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JFAD bombed, is Wicked next?


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Posted
7 minutes ago, Poxy said:

Is it still split into 2 parts but not being advertised as such? :biblio:

Just what we didn't need :skull:

 

the musical is already insufferable enough :deadbanana4:

 

Everyone wishes they are Judy Garland but they are NOT :giraffe:

  • Haha 1

Posted

Yeah this is going to be an even bigger bomb, considering its rating too

Posted

 

Well they split it into two parts so it's giving double bomb  :eek:

Posted

I'm here for more flops. 

Posted

i'm surprised yall have so much faith in this movie :rip: the studio is investing so much for promo but all musicals have flopped recently so i was never expecting this to smash. hope im wrong tho 

Posted (edited)

GP will go to hear Ariana's angelic vocals

 

Also it is a family friendly movie unlike the Joker

 

Edited by Shimenawa
Posted (edited)

I think this has more going for it than FAD. 

 

- Family friendly (rated PG)

- Beloved IP

- Most popular musical ever?

 

There was a long trailer and additional AMC promo tied in with Wicked before my screening of FAD and it played well to the audience. 

 

Wicked could be different, but musical adaptations are a hard sell for a true smash.

 

Domestic openings for live action musical comps

Les Mis (2012) [PG-13] - 27m

Into the Woods (2015) [PG] - 31m

In the Heights (2021) [PG-13] - 11m

West Side Story (2021) [PG-13] - 10m

Wonka (2023) [PG] - 39m

 

Wicked Part 1 budget is reported 145m. It does not need to make as much as FAD would to be considered successful but that is a large number + if it just breaks even that will not look good for Part 2.

 

 

Edit: also I will add that it being released against Gladiator could work in its favor as effective counter programming. A mini-Barbenheimer is the best case scenario for Wicked.

 

 

 

 

Edited by selfieclownt
Posted

Idk but Gaga should've stayed away from the clown since she flopped with Applause

 

WBN9UHs.gif

  • Haha 1
Posted

JFAD flopped 

143 flopped 

Cowboy Carter flopped 

Wicked will flop

 

But Madonna is still standing 

 

11xp-madonna-hp-videoSixteenByNineJumbo1

  • Haha 7
Posted

I wouldn't be shocked if Wicked flops too. It looks like both Ariana Grande and Lady Gaga are competing for the title of my panned queens this year, two major flops each? a MESS!

 

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Posted (edited)

It will be her ASIB - classic remake + talented singer = guaranteed success. Her JFAD moment will come after that because the former Nickelodeon actor is definitely a singer first in terms of talent rather than an actor. 
 

But tbh I thought JFAD would do well until a few months ago so anything can happen. 

Edited by Slap
Posted (edited)

Idk why anybody's claiming this will be appraised more gently than JFAD just bc ppl know they're going into a musical with this. Mean Girls 2024 was always conceived as an adaptation of the Broadway show & that was still a bomb. Idk about commercially but critically, it will be panned & I'd put money on it

Edited by LoveInStereo
Posted

I feel it will flop the trailer don't really impress me much, while this long and aggressive promotion could really set them up.   

Posted

It's got more of a novelty and is delivering what its target audience actually wants unlike J: FAD

  • Like 1
Posted

Arianka's Wicked should be, it's an adaptation of a play so at least people kinda know what to expect, although the fact that is a 2 parts film may hurt it but we'll see.

Posted

Crossing my fingers this doesn't do a Cats.

Posted

John Chu is a competent director and it looks like he will play it safe, so I'm sure the movie will be watchable at least. I do think it'll be a financial flop though

Posted

Nah, wicked is like one of the most mainstream musicals of all time. And it's looks like it's actually gonna be one of the bigger movies of the year. Idk who wanted a Joker musical in the first place.

Posted

It will get passable but average reviews. If the film was truly great, they would have taken it to film festivals and built it up as awards fare. They didn't do that, so they intend for it to be mostly a commercial endeavor—like last year's Wonka. 
 

Critic reviews in the 65-78 range. 

 

Box office in the $500M-$800M range. 
 

Maxes out at 5 Oscar nominations (Set Design, Costume Design, Hair and Make Up Styling, Sound, Visual Effects). But maybe less than that. Probably better than the 0 Wonka got. 

Posted

it's giving mixed

  • 2 months later...
Posted
On 10/4/2024 at 6:40 PM, nsst said:

I wouldn't be shocked if Wicked flops too. It looks like both Ariana Grande and Lady Gaga are competing for the title of my panned queens this year, two major flops each? a MESS!

 

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Indeed Ariana the panned queen 
 

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Posted

Crazy how this site always wishes for Ariana's downfall but it's just doesn't happen :coffee:

  • Thanks 1
Posted
On 10/4/2024 at 8:38 AM, Breathe On Moi said:

not people trying to drag Ari into the bomb fest, this movie is very anticipated and movie goers already know what they're going in for. It will do numbers :flower:

oop

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