charts discussion Billboard Hot 100 early predictions (01/11/2025): Gaga X Bruno #1

[jdanton2]

12 minutes ago, Just a Gay on ATRL said:

APT doesn't seem like a future #1 to me in the US, & I'm afraid BOAF's time may have passed. Billie may got a huge Grammy boost in Feb though, maybe a miracle can happen around then.

 

However if Gaga & Bruno perform at the Grammys I'm afraid it may be OVER for the other girls...

we are lucky the Grammys are before The Superbowl because Kendrick will get a big boost from that.also Sza i am guessing will perform with him and get a boost as well. they will be touring together next year.

Edited December 30, 2024 by jdanton2

[Just a Gay on ATRL]

Just now, jdanton2 said:

we are lucky the Grammys are before The Superbowl because Kendrick will get a big boost from that.

Yeah I hope Luther can get to #1 this year at some point, or TV Off. Could see NLU getting a massive boost if there's some controversy surrounding it leading up to the Superbowl, since I think part of Drake's lawsuit drama surrounds him not wanting Kendrick to perform that song at the SB (allegedly).

 

Unfortunately I think that corny Gracie song is a future #1 in 2025. That song is junk.

[Denim]

Rain on me is easily her weakest #1 chart wise, and on the weaker end of #1s in general, but I don't know if I'd call it a quick little #1 fad single.

 

it spent 4 weeks in the top 10 and 20 weeks in the top 100, and did wayyyyyy better worldwide (which is sorta irrelevant for this topic but still). it smashed in a lot of Europe.

 

i would consider a quick little #1 something that horribly falls from #1 and then off the hot 100 after a month or two, which we have a ton of and rain on me is not.

 

is it a classic? Was is a smash in the US? No, but it wasn't by any means a flop. It was a moderate hit 

[Denim]

Luther and TV off missing #1 due to the Christmas songs is frustrating 

 

both fantastic tracks and would've further highlighted how big a 2024 Kendrick had, but I think one of the two will go #1 in February. Probably TV off since I think it has the best potential for a big Super Bowl moment

 

It's a "good" problem to have but since he has 3 songs simultaneously smashing on streaming (squabble up, tv off, Luther) radio play is sorta splitting between the three of them.

 

i honestly don't know which one I'd go with if I was his team, probably Luther? I could see it being a huge radio hit 

[Miles.]

BruGa finally ending A Radio Song  

That's So Slay coming for top 3  

Kendrick dominating  

Finally the charts are getting exciting again!  Just get Lose Control OUT of there.

[babyforlife]

On 12/29/2024 at 10:52 PM, ImJayboogie said:

Rain on Me says its me, hi. 

it won a Grammy that certain kpop fanbase had meltdown and created the iconic "white demon" meme

[Dancehall Queen]

Smile 

[IBeMe]

Gaga;s strongest #1's by impact & performance imo:

 

1. Poker Face

2. Shallow

3. Just Dance

4. Die With a Smile

5. Born This Way (yes controversial take but it wasnt THAT strong compared to #1's of that time despite topping for 6 weeks tbh)

6. Rain on Me

[Cruel Summer]

4 minutes ago, Dancehall Queen said:

Smile 

It'll only have three days of tracking. Do we think he can get enough streams in that span of time to make a serious challenge for #1 this week?

[Hot Volcano]

54 minutes ago, Cruel Summer said:

It'll only have three days of tracking. Do we think he can get enough streams in that span of time to make a serious challenge for #1 this week?

I really doubt it. Love Somebody was catchy as hell, surprised that song had no legs, this one doesn't sound like a hit 

[allforyou]

Rightfully so  16 years in and she's still getting #1 hits

[jdanton2]

Love Somebody had a predicted 254 points after 7 days when it reached #1. Die With A Smile has a prediction of 246 points for this coming week. Smile with only 3 days hopefully does not have a chance and the song is not even catchy like Love Somebody.

[A Million Lights]

They deserve it  BOAF still strong ugh I'd love to see it rising to the top

[naval23]

damn Billie re-peaking on radio, it initially peaked at #4 a few months ago and now it's up 9-5

 

maybe it has a chance at #1 after DWAS

[IVY]

Please Bruno's 9th #1. 

[longjohn9898]

It's a smash

 

Gaga and Bruno truly made one of the most iconic duets ever with this vocal masterpiece

[sportytheartist]

1 hour ago, naval23 said:

damn Billie re-peaking on radio, it initially peaked at #4 a few months ago and now it's up 9-5

 

maybe it has a chance at #1 after DWAS

Definitely from the year-end countdowns on radio and stuff.

[fridayteenage]

female songs on US Spotify, most days on top this year:

taste 34 

please please please 27 

that's so true 20

[jdanton2]

hope the Spotify numbers are not late today. so far at least Morgan has not reached #1 at Apple Music . he is currently #3.   he has been #1 on itunes since yesterday.

[OBEY]

2 hours ago, jdanton2 said:

hope the Spotify numbers are not late today. so far at least Morgan has not reached #1 at Apple Music . he is currently #3.   he has been #1 on itunes since yesterday.

11M. 

[jdanton2]

28 minutes ago, OBEY said:

11M. 

i have not seen any update yet . if this is true alot of those would be from the US. Love Somebody had 3.5M Global it's first day.

 

 

 

 

 

Edited Wednesday at 05:36 PM by jdanton2

[Dante]

#1 lead single  

[jdanton2]

so far the Spotify charts have not updated but on the Spotify app Morgan with Smile has 1,693,969 streams . not sure how many hours that is though it looks like hitting #1 is unlikely .

[Maroonx]

1 hour ago, jdanton2 said:

hitting #1 is unlikely .

that was given from the very start... it last 4 tracking days this week, there is no way it can catch up to DWAS

[sugarysunflower]

What does it look like prediction wise? Yay or nay?