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2024 US Election Megathread ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›๏ธ


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Posted

Wow didn't realize voter turn out in TexASS was so low ...imagine if dems actually voted xdd

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Posted
53 minutes ago, Breathe On Moi said:

something tells me his insides are decomposingย :duca:

then let him ROT!

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Posted
39 minutes ago, Lil Mistee said:

Lightbringer007 reacted to a post in a topic 2024 US Election Megathread ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›๏ธ

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gives me LIFE hennyย 

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ty I try ;)ย 

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:deadbanana2:

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Posted
1 minute ago, FameFatale said:

:deadbanana2:

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The fact that all of these people are casually sitting around a convicted felon is beyond creepy.ย 

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Posted
26 minutes ago, Bewitched said:

Why is #kamalablackface trending on Twitterย :priceless:

I think cause of candace owen's supposed comparison of kamalas face from now to her as a child

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its so ****** stupid im sorry like girl

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Posted
24 minutes ago, FameFatale said:

:deadbanana2:

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the guy with a red hat... assuming he's something religion-related?

how ******* stupid do you have to be to be a religious leader and not mind being seen with a convicted felon who's a rapist and a child abuser? these people will sink to any low for this man. he has to be defeated and hopefully locked up so we can excise this cancer from our country.

Posted

What gives me the most hope is Kamala's innate likeability. I think all those "double haters" who didn't want Trump or Biden will swing to her in a huge way. Besides the Israel-Hamas war she really hasn't done that much to turn ppl off of her. I hate to use the "secret Kamala voter" terminology but I doย think there's a swath of low propensity voters out there who aren't necessarily paying attention to any of this but just want a competent, coherent and younger adult in the room making decisions.

Posted
1 hour ago, Communion said:

I hate cautioning against early voting figures since the kneejerk from some will be I just want people to think Harris is gonna lose - even though I've already said I think she eeks out a win solely with WI/MI/PA - but I do think, just from a data standpoint, I feel like the obvious answer is that trends for voting early exist in the context of access trends.

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COVID saw a lot of these mail-by and early voting practices ushered in, but many of them being new was going to cause initial hesitation, alongside the issue of COViD.

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We're now 4 years later, with even more work to expand early voting and voting access. 2024, in all context, is the first *real* election with such expanded voting access.

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I think it was the good sis @Vroom Vroomย (sorry if not ljnkn) who asked how I felt about 2024 since my gut was largely right in 2022 but I also don't think it's any like... meaningful intuition. I just.. listen to what the data we're being shown tells us? To take it at face value and keep it moving? (ex: unskewing is for the mentally ill).ย 

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And all the early voting analysts have been clear that early voting should not be used as an indicator of how the final vote will end up.

But to be taken at face value: "wow, x amount of people have voted so far". That's it. Because cultural changes could just also mean that voters in a state have simply accepted early voting as a benefit and now do so en masse, not that waves of people will vote on election day based on surges in early voting. A shift, not a surge.

Speaking of early voting access I think it's great that MI is starting even earlier this year especially in Detroit.

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It's so archaic to think that before the pandemic most states minus a few relied heavily on election day being *the* day to vote and in-person early voting was not widely adopted let alone mail-in voting.

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I'm glad we have good tools for MI and GA early turn out data but NC started today and I don't think there's any dataย :devil:

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Posted

WI makes sense but MI being a whole 1.5 pts to the left of PA in 2020 just doesn't compute with "MI/WI are easy for Trump but PA is not"

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Ugh idk

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Come through Philly, Detroit, and Milwaukee.

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Posted

"Everyone's moving to Floriduh11!!1! FREEDUMB!" @dabunique

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:matty:

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Posted
41 minutes ago, FameFatale said:

:deadbanana2:

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Is Kamala at the dinner?ย 

Posted
Just now, shyboi said:

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Is Kamala at the dinner?ย 

She's giving a video message but is skipping it to campaign in Wisconsin.ย 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, shyboi said:

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Is Kamala at the dinner?ย 

Shes actually campaigning unlike the other guy ๐Ÿ’ƒ๐Ÿฝ

Posted
2 minutes ago, Tovitov said:

She's giving a video message but is skipping it to campaign in Wisconsin.ย 

A decision she made ages ago, as she should as there was no benefit to attending.

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1 minute ago, Vermillion said:

A decision she made ages ago, as she should as there was no benefit to attending.

Doesnt help the Archdiocese of NY has gotten really political over the years(pro-Republican)ย 

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