charts discussion Final predictions (11/16): A Bar Song #1, Disease #58 (-31)

[Green]

Wait I just realize that the CMA awards are on November 20th. I bet Shaboozey will perform there   

[Mr. Duff]

Damn the top ten looks so boring. Aside from DWAS, Taste and the Tyler songs, these songs have been there for quite some time now (more than 20 weeks on the chart). We need a shake up!

 

APT please rise! Oh and Taylor please release a new single off The Anthology, maybe it could do some chart changes (and hopefully not just for a week).

 

I'd rather have Christmas songs smash now than this borefest. I thought The Weeknd, Tate McRae, new Ariana, Katy, Gaga would have done the trick but alas they all flopped/underperformed  

[penguintim]

20 hours ago, TaylenaStan said:

Hot100 needs to get rid of radio, its ridiculous how some songs stay top 10 just because radio refuses to drop them
Lose Control #50 AM + #48 Spotify but predicted to be #5 

It's been pretty stable in/around the top 10 of the Billboard Streaming Songs chart for the past few months, though. A lot of the songs above it on Spotify are below it on Apple music and vice versa (I just checked and there's only 13 songs out streaming it on both platforms, 4 of which are from Tyler's new album)

[James_Joint]

Kind of crazy how Espresso has outlasted the two singles released after it.  

[pride4jc1222]

3 hours ago, Green said:

Wait I just realize that the CMA awards are on November 20th. I bet Shaboozey will perform there   

Nov 20 is a Wednesday, so its impact will be split across 2 tracking weeks. Besides, I expect holiday songs to take over by then.

[naval23]

22 hours ago, fridayteenage said:

drivers license 1/8, flowers 1/12, yes and 1/12

 

the week of 12/27-1/2, and 1/3-1/9, seem unlikely to have new smashes.

The yes and sneak when it's projected to be #93 on the year end chart 

[B-Luke]

 

[thatsmydemi]

Gracie is coming with That's So True to take the #1 spot from Shaboozey. She needs to come faster though!

[ClashAndBurn]

Is Disease going to serve a massive drop next week? All she'd really have are low sales and really low audience impressions on radio.  
 

I'd think that would be enough to keep Disease from falling off entirely but I'm not entirely sure.

[UnusualBoy]

6 hours ago, thatsmydemi said:

Gracie is coming with That's So True to take the #1 spot from Shaboozey. She needs to come faster though!

I don't see that happening with the Xmas songs about to stomp and it barely having radio plays  

[thatsmydemi]

19 hours ago, UnusualBoy said:

I don't see that happening with the Xmas songs about to stomp and it barely having radio plays  

If she doesn't do it now, Christmas songs will then. With the way things are going with Gracie's song, she will probably be #1 everywhere in January anyway. 

[Just a Gay on ATRL]

Honestly considering how this country votes, real talk I don't know why I should give af what the general population's whack ass taste in popular music is. **** the Hot 100 rn.

[John Slayne]

i hate radio

[pride4jc1222]

Midweek predictions (I'm getting tired of most of the top songs, especially Lose Control, Beautiful Things, and Too Sweet): 

Expanded predictions: 

 

 

[Ger]

Is that the lowest amount of points for a #1 since "Heat Waves"?

[Green]

"That's So Basic" is now #4 on Apple Music   It will probably jump to the top 10 on the Hot 100

 

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Also 219 points for a #1????  Luch debuted at #5 on May with 250 points 

 

[pride4jc1222]

1 hour ago, Ger said:

Is that the lowest amount of points for a #1 since "Heat Waves"?

No, Cruel Summer holds the record last November: 

 

29 minutes ago, Green said:

"That's So Basic" is now #4 on Apple Music   It will probably jump to the top 10 on the Hot 100

At this point, I'd rather have this than Too Sweet potentially jumping back into the Top 10.

[OrgVisual]

Yeah the charts are so slow and the streams are generally so low now. Good opportunity for anyone to sneak in an easy #1

 

Compared to the bloodbath back in April/May when several songs posted >3M daily streams on Spotify US  

[UnusualBoy]

Points are so low, this is like lat 2023 where #1s were barely scrapping the 200 points.

 

LC, ABS, BT & TS need to gtfo already...

[pride4jc1222]

2 hours ago, OrgVisual said:

Yeah the charts are so slow and the streams are generally so low now. Good opportunity for anyone to sneak in an easy #1

 

Compared to the bloodbath back in April/May when several songs posted >3M daily streams on Spotify US  

We even had songs from different artists top 7M streams one day:

 

US Spotify - 05/10/24
#1 I Had Some Help 7.87M
#2 Not Like Us 7.06M
#3 MILLION DOLLAR BABY 5.73M
#4 A Bar Song (Tipsy) 3.53M
#5 euphoria 3.08M
#6 Espresso 3.01M
#7 Like That 2.42M
#8 Fortnight 2.36M
#9 Too Sweet 2.06M
#10 I Can Do It With A Broken Heart 1.99M

[NewStanner]

I need Tyler and Gracie to go top 10 and block Too Old from re-entering. And Lose Control just needs to die in general, but we've been saying that for months now

 

[NewStanner]

Not @pride4jc1222 hate for LC being so strong that he even managed to break ATRL and upvote this comment twice

 

Spoiler

Relatable tho, words cannot describe how I'm tired of seeing this song still being there

[PoisonPill]

That's So True is such a breezy bop, Gracie's best so far and shaping up to be a big hit.

[Mr. Duff]

Yeah points are so low right now, I hope somebody can take advantage of this. Taylor, take notes!

 

But seriously the top ten needs a shake up. Gracie could potentially go top ten, but other than her there's really nothing else that could shake it up. With Christmas coming the top 10/15 will probably be stagnant until January

[Miley Cyrus]

6 hours ago, Green said:

"That's So Basic" is now #4 on Apple Music   It will probably jump to the top 10 on the Hot 100

 

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Also 219 points for a #1????  Luch debuted at #5 on May with 250 points 

 

Lose control being higher now than it was in May

Just k!ll me now