discussion Brazil presidential elections: Round 2 - Lula defeats Bolsonaro!! ??

[4Real]

2 minutes ago, Gui Blackout said:

Not looking good for Lula at all. Bolsonaro is performing strongly in key states and exceeding poll expectations

 

Looks like it will go to R2 with him winning R1

This is a disaster

[Mat.91]

23 minutes ago, Gui Blackout said:

Not looking good for Lula at all. Bolsonaro is performing strongly in key states and exceeding poll expectations

 

Looks like it will go to R2 with him winning R1

Probably ending up with 48% Lula vs 42% Bolsanaro

 

[Gui Blackout]

1 minute ago, Mat.91 said:

Probably ending up with 48% Lula vs 42% Bolsanaro

 

Unless Nordeste really pulls through, I think it will be narrower than that

[Mat.91]

3 minutes ago, Gui Blackout said:

Unless Nordeste really pulls through, I think it will be narrower than that

60% in

Bolsanaro 46%
Lula 45.2%

 

Probably overtaking Bolsanaro by 75% counted

Edited October 2, 2022 by Mat.91

[Mat.91]

66% in

 

Bolsanaro 45.7%
Lula 45.5%

 

I guess Lula will take over sooner than I thought

[Mat.91]

70% in

 

Lula 45.74%

Bolsanaro 45.51%

 

gaining 0.5% every 10% of the votes counted, while Bolsanaro losing the same

 

So yes, all is leading to a 47% against 44% outcome and Bolsanaro overperforming (which was kinda predictable)

[Gui Blackout]

10 minutes ago, Mat.91 said:

60% in

Bolsanaro 46%
Lula 45.2%

 

Probably overtaking Bolsanaro by 75% counted

Did in 70%

[Communion]

3 minutes ago, Mat.91 said:

66% in

 

Bolsanaro 45.7%
Lula 45.5%

 

I guess Lula will take over sooner than I thought

The rural votes coming in. 

 

 

[4Real]

Yas Lula PASS him

 

 

[NausAllien]

LOL. As ALWAYS the biggest losers are pollsters.

 

I think Lula may overtake Bolsonaro, but I don't think he'll be able to win in the first round. There will be a runoff.

 

But I don't think many people expected polls to be so damn wrong. Some of them gave Lula an advantage of 15 points.

 

[4Real]

3 minutes ago, NausAllien said:

LOL. As ALWAYS the biggest losers are pollsters.

 

I think Lula may overtake Bolsonaro, but I don't think he'll be able to win in the first round. There will be a runoff.

 

But I don't think many people expected polls to be so damn wrong. Some of them gave Lula an advantage of 15 points.

 

Yeah totally unlikely.

[4Real]

I don't think we've had results this close in the first round since the redemocratization tbh. Crazy.

[Karla Cabello]

vamos lula

 

[NausAllien]

1 minute ago, 4Real said:

I don't think we've had results this close in the first round since the redemocratization tbh. Crazy.

It just goes to show how deeply divided Brazil is. Bolsonaro and Lula couldn't be more different, and yet Brazil is split almost in the middle between one and the other. 

[Bad News]

Ugh, conservatives winning all around. It was bad for us. It was really, REALLY bad for us.

[4Real]

1 minute ago, NausAllien said:

It just goes to show how deeply divided Brazil is. Bolsonaro and Lula couldn't be more different, and yet Brazil is split almost in the middle between one and the other. 

Indeed.

[4Real]

Just now, NicoleAMatty said:

Ugh, conservatives winning all around. It was bad for us. It was really, REALLY bad for us.

Terrible. Here in my state we managed to elect a tragic senator, give bolsonaro 52% of votes and we'll have a 2nd round between the current governor and bolsonaro's puppet 

[John Slayne]

Bolsonaro OUT

[NausAllien]

1 minute ago, John Slayne said:

Bolsonaro OUT

Not yet. We'll see what happens on October 30th.

 

[Mat.91]

Lula is increasing by larger margin now

 

Maybe 48% is possible now

 

Still a 2R will be needed

[Gui Blackout]

1 minute ago, NausAllien said:

Not yet. We'll see what happens on October 30th.

 

Very little room for Bolsonaro to gain here. The other candidates are more center/center-left so Lula will snatch the most votes going forward.

[Bad News]

5 minutes ago, 4Real said:

Terrible. Here in my state we managed to elect a tragic senator, give bolsonaro 52% of votes and we'll have a 2nd round between the current governor and bolsonaro's puppet 

The senate is just... over. PACKED with conservatives. 8 whole years of having to deal with all those nasty people.

Hate to be that person, but this is already a defeat for us. Even if Lula wins.

[Gui Blackout]

The way Ciro FLOPPED a whole ass clown

[4Real]

2 minutes ago, NicoleAMatty said:

The senate is just... over. PACKED with conservatives. 8 whole years of having to deal with all those nasty people.

Hate to be that person, but this is already a defeat for us. Even if Lula wins.

I agree. But it's been like this since 2018 (maybe earlier? idk i didn't really follow elections back then)

[Bad News]

Pollsters are pretty much over, by the way.