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2017 Billboard Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (81% IN)


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Posted

Thanks!! :duca: 

 

Can You please do Top 40 o Top 50 

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Posted
2 hours ago, Ger-55 said:

Because it's one of best classics I've ever heard, it's amazing.

:biblio::biblio::biblio:

 

DELETE YOURSELF.

 

Hopefully "Despacito" can surpass "Shape Of You" soon. Also, where is "Rockabye"??? Justice for Anne-Marie :weeps:

Posted

Shape of you will get good Pop and hot ac and ac recurrent airplay so I fully expect it to retain its #1 position

Ts95MIA.gif

Posted
12 hours ago, Ger-55 said:

Building Year-End Chart

Week: #38/52 (72%)

 

 

Rank   Artist Song Points    
01

Ed Sheeran

"Shape Of You" 15,304 (+298)    
02 Luis Fonsi & Daddy Yankee "Despacito (Remix) (feat. Justin Bieber)" 12,274 (+635)    
03  Bruno Mars "That's What I Like 11,678 (+341)    
04 The Chainsmokers "Closer (feat. Halsey)" 9,094    
05 Migos "Bad And Boujee (feat. Lil Uzi Vert)" 9,026    
06 Bruno Mars "24K Magic" 7,694    
07 Kendrick Lamar "HUMBLE." 7,327 (+245)    
08 The Chainsmokers & Coldplay "Something Just Like This" 7,018 (+229)    

09

 

10

James Arthur

 

DJ Khaled

"Say You Won't Let Go"

"I'm The One (feat. Justin Bieber, Quavo, Chance The Rapper & Lil Wayne)"

6,723 (+173)

 

6,686 (+320)

   

 

 

11. Future - "Mask Off" 6,627 (+187)

12. Sam Hunt - "Body Like A Back Road" 6,572 (+285)

13. The Weeknd - "Starboy (feat. Daft Punk)" 6,475

14. Post Malone - "Congratulations (feat. Quavo)" 6,392 (+260)

15. Rae Sremmurd - "Black Beatles (feat. Gucci Mane)" 6,307

16. ZAYN & TAYLOR SWIFT - "I Don't Wanna Live Forever (Fifty Shades Darker)" 6,244

17. Zedd & Alessia Cara - "Stay" 6,060 (+222)

18. KYLE - "iSpy (feat. Lil Yachty) 6,013

19. Alessia Cara - "Scars To Your Beautiful" 5,858

20. Julia Michaela - "Issues" 5,659 (+124)

 

Info The points are based on accumulated activity during each song's Hot 100 run, translated on the most recent formula (after the adjustment), which worked pretty good last year. If you have any song to request just ask me. I'm working to be bring the whole Top 100 to date.

 

(I'll keep updating weekly...)

 

Last Year's Predictions

I don't know if Despacito can close the gap with Sheeran or not. If Ed runs out the chart year, he'll have amazing airplay numbers. Despacito will have the sales and streaming advantage. But, even though both songs debuted the same week, Despacito didn't reach the Top 40 until a week or two before hitting #1. SOY on the other hand has spent every a week so far within the Top 10, and 27 of those weeks within the Top Five.

Posted

Where's It Ain't Me?

Posted
3 hours ago, Ivan_brit said:

Thanks!! :duca: 

 

Can You please do Top 40 o Top 50 

Absolutely, I'm trying to have everything (Top 100) already by next week.

 

2 hours ago, DELE2125 said:

:biblio::biblio::biblio:

 

DELETE YOURSELF.

 

Hopefully "Despacito" can surpass "Shape Of You" soon. Also, where is "Rockabye"??? Justice for Anne-Marie :weeps:

Yass gurl, #TeamBieber :party:And byeee, "Rockabye" was a hit because of Clean Bandit, of course.

 

2 hours ago, slw84 said:

Shape of you will get good Pop and hot ac and ac recurrent airplay so I fully expect it to retain its #1 position

 

Ts95MIA.gif

 

Do you hate "Despacito" because it's going to break Mimi's record? :frown:

 

1 hour ago, Chokito said:

Where's It Ain't Me?

At #21 and gaining since it's still charting.

Posted
10 minutes ago, Ger-55 said:

Absolutely, I'm trying to have everything (Top 100) already by next week.

 

Yass gurl, #TeamBieber :party:And byeee, "Rockabye" was a hit because of Clean Bandit, of course.

:biblio: x

 

I won't accept this Anne-Marie shade :angry: Is Rockabye inside the top 30? :dancehall3:

Posted
10 minutes ago, Ger-55 said:

Absolutely, I'm trying to have everything (Top 100) already by next week.

 

Yass gurl, #TeamBieber :party:And byeee, "Rockabye" was a hit because of Clean Bandit, of course.

 

Do you hate "Despacito" because it's going to break Mimi's record? :frown:

 

At #21 and gaining since it's still charting.

YAY, hope it can be at top20 at least at the final list...

:biggrin:

Posted
5 hours ago, Ger-55 said:

Because it's one of best classics I've ever heard, it's amazing.

:biblio:

Posted
1 hour ago, Ger-55 said:

 

Do you hate "Despacito" because it's going to break Mimi's record? :frown:

No. I actually don't mind it. I just think it's not that good of a song. For instance, Mi gente is loads catchier and I love the beat or even a song like believer if it were in the same position I could at least say I really like the song and think it's a quality song.

 

unfortunately, other factors take play and I'd prefer a song that will most likely be remembered past this year (Shape of you) to be the #1 song of the year.

 

I wouldn't want gangham style to have been the #1 song even though it was fun for the moment.

 

So yeah...

16glc09.gif

Posted

The whole chart seems like a mess.

 

The Top 20 of Year End is still usually filled with huge songs, but not this year

Issues? iSpy? Congratulations? Mask Off? Scars To Your Beautiful? :skull: 

 

24K Magic and Humble being Top 10 is surprising too

 

Closer getting that Top 10 two years in a row though :duca:

 

Posted
48 minutes ago, brainmaniac said:

The whole chart seems like a mess.

 

The Top 20 of Year End is still usually filled with huge songs, but not this year

Issues? iSpy? Congratulations? Mask Off? Scars To Your Beautiful? :skull: 

 

24K Magic and Humble being Top 10 is surprising too

 

Closer getting that Top 10 two years in a row though :duca:

 

I guess that's due to more stagnant charts now? It's kinda sad

Posted
1 hour ago, brainmaniac said:

The whole chart seems like a mess.

 

The Top 20 of Year End is still usually filled with huge songs, but not this year

Issues? iSpy? Congratulations? Mask Off? Scars To Your Beautiful? :skull: 

 

24K Magic and Humble being Top 10 is surprising too

 

Closer getting that Top 10 two years in a row though :duca:

 

Issues and STYB were both massive on radio but not big on streaming, so you might not have heard them a lot if you don't listen to radio much.

 

iSpy, Mask Off, and Congratulations though... those songs have done 2.5, 2.7, and 2.4 million units respectively so far this year. The Nielsen mid-year report had them at 494M, 505M, and 483M streams in 2017 (good for 7th, 6th, and 8th out of all songs). So they definitely smashed.

Posted
6 hours ago, Wonderland said:

I guess that's due to more stagnant charts now? It's kinda sad

Streaming is taking up too much of the points on the H 100. Ironically, many of the people who want streaming to "take over" are the same who complain about the slow nature of the charts lol. 

Posted

The stagnation. Unbelievable :rip:

Posted
On 8/13/2017 at 6:24 PM, brainmaniac said:

The whole chart seems like a mess.

 

The Top 20 of Year End is still usually filled with huge songs, but not this year

Issues? iSpy? Congratulations? Mask Off? Scars To Your Beautiful? :skull: 

 

24K Magic and Humble being Top 10 is surprising too

 

Closer getting that Top 10 two years in a row though :duca:

 

CITW 97 was #1 in 1997 and #8 in 1998. How Do I Live was #9 in 1997 and #5 in 1998. So Closer would be in good company should it be Top 10 two consecutive chart years. By mid Chart year to the middle of the next chart year, Closer was undoubtedly #1.

Posted

LOTB isn't bigger than some of these songs? :rip:

Posted

It looks like Sam Hunt will finish the year in the Top 10. Since AC always frustratingly waits until a song is done before actually noticing, that will slow down his fall. He should reach 2 million in sales, which is getting increasingly rare. With its consistent streaming strength along with unprecedented sales longevity, Back Road could reach 5XP. I can't see it getting to 2.5 M or 6XP though. If Taylor Swift came back with a Country song, then Country could have one more 2.5 M single. Die A Happy Man is up to around 1.9 M, so Rhett will eventually get to 2 M. I'm surprised it hasn't already done so, but it's been 3XP for quite a while. Maybe he'll get to 4XP. Had Nelly not covered Happy Man, Rhett would've had some success at Top 40.

Posted

Mask Off being so high :eek:

Posted

Hopefully Closer can hold top 5 :alexz:

Posted

Looks like the gap between leading songs and the song falling behind are becoming larger and larger

Posted
On 13/8/2017 at 4:41 PM, DELE2125 said:

:biblio: x

 

I won't accept this Anne-Marie shade :angry: Is Rockabye inside the top 30? :dancehall3:

Haven't completely finished the data (except for Top 20 and some other songs), but I have it at #34, it was a cute hit, definetely. :spin:

 

On 14/8/2017 at 1:50 AM, volition said:

LOTB isn't bigger than some of these songs? :rip:

Almost, at #22 for now.

Posted

Is million reasons in the top 50 by chance? it will be in the top 100 this year right?

Posted

2016:

1. Love Yourself

2. Sorry

 

2017:

2. Despacito

10. I'm The One

 

 

The dominance :jonny: 

Posted
On 8/13/2017 at 6:24 PM, brainmaniac said:

The whole chart seems like a mess.

 

The Top 20 of Year End is still usually filled with huge songs, but not this year

Issues? iSpy? Congratulations? Mask Off? Scars To Your Beautiful? :skull: 

 

24K Magic and Humble being Top 10 is surprising too

 

Closer getting that Top 10 two years in a row though :duca:

 

I've overheard all of those songs, so they were/are huge for 2017. 24k/Humble shouldn't be surprising either, they've had amazing longevity.

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