Wicked opens to $114M at domestic box office; 3rd biggest opening of 2024

[Tm4074]

2 minutes ago, Space Cowboy said:

Idk about that. People in r/boxoffice were really hyped. Many were predicting +1 billion and a Barbie type of breakout.

 

Now, all of a sudden, it's "those predictions were never realistic".
 

r/boxoffce are just regular people on the internet that make guesses. They also predicted the Eras Tour to do 1B due to the insane pre-sale rush and were way off (obviously). Movies targeted towards woman are a blind spot for box office predictors because of the limited comps available. 

[V$.]

[Assassin]

1 minute ago, Eternium said:

Anyway, the reported budget for Wicked 1 + 2 is $350M. No word on whether or not that includes promo, but probably not which means they spent $700M total. Here's where they are against their total budget for both films after just three days of release:

 

Budget: $350M

Promo: $350M

Total Spent: $700M

 

Wicked 1

Domestic: $114,000,000 x 0.5 = $57,000,000

International: $50,200,000 x 0.4 = $20,080,000

China: N/A

Total Grossed: $164,200,000

Total Earned: $77,080,000

 

They have $623,920,000 to go before they're profitable. And with massive merchandise sales, licensing, music streaming and tons of time in theaters, it's already looking profitable.

It's $300M, not $350M. https://variety.com/2024/film/box-office/box-office-wicked-gladiator-2-previews-thursday-1236217142/#:~:text=Next year will see the,tune at the box office.
 

[Navyofbadgals]

12 minutes ago, Eternium said:

It hasn't opened in Germany, Australia, France, China, Japan, etc. yet. It's overseas numbers aren't nearly as impressive as its domestic numbers, but domestic matters more anyway.

Can you name these gays? You all have such a weird boner for dragging numbers that now you're going to act like a $100M+ U.S. opening is bad.  

I thought it already opened in Australia? And the China pre sales are looking pretty bad

 

Japan on the other hand could def boost its numbers though, but I reckon with how well this has done domestically and in the UK (plus its potential legs because of the good word of mouth) this will easily ride its way to profit not even accounting for all of its merchandising

[V$.]

 

 

[eyeroll]

I figured it'd have the highest of the year just from all the promo, but I don't really follow film charts like that. Most of my friends and I decided to wait a week or two before seeing it because we didn't want to deal with the fanatics dressing up and singing the whole time. I feel like the singing was a legitimate concern people were talking about, so I wonder how many other people also decided to wait. I hope it has a good ongoing run through the holidays! 

Edited 1 hour ago by eyeroll

[KKW]

 

Sunday isn't even over yet and they've already recouped their budget  

[Aristocrat]

an incredible debut, especially considering the very first projections didn't even have it hitting $80M total. oh wicked, the smash you are! 

[Donquizote]

This will have legs. 

It needs to make at least 450M to break even and I think it will do fine. 

Word of mouth is strong and it has cinemascore A and letterboxd score 4.2.

[Iceland]

#thankyouCynthia

#thankyouAriana

#thankyouBruno

 

 

[Aristocrat]

2 minutes ago, KKW said:

 

Sunday isn't even over yet and they've already recouped their budget  

If it keeps performing this well throughout the rest of the theatrical run (and that's not even counting money made from merch, the soundtrack, etc) they could possibly be making nothing but profit alone off of part 2. also there's still a handful of countries, including china, it hasn't been released in yet. 

Edited 1 hour ago by Aristocrat

[KKW]

1 minute ago, Aristocrat said:

If it keeps performing this well throughout the rest of the theatrical run (and that's not even counting money made from merch, the soundtrack, etc) they could possibly be making nothing but profit alone off of part 2. also there's still a handful of countries, including china, it hasn't been released in yet. 

#1 album, #1 movie, Scammy nom, and Scamscar buzz

 

oh Godriana the victory lap you're on this year 

[jjmed59]

1 hour ago, Broken said:

Even the box office nerds are saying it's underperforming.

 

 

 

the way there are so many comments on there pointing out how there are many major markets where it hasnt opened lmfao

 

in all honesty this is still an overperformance. a movie like wicked without promotion wouldnt have cleared even 50m domestic. the marketing worked. it made audiences care about watching a 3 hour long musical enough to clear 100m in its opening weekend. you losers will not be able to successfully spin this in any negative light just bc a few people were hopeful it would do higher. 

Edited 1 hour ago by jjmed59

[EtherealCat]

this underperofrmance will help arainaes oscar chances

[halcyonday]

23 minutes ago, Slate said:

Are you also expecting Gladiator to match Oppenheimer's 980m gross?

 

No I don't care for straights movies

 

Also Im not exactly expecting this to match Barbie but curious if it can with all the promo and expectations

[V$.]

 

 

 

 

[jjmed59]

6 minutes ago, EtherealCat said:

this underperofrmance will help arainaes oscar chances

wait lets run w this narrative actually  #FLOPcked

[*.Digambar.*]

Whatever the gross may be, it's still one of the best movies I've watched in recent years. Totally did the musical a big justice which is an AMAZING musical in itself. And Cynthia totally deserves an Oscar nomination at the very least. 

Edited 1 hour ago by *.Digambar.*

[Walk_Away21]

Wow that's good. I thought it had a chance at $120+. The theater girls are SEATED for this and will prob go multiple times.

[Eternium]

24 minutes ago, Assassin said:

It's $300M, not $350M. https://variety.com/2024/film/box-office/box-office-wicked-gladiator-2-previews-thursday-1236217142/#:~:text=Next year will see the,tune at the box office.
 

The less optimistic budget numbers are actually $350M. We'll get actuals from Deadline next year, but I would expect $350M to be more accurate.

https://screenrant.com/wicked-part-1-2-movie-budget-universal-record/

18 minutes ago, Navyofbadgals said:

I thought it already opened in Australia? And the China pre sales are looking pretty bad

 

Japan on the other hand could def boost its numbers though, but I reckon with how well this has done domestically and in the UK (plus its potential legs because of the good word of mouth) this will easily ride its way to profit not even accounting for all of its merchandising

Nope, Australia is just about to open. And yeah, China is no longer a safe haven for American blockbusters.

 

They will definitely need merchandising to make back their budget, but it's also important to note that the reason the budget is so high is because they include some promotional aspects like the soundtrack recording.

12 minutes ago, eyeroll said:

I figured it'd have the highest of the year just from all the promo, but I don't really follow film charts like that. Most of my friends and I decided to wait a week or two before seeing it because we didn't want to deal with the fanatics dressing up and singing the whole time. I feel like the singing was a legitimate concern people were talking about, so I wonder how many other people also decided to wait. I hope it has a good ongoing run through the holidays! 

Musicals aren't usually profitable and it's rare for them to even gross $100M. But I'd suspect you're probably right, which is why I think week days will show an unusually high turn out. Especially with a holiday week coming up.

7 minutes ago, jjmed59 said:

the way there are so many comments on there pointing out how there are many major markets where it hasnt opened lmfao

 

in all honesty this is still an overperformance. a movie like wicked without promotion wouldnt have cleared even 50m domestic. the marketing worked. it made audiences care about watching a 3 hour long musical enough to clear 100m in its opening weekend. you losers will not be able to successfully spin this in any negative light just bc a few people were hopeful it would do higher. 

It's already at 6x the opening number for the previous largest-Broadway film. 

6 minutes ago, EtherealCat said:

this underperofrmance will help arainaes oscar chances

It over performed by over $30M. Initial estimates were $80M, sis.

[greento]

I think word of mouth is going to give it legs, heard nothing but good things from the GP, and that's unusual for a musical. going to see it a second time on monday. i went on opening night and it was completely sold out, and everyone clapped at the end. i can't remember the last time i saw a film in cinemas with that reaction

[vuelve88]

Impressive! And with barely any promo too. 

[toast]

People acting like this underperformed since it's only #3 of the year need to remember that parents with kids (inside out 2) + straight people (deadpool) outnumber the girls & gays.

Edited 1 hour ago by toast

[V$.]

 

[family.guy123]

26 minutes ago, V$. said:

 

 

 

 

Which ones did it during the same week