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2017 Billboard Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (81% IN)


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Posted (edited)

Building Year-End Chart

Week: #42/52 (81%)

 

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Rank

Artist

Song

Total Points

01

Ed Sheeran

Shape of You

16,389 (+259)

02

Luis Fonsi & Daddy Yankee

Despacito (Remix) (feat. Justin Bieber)

14,520 (+488)

03

Bruno Mars

That’s What I Like

12,846 (+239)

04

The Chainsmokers

Closer (feat. Halsey)

9,094

05

Migos

Bad and Boujee (feat. Lil Uzi Vert)

9,028

06

Kendrick Lamar

HUMBLE.

8,261 (+252)

07

The Chainsmokers & Coldplay

Something Just Like This

7,814 (+180)

08

Bruno Mars

24K Magic

7,694

09

DJ Khaled

I’m the One (feat. Justin Bieber, Quavo, Chance The Rapper & Lil Wayne)

7,646 (+192)

10

Sam Hunt

Body Like A Back Road

7,585 (+225)

11

James Arthur

Say You Won’t Let Go

7,349 (+148)

12

Post Malone

Congratulations (feat. Quavo)

7,308 (+203)

13

Future

Mask Off

7,253 (+141)

14

Zedd & Alessia Cara

Stay

6,805 (+166)

15

The Weeknd

Starboy (feat. Daft Punk)

6,475

16

Imagine Dragons

Believer

6,428 (+310)

17

Rae Sremmurd

Black Beatles (feat. Gucci Mane)

6,307

18

ZAYN & Taylor Swift

I Don’t Wanna Live Forever (Fifty Shades Darker)

6,244

19

Kygo & Selena Gomez

It Ain’t Me

6,122 (+127)

20

Lil Uzi Vert

XO TOUR Llif3

6,031 (+240)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Spoiler

Rank

Artist

Song

Total Points

21

KYLE

iSpy (feat. Lil Yachty)

6,006

22

Alessia Cara

Scars to Your Beautiful

5,858

23

Julia Michaels

Issues

5,772

24

Childish Gambino

Redbone

5,580 (+190)

25

Khalid

Location

5,387 (+167)

26

Rihanna

Love On the Brain

5,154

27

Maroon 5

Don’t Wanna Know (feat. Kendrick Lamar)

4,979

28

French Montana

Unforgettable (feat. Swae Lee)

4,964 (+310)

29

The Weeknd

I Feel It Coming (feat. Daft Punk)

4,904

30

Big Sean

Bounce Back

4,812

31

Drake

Fake Love

4,787

32

Ed Sheeran

Castle On the Hill

4,677

33

Machine Gun Kelly & Camila Cabello

Bad Things

4,497

34

Shawn Mendes

There’s Nothing Holdin’ Me Back

4,423 (+309)

35

DJ Khaled

Wild Thoughts (feat. Rihanna & Bryson Tiller)

3,366 (+386)

36

The Chainsmokers

Paris

4,357

37

Ariana Grande

Side to Side (feat. Nicki Minaj)

4,268

38

Clean Bandit

Rockabye (feat. Sean Paula & Anne-Marie)

4,201

39

DJ Snake

Let Me Love You (feat. Justin Bieber)

4,172

40

Charlie Puth

Attention

4,056 (+314)

41

Justin Timberlake

CAN’T STOP THE FEELING!

3,926

42

Migos

T-Shirt

3,902

43

Shawn Mendes

Mercy

3,881

44

Kodak Black

Tunnel Vision

3,798

45

Brett Young

In Case You Didn’t Know

3,577

46

Ayo & Teo

Rolex

3,506

47

twenty one pilots

Heathens

3,466

48

Halsey

Now or Never

3,400

49

Kendrick Lamar

DNA.

3,339 (+94)

50

Niall Horan

Slow Hands

3,286 (+251)

51

Aminé

Caroline

3,252

52

Rae Sremmurd

Swang

3,137

53

Drake

Passionfruit

3,115

54

Travis Scott

goosebumps

3,009

55

Maroon 5

Cold (feat. Future)

2,974

56

Calvin Harris

Slide (feat. Frank Ocean & Migos)

2,792

57

Zay Hilfigerrr & Zayion McCall

Juju On That Beat (TZ Anthem)

2,717

58

D.R.A.M.

Broccoli (feat. Lil Yachty)

2,689

59

Liam Payne

Strip That Down (feat. Quavo)

2,689 (+260)

60

Jon Bellion

All Time Low

2,657

61

Katy Perry

Chained to the Rhythm (feat. Skip Marley)

2,617

62

Luke Combs

Hurricane

2,532

63

A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie

Drowning (feat. Kodak Black)

2,478

64

Hailee Steinfeld & Grey

Starving (feat. Zedd)

2,460

65

Jason Derulo

Swalla (feat. Nicki Minaj & Ty Dolla $ign)

2,449

66

Migos

Slippery (feat. Gucci Mane)

2,432

67

Harry Styles

Sign of the Times

2,365

68

ADELE

Water Under the Bridge

2,338

69

Playboi Carti

Magnolia

2,334 (+107)

70

Miley Cyrus

Malibu

2,305

71

Marian Hill

Down

2,292

72

YFN Lucci

Everyday We Lit (feat. PnB Rock)

2,282

73

Gucci Mane

Both (feat. Drake)

2,275

74

Kendrick Lamar

LOYALTY. (FEAT. RIHANNA.)

2,250 (+144)

75

Shawn Mendes

Treat You Better

2,205

76

Keith Urban

The Fighter (feat. Carrie Underwood)

2,180

77

XXXTENTACION

Look At Me!

2,144

78

Cardi B

Bodak Yellow (Money Moves)

2,086 (+407)

79

Kendrick Lamar

LOVE. (FEAT. ZACARI.)

2,055 (+75)

80

Jon Pardi

Dirt On My Boots

2,054

81

Logic

1-800-273-8255 (feat. Alessia Cara & Khalid)

2,001 (+276)

82

Niall Horan

This Town

1,988

83

Lady Gaga

Million Reasons

1,986

84

Thomas Rhett

Craving You (feat. Maren Morris)

1,979

85

J. Cole

Deja Vu

1,888

86

Chris Brown

Party (feat. Usher & Gucci Mane)

1,857

87

Selena Gomez

Bad Liar

1,855

88

Calvin Harris

Feels (feat. Pharrell Williams, Katy Perry & Big Sean)

1,854 (+197)

89

Drake

Portland (feat. Quavo & Travis Scott)

1,829

90

Linkin Park

Heavy (feat. Kiiara)

1,816

91

Little Big Town

Better Man

1,763

92

John Legend

Love Me Now

1,735

93

Dylan Scott

My Girl

1,723 (+71)

94

21 Savage

Bank Account

1,721 (+258)

95

Sia

Cheap Thrills (feat. Sean Paul)

1,721

96

Tee Grizzley

First Day Out

1,706

97

Florida Georgia Line

God, Your Mama, And Me (feat. Backstreet Boys)

1,705

98

Sia

The Greatest (feat. Kendrick Lamar)

1,683

99

Auli’i Cravalho

How Far I’ll Go

1,678

100

The Weeknd

Party Monster

1,605

Info The points are based on accumulated activity during each song's Hot 100 run, translated on the most recent formula (after the adjustment). For more detailed data, feel confident to ask me. 

 

Additional info 2016's Final Predictions

 

Edited by Ger-55

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Posted (edited)

Building Year-End Chart

Week: #38/52 (72%)

 

 

Rank   Artist Song Points    
01

Ed Sheeran

"Shape Of You" 15,304 (+298)    
02 Luis Fonsi & Daddy Yankee "Despacito (Remix) (feat. Justin Bieber)" 12,274 (+635)    
03  Bruno Mars "That's What I Like 11,678 (+341)    
04 The Chainsmokers "Closer (feat. Halsey)" 9,094    
05 Migos "Bad And Boujee (feat. Lil Uzi Vert)" 9,026    
06 Bruno Mars "24K Magic" 7,694    
07 Kendrick Lamar "HUMBLE." 7,327 (+245)    
08 The Chainsmokers & Coldplay "Something Just Like This" 7,018 (+229)    

09

 

10

James Arthur

 

DJ Khaled

"Say You Won't Let Go"

"I'm The One (feat. Justin Bieber, Quavo, Chance The Rapper & Lil Wayne)"

6,723 (+173)

 

6,686 (+320)

   

 

 

11. Future - "Mask Off" 6,627 (+187)

12. Sam Hunt - "Body Like A Back Road" 6,572 (+285)

13. The Weeknd - "Starboy (feat. Daft Punk)" 6,475

14. Post Malone - "Congratulations (feat. Quavo)" 6,392 (+260)

15. Rae Sremmurd - "Black Beatles (feat. Gucci Mane)" 6,307

16. ZAYN & TAYLOR SWIFT - "I Don't Wanna Live Forever (Fifty Shades Darker)" 6,244

17. Zedd & Alessia Cara - "Stay" 6,060 (+222)

18. KYLE - "iSpy (feat. Lil Yachty) 6,013

19. Alessia Cara - "Scars To Your Beautiful" 5,858

20. Julia Michaela - "Issues" 5,659 (+124)

 

Info The points are based on accumulated activity during each song's Hot 100 run, translated on the most recent formula (after the adjustment), which worked pretty good last year. If you have any song to request just ask me. I'm working to be bring the whole Top 100 to date.

 

(I'll keep updating weekly...)

 

Last Year's Predictions

Edited by Ger-55
Posted

Absolute MESS at Closer being #4

 

There really needs to be more movement and more to pick from in the mainstream...... The radio always overplays songs but I've noticed that it's gotten significantly worse this year in comparison to a couple years prior

Posted

nnnnnnnnnnnnnn @ Closer being the 4th biggest song in 2017. Burn it with fire Jesus :deadbanana: 

Posted

09 James Arthur - Say You Won't Let Go

 

Never heard of that.

Posted

Not Closer at 4:rip:  

 

also slay a bit Bruno

Posted (edited)

what DJ Khaled song is #10? I'm the One? 

Edited by luckythisway
Posted

Oh wow. So Closer will (most likely) be the first song to place in the top ten YE twice since Candle In The Wind (#1 in 1997, #8 in 1998)? 

 

Also, not surprised to see B&B above BB. The latter's longevity was terrible after it left number one.

Posted
39 minutes ago, umich said:

Also, not surprised to see B&B above BB. The latter's longevity was terrible after it left number one.

What surprises me the most is that Bad And Boujee is lower than Closer.

 

And amazing that Body Like a Back Road will likely be in the year-end top 10. If this was with the old sales/airplay formula it would probably be top 5 on the year-end chart.

Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, umich said:

Oh wow. So Closer will (most likely) be the first song to place in the top ten YE twice since Candle In The Wind (#1 in 1997, #8 in 1998)? 

 

Also, not surprised to see B&B above BB. The latter's longevity was terrible after it left number one.

 

Also "How Do I Live" which was #9 in 1997 and #5 in 1998.

Edited by Green
Posted

WHERE ARE THE GIRLS WTF

Posted (edited)

In a couple of weeks Julia Michaels will have the biggest female solo song of the year :skull: 

 

Also Halsey is the only female in the top 15 and she's just a feature  :rip: 

This year won't have any females (as lead) in the top 10 for sure. When was the last time that happened?

Edited by Green
Posted

Issues in top 20 :jonny2:

 

Posted (edited)
32 minutes ago, mylicious said:

WHERE ARE THE GIRLS WTF

19. Alessia Cara - "Scars To Your Beautiful" 5,858

20. Julia Michaela - "Issues" 5,659 (+124)

 

:sad: 

 

The others are features (Hasey) or co-leads with a man (Taylor, Alessia).

Edited by Green
Posted

I hope this means that female domination will take over in the next year.

Posted
5 hours ago, luckythisway said:

what DJ Khaled song is #10? I'm the One? 

Yep, "Whild Thoughts" is still fresh, nearing the Top 50.

 

3 hours ago, Tsuko said:

What surprises me the most is that Bad And Boujee is lower than Closer.

 

And amazing that Body Like a Back Road will likely be in the year-end top 10. If this was with the old sales/airplay formula it would probably be top 5 on the year-end chart.

Absolutely, nevertheless its streaming isn't negligible.

 

2 hours ago, Green said:

In a couple of weeks Julia Michaels will have the biggest female solo song of the year :skull: 

 

Also Halsey is the only female in the top 15 and she's just a feature  :rip: 

This year won't have any females (as lead) in the top 10 for sure. When was the last time that happened?

It would be the first time since 1976, the highest lead female song that year was "Fly, Robin, Fly" by Silver Convention (a girl group) (If that doesn't count for you, then the highest was Diana Ross at #15 that year with "Love Hangover").

 

2 hours ago, TheWayWeWere said:

Issues in top 20 :jonny2:

 

She totally deserved her spot inside Top 10 :!ohno:

Posted

Why is "Closer" still top 5? :mazen::mazen::mazen:

Posted
2 hours ago, Green said:

In a couple of weeks Julia Michaels will have the biggest female solo song of the year :skull: 

 

Also Halsey is the only female in the top 15 and she's just a feature  :rip: 

This year won't have any females (as lead) in the top 10 for sure. When was the last time that happened?

apparently in the 70s at the earliest :skull: 

Posted
2 hours ago, Green said:

In a couple of weeks Julia Michaels will have the biggest female solo song of the year :skull: 

 

Also Halsey is the only female in the top 15 and she's just a feature  :rip: 

This year won't have any females (as lead) in the top 10 for sure. When was the last time that happened?

Taylor's lead will be top 10 for sure, or at least top 15.

Posted

Closer in Top 5 :ahh:

 

 

Zayn and Taylor in Top 20

Hopefully they are not knocked out with new releases :dancehall:

Posted

lol if James peaks higher on the YE chart

Posted

Wild thoughts could be in top 20 if it has longevity. 

Despacito and Shape Of You :1stplace:

Posted

Any chance Despacito can snatch that #1 from Ed? :gaycat4:

Posted
2 hours ago, DELE2125 said:

Why is "Closer" still top 5? :mazen::mazen::mazen:

Because it's one of best classics I've ever heard, it's amazing.

 

55 minutes ago, Arcane_Sky said:

Any chance Despacito can snatch that #1 from Ed? :gaycat4:

I'm kinda wishing that (and I was it was closer while I was doing this), but SOY decreases slowly, mostly because of the insane airplay longevity.

Posted
2 hours ago, DELE2125 said:

Taylor's lead will be top 10 for sure, or at least top 15.

I would say top 15 is for sure not top 10. I think SIO was #13 on the 2014 year end. 

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