charts discussion Hot 100: #1 Cardigan; #4 The 1; #6 Exile

[cassandrae]

Taylor is such a juggernaut 

[IBeMe]

9 hours ago, Armani? said:

If he manages to go #1 R.I.P to Zayn

Zayn low key RIP'd himself ages ago  He had so much potential but his intense anxiety and refusal to promote and perform ruined his chances. 

(also his second album was not the tea at all). He just seems super lost yet ok with "flopping" in a way. Harry on the other hand always had a lot more ambition and it is what will eventually make him a legend. He is consistent and actually loves the stage it seems. 

 

Zayn will forever be my favorite but I respect Harry's consistency and his passion and I'm rooting for him to snatch that #1!

 

[The Witch]

1 hour ago, bad guy said:

my future outpeaking EIW 

 

But if predictions are true then another droplet Top 10 for Eyelash. Fad of 2019 delivered huh?  @The Witch @suzumia @Da Vinci @Blank

 

Hopefully radio keeps picking it up for longevity since it's lowkey flopping on streaming heh

 

Time for a Nicki Minaj remix

 

[bad guy]

13 minutes ago, The Witch said:

Time for a Nicki Minaj remix

 

my future (remix) [feat. DaBaby, Roddy Ricch, Juice WRLD, Drake, Nicki Minaj, Madonna, and Blake Shelton]
 

#6 peak confirmed

 

 

[mcohen]

I'm stanning the TOTC predictions 

 

my future predicted to be Billie's highest debut, cardigan Top 10 and exile/the 1 Top 30  

[Ger]

 

Harry   WORK THOSE NUDES KING

 

[TrieLz]

I think Cardigan will survive in the top 10 for a 2nd week.

and Watermelon get a #2 peak with all those promo

Rocstar can stay at #1 untill BTS comeback

Edited August 6, 2020 by TrieLz

[itsjem]

https://alphadata.fm/charts/songs/

 

So, looking at song sales strictly, BuzzAngle / Alpha Data reports higher overall sales for Watermelon Sugar than for Move Ya Hips

Edited August 8, 2020 by itsjem

[Green]

35 minutes ago, itsjem said:

https://alphadata.fm/charts/songs/

 

So, looking at song sales strictly, Alpha Data reports higher overall sales for Watermelon Sugar than for Move Ya Hips

 

They probably haven't included the website sales for both artists yet because I don't think Harry had more website sales than Nicki Minaj.

[itsjem]

1 hour ago, Green said:

 

They probably haven't included the website sales for both artists yet because I don't think Harry had more website sales than Nicki Minaj.

Ugh, I thought Buzz Angle included website sales, cause they completed the data collection for the week

 

Anyways, thank you!! 

[Green]

36 minutes ago, itsjem said:

Ugh, I thought Buzz Angle included website sales, cause they completed the data collection for the week

 

Anyways, thank you!! 

 

I think they will add those sales but not yet

 

I remember last saturday they had Happy Anywhere at #1 but days later they probably added website sales because now they have cardigan at #1 (for the last week's sales chart: July 24-July 30).

[itsjem]

3 minutes ago, Green said:

 

I think they will add those sales but not yet

 

I remember last saturday they had Happy Anywhere at #1 but days later they probably added website sales because now they have cardigan at #1 (for the last week's sales chart: July 24-July 30).

Ah, so they probably need more time and they are gonna do it when the chart is already out

[itsjem]

HOT 100 FINAL PREDICTIONS

 

I've taken into account the news via @talkofthecharts of radio re-calibration (about 10% higher starting this week). There may be a little margin of error for this reason

 

1. ROCKSTAR 36,052 (+1)
2. Watermelon Sugar 35,021 (+5)
3. WHAT’S POPPIN 28,508 (=)
4. Blinding Lights 26,017 (+1)
5. Move Ya Hips 25,502 (NE)
6. Roses 21,956 (+2)
7. Savage Love 19,201 (+3)
8. my future 19,019 (NE)
9. Blueberry Faygo 18,158 (+2)
10. Go Crazy 18,001 (+2)
11. cardigan 17,985 (-10)
12. Adore You 17,670 (+3)
13. Savage 17,403 (-4)
14. Before You Go 16,931 (+7)
15. Break My Heart 15,893 (+4)
16. Circles 15,657 (+4)
17. I Hope 15,530 (+1)
18. Come & Go 15,333 (-1)

 

Some are really close, like 7-8 and 9-13, so that could go some other way! Also there's the sales from Move Ya Hips estimation which could vary

 

 

EDIT: I saw that WS may have sold 66k (I estimated 60k). If it's the case, it's indeed #1. Anyways, it's close

Edited August 9, 2020 by itsjem

[simmnfierzig]

How do we still not have leaks for WS and MYH 

[Armani?]

13 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said:

How do we still not have leaks for WS and MYH 

@professor2000

[Green]

1 hour ago, Armani? said:

@professor2000

 

Sadly he doesn't post more numbers after the drama in the Savage thread   

[simmnfierzig]

Final predictions

 

1 Watermelon Sugar       372  (+6)

2 Rockstar       370  (=)

3 What's Poppin       285 (=)  

4 Move Ya Hips       283  (debut)

5 Blinding Lights       271  (=)

6 Roses       234  (+2)

7 My Future       217  (debut)

8 Savage Love       205  (+2)

9 Go Crazy       188  (+3)

10 Cardigan       186  (-9)

 

11 Adore You       185  (+4)

12 Blueberry Faygo       184 (-1) 

13 Before You Go       181  (+8)

14 I Hope       177  (+4)

15 Savage       176  (-6)

16 Break My Heart       176 (+3)  

17 Circles       171  (+3)

18 Come & Go       163 (-1) 

19 Popstar       153  (-5)

20 Don't Start Now       148 (+4)  

 

21 For The Night 147 (+11)

32 Rain On Me 132 (-3)

34 The 1 127 (-30)

36 Exile 120 (-30)

 

 

[Ger]

Wait at BYG actually possibly going Top 10, YASSSSSS, song of the year, let's go

[Prismee]

Harry

[CaliClass24]

Could Before You Go go Top 10 next week even with WAP and Smile?

[Iamsorare]

16 minutes ago, CaliClass24 said:

Could Before You Go go Top 10 next week even with WAP and Smile?

Yes cause Billie,nicki , lil mosey and Taylor will fall

Edited August 9, 2020 by Iamsorare

[Green]

My Prediction:

 

1    Watermelon Sugar    36,15
2    ROCKSTAR    35,47
3    Move Ya Hips    28,24
4    WHATS POPPIN    27,95
5    Blinding Lights    26,59
6    Roses    23,24
7    Savage Love    19,79
8    my future    19,13
9    cardigan    18,17
10    Go Crazy    18,05
11    Adore You    18,02
12    Blueberry Faygo    17,99
13    Before You Go    17,86
14    I Hope    17,57
15    Savage    17,43
16    Break My Heart    17,16
17    Circles    16,85
18    Come & Go    15,77
19    POPSTAR    14,57
20    Don't Start Now    14,18
21    One Margarita    13,93
22    Die From A Broken Heart    13,90
23    Death Bed    13,84
24    For the Night    13,76
25    The Bones    13,62
26    Mood Swings    13,37
27    Intentions    13,34
28    Wishing Well    13,31
29    We Paid    13,28
30    Life is good    13,11
31    Say So    13,06
32    Party Girl    12,89
33    The Woo    12,84
34    Rain On Me    12,47
35    The Box    11,68
36    Hard To Forget    11,48
37    the 1    11,43
38    Chasin' You    11,23
39    I Should Probably Go To Bed    11,22
40    Bluebird    11,12
41    exile    10,90
42    The Bigger Picture    10,87
43    Emotionally Scarred    10,67
44    Nobody's Love    10,54
45    Falling    10,25
46    Girls in the Hood    10,19
47    Got What I Got    10,05
48    Done    10,03
49    Supalonely    9,98
50    Be Like That    9,78

[Armani?]

5 minutes ago, Green said:

My Prediction:

 

1    Watermelon Sugar    36,15
2    ROCKSTAR    35,47
3    Move Ya Hips    28,24
4    WHATS POPPIN    27,95
5    Blinding Lights    26,59
6    Roses    23,24
7    Savage Love    19,79
8    my future    19,13
9    cardigan    18,17
10    Go Crazy    18,05
11    Adore You    18,02
12    Blueberry Faygo    17,99
13    Before You Go    17,86
14    I Hope    17,57
15    Savage    17,43
16    Break My Heart    17,16
17    Circles    16,85
18    Come & Go    15,77
19    POPSTAR    14,57
20    Don't Start Now    14,18
21    One Margarita    13,93
22    Die From A Broken Heart    13,90
23    Death Bed    13,84
24    For the Night    13,76
25    The Bones    13,62
26    Mood Swings    13,37
27    Intentions    13,34
28    Wishing Well    13,31
29    We Paid    13,28
30    Life is good    13,11
31    Say So    13,06
32    Party Girl    12,89
33    The Woo    12,84
34    Rain On Me    12,47
35    The Box    11,68
36    Hard To Forget    11,48
37    the 1    11,43
38    Chasin' You    11,23
39    I Should Probably Go To Bed    11,22
40    Bluebird    11,12
41    exile    10,90
42    The Bigger Picture    10,87
43    Emotionally Scarred    10,67
44    Nobody's Love    10,54
45    Falling    10,25
46    Girls in the Hood    10,19
47    Got What I Got    10,05
48    Done    10,03
49    Supalonely    9,98
50    Be Like That    9,78

Could Savage return to like #10 next week despite radio?

 

It looks like it'll have a streaming and sales boost

[Green]

41 minutes ago, Armani? said:

Could Savage return to like #10 next week despite radio?

 

It looks like it'll have a streaming and sales boost

 

Move ya hips, cardigan and my future will fall but the problem is that Savage's airplay is falling really hard.  And WAP, Smile and Before You Go are coming.

[Ger]

Been obsessed with WHATS POPPIN lately, wow, it's truly catchy.  I guess it's too late for the song to top the Hot 100, right?