charts discussion Final Hot 100 Predictions (8/24/2024): A Bar Song #1 (6x); close battle for #4

[WhateverYouWant]

Good. She deserves to flop. 

 

Its a better song than ww though.

[BrokenMachine]

And no, I'm not surprised. Why? Because I listened to the song 

[Biggie]

11 minutes ago, genio said:

It doesn't matter, she already achieved everything and more and has 9 number ones under her belt, what more does she need?

 

I haven't listened yet, but I'm sure it's a good song, deserving of a spot inside the Hot 100, but sometimes people don't have taste and that's okay.

What more she needs is a lasting career - unless you're good with those rapist-produced #1's being the hallmark of her career (it's a joke we know all katykids don't have an issue with it)

[Riverbank]

6 minutes ago, BrokenMachine said:

How? It's serving OUT-OUT in every single metric

She might not dominate the H100 like she used to but she always had the Bubbling Under to fall back on. I for one would be very shocked if this doesn't chart there as well... but hey there's a first time for everything!

 

Edited August 11 by Riverbank

[Keeandga]

It's not a bad song it's just generic (the instrumental at the very least) but with all the backlash it's just not strong enough. 

[genio]

2 minutes ago, Biggie said:

What more she needs is a lasting career - unless you're good with those rapist-produced #1's being the hallmark of her career (it's a joke we know all katykids don't have an issue with it)

You're absolutely right actually. It was sarcasm and I wasn't defending Katy's career.

[G.U.Y. Gaga]

39 minutes ago, Riverbank said:

 

Does this come as a shock to you? Do you think this anticipated 2nd single can still make a dent on the H100? Discuss

 

 

Is this the Nicki feature 

[Popboi.]

A new bombshell has joined the island 

[BrokenMachine]

8 minutes ago, Riverbank said:

She might not dominate the H100 like she used to but she always had the Bubbling Under to fall back on. I for one would be very shocked if this doesn't chart there as well... but hey there's a first time for everything!

 

Not your thread being merged 

[ugo]

She finally claimed a title Taylor swift will never have: queen of the bubbling under 

[Riverbank]

Now which KarenKat asked for my thread to be merged?

 

[AshleyLovescats887]

2 minutes ago, Riverbank said:

Now which KarenKat asked for my thread to be merged?

 

The same katycat that's sad about 'LIFETIMES' blocking songs from #30 on bubbling instead of #1 on this one

[fridayteenage]

37 minutes ago, ugo said:

She finally claimed a title Taylor swift will never have: queen of the bubbling under 

well, Katy actually has no song that peaked at 101.

 

Taylor has: tell me why

hey Stephen TV

girl at home TV

 

Katy songs that peaked at 102-110: peacock, Harleys in Hawaii, by the grace of god

[Gossip_Boy]

Oh Godsync don't make that slay.

 

Wait this is for next week's hot 100 but whatever.

Edited August 11 by Gossip_Boy

[pride4jc1222]

 

[Kylizzle]

2 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

 

Birds slaying

[Miley Cyrus]

14 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

 

Espresso would have to see a +50% increase in points for it to reach #1 on album release week… I'm starting to think this won't happen. 
I checked and Vampire jumped 47% in points with the release of GUTS but espresso is a bigger hit than vampire soo…  

Edited August 12 by Miley Cyrus

[Miley Cyrus]

The two Morgan songs lingering outside the top 10 

 

 

[UnusualBoy]

Birds

[pride4jc1222]

57 minutes ago, Miley Cyrus said:

Espresso would have to see a +50% increase in points for it to reach #1 on album release week… I'm starting to think this won't happen. 
I checked and Vampire jumped 47% in points with the release of GUTS but espresso is a bigger hit than vampire soo…  

I kind of knew this like 2 months ago when A Bar Song passed Espresso on radio. I'm not sure why people held out hope that Espresso had a chance at #1 against ABS. The gap here is way too large. Espresso needs to gain 15M streams at minimum to even have a chance at challenging ABS for #1. Safe to say, there's almost no chance of that happening. Sabrina's best chance at another #1 is one of the other unreleased tracks exploding on release week.

 

It's almost certain the next #1 on the Hot 100 is something currently not charting yet.

[Bethenny Frankel]

can a bar song please go? it's overstayed its welcome

[pride4jc1222]

Midweek predictions: 

 

[RoseBud]

 

  I thought Sabrina would drop a third single before the album dropped.  Doesn't seem like that will happen...

[fridayteenage]

19 hours ago, RoseBud said:

 

  I thought Sabrina would drop a third single before the album dropped.  Doesn't seem like that will happen...

equivalent week for Olivia since there's the exact same gap between first single and album release:

#16 drivers license

#17 deja vu

 

album release week it was

#3 deja vu

#11 drivers license

 

perhaps Sabrina didn't feel the need to release a 3rd single as of yet.

[pride4jc1222]

Final predictions: