Flanders Posted October 17 Posted October 17 13 minutes ago, Relampago. said: The race has been virtually tied since August and pollsters are constantly flipping back and forth and battling each other. The highest rating pollsters show Harris has the better path to victory in the Rust Belt and a decent chance to pick up a couple other swing states in NV/NC. Democrats doom WAY more than Republicans. Dooming brings clicks. The media wants clicks. Just keep that in mind when you see this influx of negativity. Thank you! I'm not following as closely as some of you, you make a good point 3
i spit on haters Posted October 17 Posted October 17 3 minutes ago, shelven said: I know pointing out the double standards Trump benefits from is a boring take at this point, but just try to imagine the media cycle we would be in right now if Harris (or worse yet, Biden) was suddenly cancelling tons of planned interviews and media engagements 3 weeks before the election These news organizations truly don't even try to hide how much their rich CEOs want Trump to win anymore The way his fanboys proclaim how much of a MAN Trump is and how he embodies assertive masculinity but all he does is ***** and complain. Backed out of the 60 minutes interview because he didn't want to be fact-checked. Refusing a second debate with Harris is a even bigger ***** move. His supporters irritate the **** out of me and I need Harris to win so we can finally end MAGA. 7 2
CamCam Posted October 18 Posted October 18 (edited) For some reason, seeing the massive early voter turnout, and considerable number of absentee ballots being turned in this year has me feeling more confident that Kamala will win. This race is still a toss-up, but like someone else earlier had brought up, much of the movement surrounding her involves moving in silence & prioritizing voting. Many people are TIRED—understatement, btw—of the Trump nonsense & rhetoric, want to go back to a sense of normalcy...to a feeling of not having to check the news every five seconds wondering what kind of dramatizing the president is doing for clicks & an ego boost. There's, of course, many others on the right who are eager to vote for Trump, but there's a reason he lost the first time: People want someone to run the nation like a nation, and not like the production of a television show. Edited October 18 by CamCam 6 1
Sannie Posted October 18 Posted October 18 27 minutes ago, Relampago. said: Trump's campaign strategy has arguably never been worse but we keep popping in here with the dooming I was super bearish on Harris until this month, but I only get more hopeful she's taking this as we get to the end. She's locked in, and Trump is hiding. Yeah, Trump and his campaign are not operating like a campaign that knows it's going to win or is a winning position. IMO, Trump's very clear rapid decline over the past couple of months is due to the stress of him realizing this is slipping away from him. As much as I enjoy the polls, I realized today why they keep showing a tie. At first I was a bit skeptical and chalked it up to possible shenanigans about wanting ratings or not wanting to be wrong, but I think it's actually because of how difficult it is to get people to answer nowadays. There is a specific demographic in this country that is willing to answer these polls, and that demographic isn't very large. It stands to say that this demographic is the demographic being polled over and over and over again all across the country. If that's the case, these same-same results make sense. This means the polling is not necessarily wrong, it's just results from that demo. I think ultimately it's Kamala's to lose ATM and we're going to see after the fact that the polling severely underestimated other demographics, such as young people, women (and to be more granular, the different race breakdowns), education, queer people, and immigrants that don't typically fall into the demographic of people who answer these polls. Maybe this has been obvious and I'm just stupid or maybe I'm just huffing copium lol. 5 1
Lil Mistee Posted October 18 Posted October 18 (edited) Lightbringer007 reacted to a post in a topic 2024 US Election Megathread 🇺🇸🏛️ gives me LIFE henny Edited October 18 by Lil Mistee 8
Mike91 Posted October 18 Posted October 18 6 minutes ago, i spit on haters said: If Ted Cruz loses, too. Omg. I kept thinking the Senate was going to be 51-49 with Elliott and Tester losing (I think Brown will edge out a victory over Moreno). But something tells me Allred is going to beat Cruz. Not because Texas is ready to elect a democrat statewide but because I think the Cancun thing stayed in voters' minds more than people realize. Allred was already in a dead heat with him before he even started officially campaigning. 4
Lil Mistee Posted October 18 Posted October 18 2 hours ago, GhostBox said: Not Harris taunting the Trump hecklers like that😂 👏🏼👏🏼💃🏽
Lil Mistee Posted October 18 Posted October 18 1 hour ago, GhostBox said: Looks like she's gonna keep her if she wins 👏🏼 She has a good team around her inshallah
RihRihGirrrl Posted October 18 Posted October 18 2 minutes ago, FameFatale said: Lmao if it was a 'mistake' you should've owned it in the moment 7
Communion Posted October 18 Posted October 18 I hate cautioning against early voting figures since the kneejerk from some will be I just want people to think Harris is gonna lose - even though I've already said I think she eeks out a win solely with WI/MI/PA - but I do think, just from a data standpoint, I feel like the obvious answer is that trends for voting early exist in the context of access trends. COVID saw a lot of these mail-by and early voting practices ushered in, but many of them being new was going to cause initial hesitation, alongside the issue of COViD. We're now 4 years later, with even more work to expand early voting and voting access. 2024, in all context, is the first *real* election with such expanded voting access. I think it was the good sis @Vroom Vroom (sorry if not ljnkn) who asked how I felt about 2024 since my gut was largely right in 2022 but I also don't think it's any like... meaningful intuition. I just.. listen to what the data we're being shown tells us? To take it at face value and keep it moving? (ex: unskewing is for the mentally ill). And all the early voting analysts have been clear that early voting should not be used as an indicator of how the final vote will end up. But to be taken at face value: "wow, x amount of people have voted so far". That's it. Because cultural changes could just also mean that voters in a state have simply accepted early voting as a benefit and now do so en masse, not that waves of people will vote on election day based on surges in early voting. A shift, not a surge. 6 2
Lil Mistee Posted October 18 Posted October 18 Quote Vice President Kamala Harris' transition team is quietly developing plans for who could staff her administration as she crisscrosses the country trying to win an election that'd actually let her put them to use. Harris herself is entirely focused on winning, according to two sources close to her and the transition team.... Quote Harris has assembled a purposely skeletal team. The team's leaders are slowly hiring more people, multiple sources told NOTUS, as they prepare to potentially orchestrate the first transition from a sitting president to a sitting vice president since 1988. They've been looking for "researchers and lawyers" to be ready to begin their vetting efforts beyond their current limited capabilities should Harris win. And it's all happening with a low profile and a smaller group of advisers than previous Democratic transitions. Quote The personnel questions happen both inside and outside the team. For example, Harris' economic adviser, Brian Deese, has advocated for the vice president to keep the headline-grabbing Federal Trade Commissioner Lina Khan in her position, should the vice president win, according to two sources familiar with the campaign. A third source says that the pair has a close relationship. Karen Dunn, the lawyer who co-ran Harris' debate prep, has long eyed the White House general counsel position, according to multiple sources, after having been in contention after Remus stepped down in 2022. New York Gov. Kathy Hochul's aides have reached out to express her interest in a potential position, said a person familiar with the effort. (A spokesperson for the governor said she "is not interested in a job in the federal government." Asked about this reporting at a press conference on Thursday, Hochul said it was "categorically false" that her aides were reaching out and blamed "bad actors" who want her not to run for re-election.) And Jeff Zients, Joe Biden's chief of staff who helped run his transition in 2020, is being floated to lead the Treasury Department, said two sources. This all explains a lot ...Kamala is smarter than we think teehee 1 1
HausOfPunk Posted October 18 Posted October 18 The fact that Harris isn't leading Trump comfortably in the polls like Biden was at this stage in the game is kinda worrying tbh. This race is going to come down to like, 1000 votes in some random county. 1 1
Lil Mistee Posted October 18 Posted October 18 11 minutes ago, GhostBox said: OH she's taking it your HONORRRR
Sannie Posted October 18 Posted October 18 (edited) Cackling at how all of this could've been done months ago had Trump and his team not pushed to have things appealed or redacted. Now it's happening right before the election. Edited October 18 by Sannie 3 2
Lil Mistee Posted October 18 Posted October 18 3 minutes ago, Blade said: if this **** is tied or Trump +1 not 6 am
Lil Mistee Posted October 18 Posted October 18 2 minutes ago, Sannie said: Cackling at how all of this could've been done months ago had Trump and his team not pushed to have things appealed or redacted. Now it's happening right before the election. As funny as this is I don't think it matters 1
GhostBox Posted October 18 Posted October 18 7 minutes ago, Blade said: if this **** is tied or Trump +1 I have a feeling it will be bad 💀 1
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