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Posted
5 hours ago, shelven said:

 

Marist and NYT both being A+ rated, yet one of them has Florida at Trump +13 while the other has it at Trump +4 :deadbanana4:

I can see Florida being like +6 Trump if Hispanic voters in the state don't shift completely back to where it was before the midterms 

 

But +13 just seems crazy for presidential :skull:

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Posted

 

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Posted

 

The pivoting to republican warmongering is not going well I see :cm:

 

 

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Posted
10 minutes ago, Chemist said:

 

The pivoting to republican warmongering is not going well I see :cm:

 

 

Saying dreams, ambitions and aspirations alongside the same 3 domestic policies in every media appearance having a ceiling,  who would have thought?

 

She could have gone more in with the policies

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Posted

@Relampago. These videos in AZ always show up in my fyp and I know it's not research but seeing so many Hispanic voters saying Trump is alarming:skull:

 

 

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Posted
48 minutes ago, Chemist said:

 

The pivoting to republican warmongering is not going well I see :cm:

 

 

I see we're at the "Dems in dissaray" point in the election cycle. 

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Posted
6 minutes ago, midnightdawn said:

 

Almost identical to last month. And again with the same critique, it seems hard to belive you'd be able to poll 7 different states and they'd all be in the same range. 

Posted
1 hour ago, Chemist said:

 

The pivoting to republican warmongering is not going well I see :cm:

 

 

Have there even been any polls out that have captured sentiments after the Harris/Walz media blitz

 

Posted

Ever since 2016, democrats panic about every election. They point fingers or doom about the early vote returns or whatever outlier poll gets released. Every special, every midterm, every governor race. I'm worn out guys. :gaycat6:

 

Posted
58 minutes ago, Armani? said:

Saying dreams, ambitions and aspirations alongside the same 3 domestic policies in every media appearance having a ceiling,  who would have thought?

 

She could have gone more in with the policies

Her policy speak has far outweighed Trump's so I don't think that's the issue.....I've always had my doubts that she could win, primarily because she's a black woman and that inherently comes with it's own challenges. My hope is that the race stays close and her ground game makes the difference.

 

If we go back to Trump... America really has Stockholm syndrome 

Posted

Emerson with leaners Crosstabs

 

Michigan 

White - 57% Trump/43%Trump

Black - 92% Kamala/8% Trump

18 - 29 61% Kamala/ 39% Trump

Men - 56% Trump/43% Kamala

Women - 55% Kamala/44% Kamala 

Don't think White women specifically are swinging that hard back to the right(more right than even 2020) after 2022 here where 55% voted Whitmer but we'll see:rip: 

 

Georgia

White - 70% Trump/29% Kamala

Black- 89% Kamala/ 10% Trump

18 - 29  61% Kamala/ 39% Trump 

Men - 57% Trump/43% Kamala 

Women - 56% Kamala/44% Trump 

 

Arizona

Hispanic - 57% Kamala/41% Trump

White - 55% Trump/44% Kamala 

18 - 29 62% Kamala/35% Trump

Men - 51% Trump/48% Kamala 

Female 51% Trump/48% Kamala 

Is it just me or some of these polls keep weirdly saying majority of women will vote for Trump in Arizona which makes no sense:skull:

 

Nevada

Hispanic - 58% Kamala/42% Trump

White - 56% Trump/40% Kamala 

18 - 29 64% Kamala/35% Trump

Men - 53% Trump/44% Kamala 

Women - 54% Kamala/ 44% Trump

 

North Carolina 

White - 67% Trump/33% Kamala

Black - 92% Kamala/6% Trump

18 - 29 61% Kamala/ 38% Trump 

Men - 56% Trump/43% Kamala 

Women 54% Kamala/45% Trump 

 

Pennsylvania 

White - 57% Trump/42% Kamala 

Black - 91% Kamala/9% Trump

18 - 29 - 64% Kamala/36% Trump 

Men - 56% Trump/43% Kamala

Women - 55% Kamala/44% Trump

 

Wisconsin 

White - 53% Trump/46% Kamala

18 - 29  61% Kamala/38% Trump 

Men 54% Trump/45% Kamala 

Women 54% Kamala/46% Trump 

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Posted
8 hours ago, GhostBox said:

 

Whew, this put me at ease. I need to stop listening to Cenk. :jonny5:

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Posted

I'm trying my best not to doom, but jfc these last weeks are going to be rough. :skull:

 

I was looking into volunteer opportunities to help get my mind off things, but most of Allred's events here are happening weekday afternoons :noparty:

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Posted

Nah, I'm on edge again. This isn't looking good with key swing states. :jonny5:

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Posted

These media outlets continuing to use only the NAACP poll made in early August as if it's representative of the race now :skull: Then going to 95% Dem Detroit of all places for a story plz

 

Even in the national poll avg he's lost 3% of the Black vote from mid August to late September 

 

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Posted

 

Oh sorry are we not allowed to post this considering we got polls showing that the swing states are looking...swingy?

 

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Posted

 

@shelven NYT showing deep red FL again

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Posted

Biden crankin up da hurricane machine

 

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Posted
Just now, dabunique said:

Biden crankin up da hurricane machine

 

GZeJ911X0AAQwFy?format=jpg&name=medium

Is this real ?

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Posted
10 minutes ago, Armani? said:

These media outlets continuing to use only the NAACP poll made in early August as if it's representative of the race now :skull: Then going to 95% Dem Detroit of all places for a story plz

 

Even in the national poll avg he's lost 3% from the Black vote from mid August to late September 

 

Well, when you have a narrative to push bc the powers at be want Trump to win, you gotta pull your data from the only sources that back up said narrative.

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