charts discussion Early Hot 100 predictions (Winston): AIWx 14 #1, SFG #2, Bad Habit #3

[pride4jc1222]

Updated predictions: 

 

 

[ClashAndBurn]

Could Morgan climb to #1 with "You Proof" maybe? Seems like an album release at the right moment would boost it enough with how weak the top 3 is.

[TrieLz]

Next week Posty & Doja might hit top 3,

poor Sunroof get blocked from Top 3 

[JCsNumba1Fan]

6 hours ago, ClashAndBurn said:

Could Morgan climb to #1 with "You Proof" maybe? Seems like an album release at the right moment would boost it enough with how weak the top 3 is.

I can feel my ancestors descending down with the wrath of an everlasting hell to anyone manifesting this. 

[Great808]

BMS looking to drop even further out of the top 20 completely but the Hive said it was totally going to last longer 

[Assassin]

Not 14 weeks (and counting). 

[slw84]

3 hours ago, Great808 said:

BMS looking to drop even further out of the top 20 completely but the Hive said it was totally going to last longer 

Well they gave her a solo #1 so that single ladies wasn't her last one.

 

It's more clear that there was a strategy to build up her radio for six weeks...magically peak on radio so that streams and sales from the stans would do the rest and then it started to fall on radio which typical hits don't do that in six weeks right before an album release. It usually occurs two-three months in the run.

 

So that was sus but it's interestingly losing a bunch of audience without having a new song surging on radio to take its place like it's normally done when a hit starts to fall. So it's sus that without a new song exploding on radio that this song is losing so much audience and spins. It gives leverage to those who think there was a deal to run up the audience numbers for peak to align with album release week.

 

That being said, Harry Styles owning this summer is a bit underwhelming. I'm here for a 15 week #1 but I don't want it to go beyond that tbh.

 

[Draper.]

1 hour ago, slw84 said:

Well they gave her a solo #1 so that single ladies wasn't her last one.

 

It's more clear that there was a strategy to build up her radio for six weeks...magically peak on radio so that streams and sales from the stans would do the rest and then it started to fall on radio which typical hits don't do that in six weeks right before an album release. It usually occurs two-three months in the run.

 

So that was sus but it's interestingly losing a bunch of audience without having a new song surging on radio to take its place like it's normally done when a hit starts to fall. So it's sus that without a new song exploding on radio that this song is losing so much audience and spins. It gives leverage to those who think there was a deal to run up the audience numbers for peak to align with album release week.

 

That being said, Harry Styles owning this summer is a bit underwhelming. I'm here for a 15 week #1 but I don't want it to go beyond that tbh.

 

 

 

BMS peaks on radio and Billboard didn’t happen at the same time. But if that fits your narrative I guess that’s fine. 

[Lovett]

25 minutes ago, Draper. said:

BMS peaks on radio and Billboard didn’t happen at the same time. But if that fits your narrative I guess that’s fine. 

I'm cackling at them just straight up making up lies.

[HEAVYONIT]

Radio is such a payola scam. SFG outdoing BH in REAL consumption and they’re tied in points because of radio.

[thetea]

SFG should be #1. It literally has more streams and sales. radio weighs too much on billboards formula

[Shaner69]

Yeah SFG is the #1 song this week forsure. 

[Shaner69]

Does anyone have the chart movements of BMS, SL, and Rom. 

 

I think Beyonce has the bigger hit and I hope it's ok asking this in here. 

[Lovett]

4 minutes ago, Shaner69 said:

Does anyone have the chart movements of BMS, SL, and Rom. 

 

I think Beyonce has the bigger hit and I hope it's ok asking this in here. 

First 12 weeks

BMS: 15-7-9-9-7-6-1-1-4-5-9-15

SL: 5-30-25-27-27-32-33-46-61-OUT (9 weeks)

ROM: 1-5-10-9-11-12-16-28-14-29-35-36

[Great808]

2 hours ago, Shaner69 said:

Does anyone have the chart movements of BMS, SL, and Rom. 

 

I think Beyonce has the bigger hit and I hope it's ok asking this in here. 

She does not, it’s barely going to outdo SL in the long run. BMS ain’t **** to ROM 

[Sinister]

13 minutes ago, Great808 said:

She does not, it’s barely going to outdo SL in the long run. BMS ain’t **** to ROM 

Well BMS has already matched the amount of weeks ROM did on the charts…and it’s still charting

[Great808]

26 minutes ago, Sinister said:

Well BMS has already matched the amount of weeks ROM did on the charts…and it’s still charting

And look where ROM is on streams compared to BMS… 

[45seconds]

9 hours ago, slw84 said:

Well they gave her a solo #1 so that single ladies wasn't her last one.

 

It's more clear that there was a strategy to build up her radio for six weeks...magically peak on radio so that streams and sales from the stans would do the rest and then it started to fall on radio which typical hits don't do that in six weeks right before an album release. It usually occurs two-three months in the run.

 

So that was sus but it's interestingly losing a bunch of audience without having a new song surging on radio to take its place like it's normally done when a hit starts to fall. So it's sus that without a new song exploding on radio that this song is losing so much audience and spins. It gives leverage to those who think there was a deal to run up the audience numbers for peak to align with album release week.

 

That being said, Harry Styles owning this summer is a bit underwhelming. I'm here for a 15 week #1 but I don't want it to go beyond that tbh.

 

 

 

It was pulled from radio was it not? And BMS falling was nothing spectacular. It legitimately peaked and then fell after album release when everyone was waiting on single #2. That single never materialized so nothing replaced it. 
 

This isn’t a About Damn Time or a As it Was that are curated for radio first and foremost. 

[45seconds]

2 hours ago, Great808 said:

And look where ROM is on streams compared to BMS… 

It has Ariana attached. 

 

3 hours ago, Great808 said:

She does not, it’s barely going to outdo SL in the long run. BMS ain’t **** to ROM 

It’s is in every way much bigger than Stupid Love like be fr. 

[Great808]

5 minutes ago, 45seconds said:

It has Ariana attached. 

 

It’s is in every way much bigger than Stupid Love like be fr. 

800M streams did not all come from Ariana, it’s still her song and keep in mind it wasn’t out for weeks in advance and is quite better than SL by a looooot. She would still have the lead. 

[45seconds]

10 minutes ago, Great808 said:

800M streams did not all come from Ariana, it’s still her song and keep in mind it wasn’t out for weeks in advance and is quite better than SL by a looooot. She would still have the lead. 

Please be serious. Ariana contributed at least half of that. That stupid SL leak excuse is garbage and completed made irrelevant since Beyoncé’s entire album leaked and it did not one thing to hurt her chart performance and she went on to decimate Chrimatica’s first week streams and sales.
 

Beyoncé is the bigger artist. Like just get over it. 

[Great808]

2 minutes ago, 45seconds said:

Please be serious. Ariana contributed at least half of that. That stupid SL leak excuse is garbage and completed made irrelevant since Beyoncé’s entire album leaked and it did not one thing to hurt her chart performance and she went on to decimate Chrimatica’s first week streams and sales.
 

Beyoncé is the bigger artist. Like just get over it. 

And how long was Recession leaked before it’s debut as opposed to SL’s? Not even cloooooose 5 weeks leak compared to 2 days leak plzzzzzz try harder. ROM would have at LEAST 500M minimum, stop the delusion. 

[Lose My Breath]

15 minutes ago, Great808 said:

And how long was Recession leaked before it’s debut as opposed to SL’s? Not even cloooooose 5 weeks leak compared to 2 days leak plzzzzzz try harder. ROM would have at LEAST 500M minimum, stop the delusion. 

Take your own advice

 

 

[family.guy123]

3 hours ago, Great808 said:

And look where ROM is on streams compared to BMS… 

What are both their total US streams across all streaming services?

[Great808]

17 minutes ago, family.guy123 said:

What are both their total US streams across all streaming services?

ROM: 800M+ Spotify, 370M Youtube

 

BMS: 170M+ Spotify, 28M Youtube

 

Who knows the other services.