official chart HDD: Taylor Swift #1 251k, Tim McGraw & Faith Hill #2 103k

[Renan90]

For me, the second week of Taylor ends up being between 250-280k in sales

 

300k or more I find it very difficult

[slw84]

hoping for 200k

[slw84]

36 minutes ago, bjnono001 said:

Taylor blocking her first single from #1 

The growth.

The full circle moment

The evolution

[Agenor]

5 hours ago, Blue Honeymoon said:

My prediction is that Taylor is doing 190k-230k second week. 

+1

[chiliam]

Where is Eminem, i thought he was releasing and book SNL this week? So this mean Taylor will be #1 for rest of the year unless some random Christmas album blow up

 

Hopefully Rep second week will be above Witness debut number :D

Edited November 19, 2017 by chiliam

[umich]

The obsession with Katy  

 

—

 

wondering who will get a boost, if any, from the amas tomorrow. Maybe P!nk and Kelly if their performance is great.

[alexanderao]

80-83% is what the drop will be, imo.

[brianc33710]

10 hours ago, Hector said:

Great numbers for Tim & Faith. Best couple in country.

And both of them, moreso Tim lately, have had close to 25 years of sustained success at Country radio. Swift should make note of this, if she hasn't already done so. "Pop Girls" rarely last much more than ten years.

[brianc33710]

Swift will get the SPS boost to lessen her fall, but I'll say 250k at most. Raw sales will probably drop by 85%. The AMAs probably won't have that much of an effect after such a huge first week. And I will admit that I was wrong earlier about Swift not reaching 1 M this time around. When I'm wrong, I try to own up to my mistakes.

[ronelmaano13]

I'm predicting 100 - 120k pure, 120 - 130k SPS.

Edited November 19, 2017 by ronelmaano13

[Recordyear]

Isn't Tim & Faith ticket bundled? It actually seems a little bit too low especially after Kenny Chesney's.

[alexanderao]

1 hour ago, brianc33616 said:

Swift will get the SPS boost to lessen her fall, but I'll say 250k at most. Raw sales will probably drop by 85%. The AMAs probably won't have that much of an effect after such a huge first week. And I will admit that I was wrong earlier about Swift not reaching 1 M this time around. When I'm wrong, I try to own up to my mistakes.

The album is still not on any streaming platforms so I wouldn't expect a boost in streaming. I think you're in the right neighborhood with 250k though.

[brainmaniac]

6 hours ago, chiliam said:

Where is Eminem, i thought he was releasing and book SNL this week? So this mean Taylor will be #1 for rest of the year unless some random Christmas album blow up

 

Hopefully Rep second week will be above Witness debut number :D

He was shook by the new King of Rap 

 

[blackbeatxx]

So rep is still not on streaming?

About 250k seems reasonable then...

[Zymphonic]

19 hours ago, chiliam said:

Where is Eminem, i thought he was releasing and book SNL this week? So this mean Taylor will be #1 for rest of the year unless some random Christmas album blow up

That's what I'm thinking.  Buble might snatch her during the final X-mas tracking week, or Pentatonix or some other holiday staple.  Had Eminem released she might've only led BB200 for a single week this time around, particularly because of SPS.

 

13 hours ago, Recordyear said:

Isn't Tim & Faith ticket bundled? It actually seems a little bit too low especially after Kenny Chesney's.

They only have 25 US dates (arenas) scheduled for 2018 so far, and not necessarily huge arenas either.  Kenny's tour is expected to sell upwards of 1m tickets so they're looking at less than a quarter of his numbers at best.

 

Mind you, since Tim & Faith are releasing a new studio album, have both of their fan-bases to draw upon, performed at the CMAs (to great applause), and are releasing during the Thanksgiving tracking week... debuting with < 100k seems a little low.  That's ~35k less than Shania and country radio/TV hasn't abandoned them as they did her.

[Quaithe]

she'll do ~250k.

[Quaithe]

On 2017/11/19 at 7:23 AM, slw84 said:

The growth.

The full circle moment

The evolution

[ronelmaano13]

Let's be realistic, she's not gonna touch 250k even in SPS. She'll pass 100k but 200k is a struggle. She doesn't have any promo lined - up too. 

[iHype.]

Quote

Taylor Swift, as expected, will repeat at #1. Tim McGraw and Faith Hill land at #2 with the week’s top debut. Barring any Black Friday surprises, Swift will also hang on to the top spot for a third week. Please note: due to the uncertainty of Thanksgiving evening shopping, our margin of error may be broader than usual. As will our midsections.

1. Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 245-255k SPS, 230-240k Sales
2. *Tim Mcgraw & Faith Hill (Arista Nashville) 110-120k, 105-115k
3. Sam Smith (Capitol) 49-54k, 24-27k
4. Chris Brown (RCA) 42-46k, 5-6k
5. Post Malone (Republic) 37-40k, 4-5k
6. Ed Sheeran (Atlantic) 37-40k, 13-15k
7. 21 Savage, Offset & Metro Boomin (Slaughter Gang/Epic) 34-37k, 2-3k
8. Imagine Dragons (Kidinakorner/Interscope) 31-34k, 13-15k
9. Pentatonix (RCA) 29-32k, 23-26k
10. Lil Uzi Vert (Generation Now/Atlantic) 28-31k, <1k
11. Maroon 5 (222/Interscope) 28-31k, 13-15k
12. P!nk (RCA) 27-30k, 19-22k
13. Lil Pump (Tha Lights Global/Warner Bros.) 26-29k, 1-2k
14. Kendrick Lamar (TDE/Interscope) 26-29k, 5-6k
15. Khalid (Right Hand Music/RCA) 25-28k, 4-5k
16. *Moneybagg Yo & Youngboy Never Broke Again (N-Less Entertainment/Never Broke Again) 22-25k, 4-5k
17. Blake Shelton (Warner Bros.) 22-25k, 19-22k
18. Gucci Mane (Atlantic) 17-20k, 1-2k
19. XXXtentacion (Bad Vibes Forever/Empire) 16-18k, <1k
20. A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie (Highbridge/Atlantic) 16-18k, <1k

 *DEBUTS

1

Was expecting 200-250k sales

[Hunter_13]

13 hours ago, ronelmaano13 said:

Let's be realistic, she's not gonna touch 250k even in SPS. She'll pass 100k but 200k is a struggle. She doesn't have any promo lined - up too. 

Welp 

[Timber]

1 minute ago, iHype. said:

Was expecting 200-250k salesWas expectingher to do 200-250k. sale

Hmm, Lower than Lemonade's 2nd week. 

 

Taylor should be fine, as long as she gets a hit to push the album.

[Bxtch]

Quote

1. Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 245-255k SPS, 230-240k Sales

Yay, amazing numbers!  

[Starkboy]

So a 80% drop? Pretty good.

 

Who's streaming Chris Brown's album?

[iHype.]

Just now, Timber said:

Hmm, Lower than Lemonade's 2nd week. 

 

Taylor should be fine, as long as she gets a hit to push the album.

I think that had to do with Lemonade's first week being half a week.

[Donquizote]

200K-260K I guess