togekiss]

I hope the morgan song doesn't have any legs but after last night anything is possible

[JBJT2786]

Looks like the Posty song had only initial curious hype cuz if it keeps dropping like this it might be a close race. Honestly the only thing that might save it from losing the top spot is that radio deal

[fridayteenage]

well last night only had 2 weeks above 14 million on US Spotify. the streaming competition was much weaker. and it had a lot of airplay. 

[TeamThiem]

I was not understanding the hype for the post/morgan song.  

 

Kendrick >.

[Paul]

6 hours ago, Michael196 said:

US AM:

1(+1) Not Like Us

2(-1) IHSH

3(=) MDB

 

US Spotify:

1(=) Not Like Us - 4.9M (-1M) - 17.8M weekly total so far

2(=) MDB - 4.6M (-1M) - 15.9M

3(=) IHSH - 3.9M (-1.4M) - 17.1M

 

US YT: (friday+saturday)

1(=) Not Like Us - 4.8M

2(=) IHSH - 3.9M

3(+1) MDB - 2.4M

 

Do the MDB figures include both versions, though?

[B-Luke]

17 minutes ago, Paul said:

Do the MDB figures include both versions, though?

No it's #1 on US Spotify with 5,263,227 and 18,197,486 since Friday

[TiaTamera]

8 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Here's the list I have (since January 15, 2022, when the one lifetime sale of a song per person rule was enacted):

 

1. Anti-Hero - 327k (November 19, 2022)

2. Try That in a Small Town - 228k (July 29, 2023)

3. Try That in a Small Town - 175k (August 5, 2023)

4. Seven - 153k (July 29, 2023)

5. Rich Men North of Richmond - 147k (August 26, 2023)

6. Rich Men North of Richmond - 117k (September 2, 2023)

7. Hiss - 104k (February 10, 2024)

Thank you! 

[slas]

This has way more sales/streams outside Spotify than people think and is easily debuting at #1 no matter how hard it keeps tanking on Spotify.

 

Everything was down hard on US Spotify today anyway for whatever reason. It will get a good boost for Monday's update. It was extremely stable in Europe on Sunday. US was an anomaly. 

 

"Million Dollar Baby" is so fraudulent. Its streams outside of Spotify haven't moved (in fact they've decreased) while Spotify keeps skyrocketing thanks to autoplay. Get that song OUT of here

[slas]

12 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Here's the list I have (since January 15, 2022, when the one lifetime sale of a song per person rule was enacted):

 

1. Anti-Hero - 327k (November 19, 2022)

2. Try That in a Small Town - 228k (July 29, 2023)

3. Try That in a Small Town - 175k (August 5, 2023)

4. Seven - 153k (July 29, 2023)

5. Rich Men North of Richmond - 147k (August 26, 2023)

6. Rich Men North of Richmond - 117k (September 2, 2023)

7. Hiss - 104k (February 10, 2024)

This isn't correct. "Like Crazy" debuted at #1 with over 200K sales in 2023, and then they removed website sales shortly afterwards. So none of this is equivalent...

[TrieLz]

13 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Here's the list I have (since January 15, 2022, when the one lifetime sale of a song per person rule was enacted):

 

1. Anti-Hero - 327k (November 19, 2022)

2. Try That in a Small Town - 228k (July 29, 2023)

3. Try That in a Small Town - 175k (August 5, 2023)

4. Seven - 153k (July 29, 2023)

5. Rich Men North of Richmond - 147k (August 26, 2023)

6. Rich Men North of Richmond - 117k (September 2, 2023)

7. Hiss - 104k (February 10, 2024)

This list incorrect

Billboard changes the digital sales rules after Jimin debut #1 with 250k+ sales in April 2023

that's why Like Crazy fell to #45 second week because BB changes the sales rules, if Not Jimin second week would be in the Top 10 (TOTC's prediction)

 

so Anti Hero is OUT from this list.

Edited May 14 by TrieLz

[bad guy]

So is a Post #1 cancelled?

 

[dussymob]

3 hours ago, slas said:

This has way more sales/streams outside Spotify than people think and is easily debuting at #1 no matter how hard it keeps tanking on Spotify.

 

Everything was down hard on US Spotify today anyway for whatever reason. It will get a good boost for Monday's update. It was extremely stable in Europe on Sunday. US was an anomaly. 

 

"Million Dollar Baby" is so fraudulent. Its streams outside of Spotify haven't moved (in fact they've decreased) while Spotify keeps skyrocketing thanks to autoplay. Get that song OUT of here

It's literally number 3 on Apple Music and 5 on iTunes. You sound bitter and stupid. 

[Green]

So for ATRL every #1 for a new artist with their first single is fraudulent?

 

 

Anyways Tommy Richman is now doing 2.1 million more streams that Posty/Morgan and almost 1 million more than Kendrick on US Spotify. I wonder if he's closer to  #1 now...

 

1. Million dollar baby: 6.2 million

2. Not like us  5.3 million

3. I Had Some Help 4.1 million

[Nefertiti0]

 

[Askeroff]

from 20 points lead to 100

King of Pop 

 

[Green]

2 hours ago, Askeroff said:

from 20 points lead to 100

King of Pop 

 

 

100 points lead   

 

Then sales must be huge

[Green]

9 hours ago, bad guy said:

So is a Post #1 cancelled?

 

 

Nope

 

 

 

[IBeMe]

It's such a bop! Happy for Posty. This year has been fabulous for him and I hope his album smashes. 

[Gossip_Boy]

Keep in mind Morgan always does extremely well in places like Pandora and Amazon Music as well.

Edited May 14 by Gossip_Boy

[Nefertiti0]

 

[Green]

a 132 points lead for "I had some help" 

[Ger]

Top 4 is exceptionally strong

[PurrKaty]

1 hour ago, Nefertiti0 said:

 

The entire top 10 has such high #1's this week   Even song #11 is stronger than some weeks #1  lmao

[Post Malone]

2 hours ago, Green said:

 

Nope

 

 

 

Oh he won won