base talk Billboard Year-End Charts 2022 (projection)

[Moonlight Nation]

1 hour ago, byzantium said:

So RED will be the #4 album of 2012, #2 album of 2013, and #4 album of 2022!  How many other albums have spent 3 years in the top 3 year end? 

I was looking over the stats for some longevity beasts of the past ("Thriller", "Rhythm Nation", "The Bodyguard", "21", Taylor's own "1989", "beerbongs & bentleys", "Hollywood's Bleeding"), and it seems like "RED" would indeed become the first album in history to have three years as one of the top 10 biggest albums of the year - let alone top 5.

 

She's insane for this 

1 hour ago, Green said:

 

EOM will probably finish around #5

 

1. Heat Waves

2. As It Was

3. Stay

4. First Class

5. EOM

6. Big Energy

 

We can only hope "Easy On Me" manages to sneak in, or else 2022 will end up alongside 1991 as one of the worst Year-End top 5s of all time. I quite enjoy "Heat Waves" and "STAY", but it would be so embarrassing to have the two better songs being repeats from the previous year - both of which long overstayed their welcome due to sheer stagnation of the charts. Rather not comment on the other three pieces of corporate mediocrity.

 

52 minutes ago, UnusualBoy said:

The fact that Adele may end up making the top 10 in all those charts in her flop era

I know right! 

 

Ditto for The Weeknd (with the exception of the Hot 100 charts - sadly). I'm looking forward for "The Highlights" to become a yearly top 10 staple on the Billboard 200 

[makeme]

Doja only released 4 singles this year 

That has to be a record for hot 100 artist 

Edited September 2, 2022 by makeme

[VioletsandRoses]

30 isn’t year end #1 anymore? I thought she had it for lock 

[Аshanti]

3 hours ago, byzantium said:

So RED will be the #4 album of 2012, #2 album of 2013, and #4 album of 2022!

No, Red (TV) [re-released & re-packed] {15 extra songs added!} will

[kwek_kwek]

3 hours ago, Green said:

 

THIS!

 

The Hot 100 prediction is very off.

 

Cold Heart and Super Gremlin will leave the chart next week so they won't be higher than Easy On Me. The same goes to Shivers which leave the chart in 2 weeks. And Ghost won't have more points than EOM neither because it only has 4 weeks left before going recurrent

 

 

 

EOM will probably finish around #5

 

1. Heat Waves

2. As It Was

3. Stay

4. First Class

5. EOM

6. Big Energy

 

 

 

Heat Waves charting for 83 weeks. I guess it will break Blinding Lights record unless Taylor’s album bomb push it to recurrent. 

[GreatestLoveofAll]

4 hours ago, Green said:

 

THIS!

 

The Hot 100 prediction is very off.

 

Cold Heart and Super Gremlin will leave the chart next week so they won't be higher than Easy On Me. The same goes to Shivers which leave the chart in 2 weeks. And Ghost won't have more points than EOM neither because it only has 4 weeks left before going recurrent

 

 

 

EOM will probably finish around #5

 

1. Heat Waves

2. As It Was

3. Stay

4. First Class

5. EOM

6. Big Energy

 

 

 

nah #3 or #4 if AIW can catch up fast enough from what i think

 

idk who made these predictions- Bad Bunny isnt passing Adele by that much is he? 3 million at most

[GreatestLoveofAll]

2 hours ago, VioletsandRoses said:

30 isn’t year end #1 anymore? I thought she had it for lock 

She probably wont by November considering how big BB is rn and how he hasnt dipped lower than 100k since he released  but it'll be #2 and if he does slow down who knows?

[Alex]

Doja ate @professor2000 @dabunique

[kwek_kwek]

47 minutes ago, GreatestLoveofAll said:

nah #3 or #4 if AIW can catch up fast enough from what i think

 

idk who made these predictions- Bad Bunny isnt passing Adele by that much is he? 3 million at most

EOM won’t be number 3. Look at the points difference. It is less than 300 points. It will surpass by AIW in the next two weeks. 

[Kyle-x]

3 hours ago, makeme said:

Doja only released 4 singles this year 

That has to be a record for hot 100 artist 

Kiss Me More, You Right, Need to Know, Woman, Get Into It (Yuh), Freaky Deaky, Vegas and I Like You (A Happier Song) were all charting and contributing during the tracking period.

[Mystic Boy]

4 hours ago, Аshanti said:

No, Red (TV) [re-released & re-packed] {15 extra songs added!} will

 

 

 

OT: Doja

[professor2000]

5 hours ago, dangerousalex said:

Doja ate @professor2000 @dabunique

[GreatestLoveofAll]

5 hours ago, kwek_kwek said:

EOM won’t be number 3. Look at the points difference. It is less than 300 points. It will surpass by AIW in the next two weeks. 

thats why i said or #4! i wasnt too sure of how far AIW was in comparison.

[kwek_kwek]

51 minutes ago, GreatestLoveofAll said:

thats why i said or #4! i wasnt too sure of how far AIW was in comparison.

The #4 is also not a guarantee. First Class is coming as well unless it suddenly goes recurrent.  

[LastGreatBloodline]

only 2 albums and 2 songs were actually released this year 

[byzantium]

11 hours ago, Аshanti said:

No, Red (TV) [re-released & re-packed] {15 extra songs added!} will

Its Still the album RED by Taylor Swift though.  

[Zaram]

15 hours ago, Great808 said:

Where’s BEY?!  the Hive told everyone it was the biggest album of the year and nowhere in SIGHT! 

It doesn't look good for her. And it's like one of the few markets where she is relevant. WW it looks even worse

Even on Spotify charts she is tumbling down the charts and are fighting positions with Ariana Grande

[Аshanti]

7 minutes ago, byzantium said:

Its Still the album RED by Taylor Swift though.  

This thread is about the BB 200, 2 different albums though.

[byzantium]

1 hour ago, Аshanti said:

This thread is about the BB 200, 2 different albums though.

Its cute the hoops you jump though to think they are two different studio albums.  

[More Than A Melody]

11 hours ago, kwek_kwek said:

EOM won’t be number 3. Look at the points difference. It is less than 300 points. It will surpass by AIW in the next two weeks. 

AIW is already virtually above EOM. This week it's most likely gonna be #1 again with 230 points and the difference currently is 24 points (EOM 6,153 AIW 6,129).

 

AIW can end up at #2 if Stay goes recurrent at any point between now and the end of tracking (could happen with Taylor releasing soon). It's at 7,667 points with AIW at 6,129, with 10 weeks to go = the difference is 1,538 points or 154 points per week. AIW pulled 116 more points than Stay this week. If Stay misses one or two weeks out of the next 10 then AIW will end up on top. Stay was 20 this past week, recurrency happens when a song drops out of top 25 after 52 weeks. I can't imagine Taylor not putting 5 tracks of her album on top 25 tbh.

 

Harder for AIW to end up #1 because Heat Waves has a bigger difference and is pulling better points than Stay each week, plus it's unlikely it'll go recurrent, but it's also not out of the question. Heat Waves currently: 8,138, the difference with AIW is 2,009 or 201 per week. This week AIW did 99 points more than Heat Waves. Once again, one or two weeks recurrent could put AIW on top, but it's unlikely. Heat Waves was 15 this week, so Taylor would have to put 10 tracks on top 25 and that's extremely unlikely.

 

As for First Class passing EOM, very possible. EOM currently has 6,153 while First Class has 5,048. 1,105 difference or 111 points per week. First Class did 138 this week, so if it continues doing these numbers it very much might pass EOM. Depends on how well it holds up now that radio is dropping it.

 

Shivers will likely pass EOM as well. The difference right now is 252 points and Shivers did 88 this week. Shivers would have to drop hard and fast for EOM to stay above it.

 

In terms of Super Gremlin, the difference is 571 and it did 69 points this past week. It's possible but I wouldn't count on it. Ghost is more likely, but also remains to be seen, difference is 675 and it did 88 points this week. Cold Heart's difference is 761 and it did 82 points this week, also possible, also unlikely. Big Energy's difference is 815 and this week it did 96, possible but unlikely.

 

My prediction for year end Hot 100:

 

1- Glass Animals - Heat Waves

2- Harry Styles - As It Was

3- The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber - Stay

4- Ed Sheeran - Shivers

5- Jack Harlow - First Class

6- Adele - Easy On Me

7- Justin Bieber - Ghost

8- Latto - Big Energy

9- Elton John & Dua Lipa - Cold Heart

10- Kodak Black - Super Gremlin

 

IDK that I can predict the other charts except maybe albums but that sounds like a lot of work.

[kwek_kwek]

4 minutes ago, More Than A Melody said:

AIW is already virtually above EOM. This week it's most likely gonna be #1 again with 230 points and the difference currently is 24 points (EOM 6,153 AIW 6,129).

 

AIW can end up at #2 if Stay goes recurrent at any point between now and the end of tracking (could happen with Taylor releasing soon). It's at 7,667 points with AIW at 6,129, with 10 weeks to go = the difference is 1,538 points or 154 points per week. AIW pulled 116 more points than Stay this week. If Stay misses one or two weeks out of the next 10 then AIW will end up on top. Stay was 20 this past week, recurrency happens when a song drops out of top 25 after 52 weeks. I can't imagine Taylor not putting 5 tracks of her album on top 25 tbh.

 

Harder for AIW to end up #1 because Heat Waves has a bigger difference and is pulling better points than Stay each week, plus it's unlikely it'll go recurrent, but it's also not out of the question. Heat Waves currently: 8,138, the difference with AIW is 2,009 or 201 per week. This week AIW did 99 points more than Heat Waves. Once again, one or two weeks recurrent could put AIW on top, but it's unlikely. Heat Waves was 15 this week, so Taylor would have to put 10 tracks on top 25 and that's extremely unlikely.

 

As for First Class passing EOM, very possible. EOM currently has 6,153 while First Class has 5,048. 1,105 difference or 111 points per week. First Class did 138 this week, so if it continues doing these numbers it very much might pass EOM. Depends on how well it holds up now that radio is dropping it.

 

Shivers will likely pass EOM as well. The difference right now is 252 points and Shivers did 88 this week. Shivers would have to drop hard and fast for EOM to stay above it.

 

In terms of Super Gremlin, the difference is 571 and it did 69 points this past week. It's possible but I wouldn't count on it. Ghost is more likely, but also remains to be seen, difference is 675 and it did 88 points this week. Cold Heart's difference is 761 and it did 82 points this week, also possible, also unlikely. Big Energy's difference is 815 and this week it did 96, possible but unlikely.

 

My prediction for year end Hot 100:

 

1- Glass Animals - Heat Waves

2- Harry Styles - As It Was

3- The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber - Stay

4- Ed Sheeran - Shivers

5- Jack Harlow - First Class

6- Adele - Easy On Me

7- Justin Bieber - Ghost

8- Latto - Big Energy

9- Elton John & Dua Lipa - Cold Heart

10- Kodak Black - Super Gremlin

 

IDK that I can predict the other charts except maybe albums but that sounds like a lot of work.

Shivers won’t surpass EOM. It will go recurrent in two weeks. 

[Michael196]

14 hours ago, Аshanti said:

No, Red (TV) [re-released & re-packed] {15 extra songs added!} will

math is fundamental

 

[GreatestLoveofAll]

9 hours ago, kwek_kwek said:

The #4 is also not a guarantee. First Class is coming as well unless it suddenly goes recurrent.  

the song is dropping pretty fast tho so im not counting on it

[Selenasworld]

Adele 

[MingYouToo]

its insane how doja has no songs in the top 10 but is the #1 hot 100 artist of this year a CONSISTENT hitmaker~!