RihannaRTT Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Exit poll is rough in some aspects, so let's hope it's not exactly that in the morning. Tory floppage very pleasing. If only the future PM wasn't a tory in red. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abelfenty Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 The Tories winning 131 seats potentially is still absolutely disgusting. How DERANGED do you have to be to still vote for them after all these years 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
discreetinside Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 1 hour ago, RihannaRTT said: Mine is indeed Aberdeen South. However I'd say the Tories look like theyre gonna struggle horrendously in Scotland. From what I've seen, northern Scotland (Perth upwards) is gonna be SNP, and the Edinburgh/Glasgow and lower belt is gonna be Labour this time around. That tacticalvote website above shows about 10 poll results for each constituency if you click on the constituency. Mine actually seems like it's either gonna be SNP or Labour, with half predicting SNP win, half predicting Labour. For the very few that still could be a tory victory, the tactical vote would be seeing who is the most likely 2nd in those polls. https://tactical.vote/aberdeen-south/ Thanks for the explanation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
americanshameless Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 What time are the final final results? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack! Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Happy for the Greens looking to double their seats. Just a shame they didn't seem to snag a seat in Scotland but anyway, what matters is the SNP and Tories have taken such a hit. Hopefully the actual results see both of their numbers even lower, Reform too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glitch Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 1 minute ago, americanshameless said: What time are the final final results? Probably Saturday lol, Northern Ireland is always super slow, but most should be in by the middle of the day tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fevesy Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 SNP deserves to flop like this cause they decided to have electorate poison Kate Forbes as a deputy and even still have Nicola Sturgeon running around Glasgow and Edinburgh constituencies doing lots of the campaign work when the scandal is fresh in peoples minds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glitch Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Nothing for Alba I see 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
discreetinside Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 11 minutes ago, RihannaRTT said: Exit poll is rough in some aspects, so let's hope it's not exactly that in the morning. Tory floppage very pleasing. If only the future PM wasn't a tory in red. Sending pray for y'all for Tories and Reform go lower tomorrow morning. The floppage were pretty welcomed but still not enough after the 14 years damage on Westminster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
makeawish Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 (edited) check yr own seat in the exit poll https://news.sky.com/story/exit-poll-what-is-the-forecast-election-result-in-my-constituency-13163180 Edited July 4 by makeawish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chemist Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Greens double their seats! From 1 to 2? 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountain Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Joyriding over the corpses of the conservatives! Insane how they even still have any support tho, and not happy to see ref*rm with that many But conservatives having their worst performance in history is still a beautiful sight no matter what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marla Singer Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 PANNED! Political and electoral failure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sunbathinganimal Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 ofc my nasty ass constituency is expected to stay tory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doogle Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 6 minutes ago, sunbathinganimal said: ofc my nasty ass constituency is expected to stay tory Same lol but my mum voted for me as proxy as I'm abroad so I don't have to deal with it. Not surprised, it's a shithole and why I left 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thickorita Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Reform 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KasioKas Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Reform potentially coming 2nd in seats is very dangerous + 13 wins from exit poll... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glitch Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Something to celebrate 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack! Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Yeah I'm nervous Reform are going to get more than the exit polls suggest. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RihannaRTT Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 44 minutes ago, makeawish said: check yr own seat in the exit poll https://news.sky.com/story/exit-poll-what-is-the-forecast-election-result-in-my-constituency-13163180 I did and I think it's probably wrong for mine. 44% chance of CON when every other poll said its 50-50 for SNP vs Labour. I don't doubt the overall feeling of the exit poll, but I'm very sceptical on ABZ South at least -- That first result is a *little* concerning when you compare the opinion polls to the final. From my calculations, Labour is 47% of that vote, Reform is 29%. From the main 10 opinion polls, Labour was looking 47-57% and Reform 20-28%. So we should be expecting Labour on the lowest end of their polls, I'd say. YouGov and ElectoralCalculus might be worth looking into overall rn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RihannaRTT Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 The YouGov MRP was LAB 431 CON 102 LD 72 SNP 18 REF 3 GRN 2 EC's MRP was LAB 453 CON 78 LD 67 SNP 19 REF 7 GRN 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gwendolyn Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Reform has come 2nd 2/2 times now, maybe America isn't looking that bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RihannaRTT Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 LAB 50%, REF 27% Opinion Polls: LAB 49-62%, REF 15-28%. Pretty much same as the first result but in this one it's EC and MoreInCommon that are the closer results. fwiw MIC's projection was: LAB 430 CON 126 LD 52 SNP 16 REF 2 GRN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RihannaRTT Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 6 minutes ago, Gwendolyn said: Reform has come 2nd 2/2 times now, maybe America isn't looking that bad... I wouldn't be too concerned about those yet because they *were* predicted to be 2nd in both of those based on the MRPs anyway. See: https://tactical.vote/blyth-and-ashington/ If they start coming 2nd in places they weren't predicted too, then yeah it'll be a bit scarier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eat The Acid Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 23 minutes ago, KasioKas said: Reform potentially coming 2nd in seats is very dangerous + 13 wins from exit poll... Sis it's +13 from 0 They will be 4th in seats and won't even be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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