charts discussion Final Hot 100 predictions (6/22): IHSH #1, Sabrina #2 and #3

[Joaco95]

americans have weird taste

Edited June 10 by Joaco95

[Paultea]

54 minutes ago, blackoutbritney said:

What filler? She's always had full cheeks & she just has full glam on I don't see the issue

Oh I'm not claiming thats my own opinion. Just whenever her picture is posted, especially now with the cover, tons of comments say how overfilled her face looks and how horrible her makeup is. 

[PoisonPill]

AP. And it's not "predicted to top the Hot 100", it is expected to have enough points for top 3, with #1 being a possibility.

[lustforyou]

Her success is no more payola-ed than any pop star. She has been mega flopping for FIVE albums/almost a decade now (her last album debuted with 18k units), I promise the industry didn't all the sudden decide that investing millions of dollars into a certified flop with a long history of flops was a good idea

 

She just simply kept at it all those years, released quality music even when it kept flopping, kept touring as a supporting act or in tiny venues to prove she's a good performer, and kept networking. That all led to her getting the Eras Tour opening spot, which was obviously massive promo, and then formed some level of friendship with Taylor (more promo), and since she had such a large back catalogue of quality music, the people learning of her for the first time had music of quality to actually latch onto.

 

Then she filled a niche missing in the industry right now with Espresso (light fun summery upbeat pop; the only other mainstream artists that have done this lately are Dua and Ariana. And Ariana's music is more RnB/moody now, and Dua's music is boring and dated now. So there was an opening for a hyperfeminine fun girl to come in) and is snowballing that success into more

 

Shes the perfect example of "overnight success takes years of work". (So is Chappell Roan rn). Kudos to her for not giving up when it seemed impossible she'd ever even get a top 20

[45seconds]

34 minutes ago, fridayteenage said:

Real hits are songs that chart at the top positions

Well, no. 

[tjspy]

48 minutes ago, fridayteenage said:

Real hits are songs that chart at the top positions

... at year-end charts 

[Happylittlepunk]

Sabrina is a sign that fun pop music is making a comeback. 

[fridayteenage]

7 minutes ago, tjspy said:

... at year-end charts 

So ur saying each year only has one or two hits? Hmm

[tjspy]

15 minutes ago, fridayteenage said:

So ur saying each year only has one or two hits? Hmm

There are plenty of positions available on the top20 of the year-end charts 

[fridayteenage]

22 minutes ago, tjspy said:

There are plenty of positions available on the top20 of the year-end charts 

So positions and my everything only had one hit? Idk if I agree

[aesthetic bih]

2 hours ago, 305 said:

Insane but Espresso deserved

I believe Espresso will eventually get to #1. Summer is just starting in the US right? Unless there's a 3rd smash during the album release, Espresso will get the #1 during the album release, I think

[aesthetic bih]

1 hour ago, Happylittlepunk said:

Sabrina is a sign that fun pop music is making a comeback. 

Thank God, I'm so sick of gloomy minimalist pop topping the charts. We need a modern Teenage Dream era moment

 

 

 

[pride4jc1222]

38 minutes ago, aesthetic bih said:

I believe Espresso will eventually get to #1. Summer is just starting in the US right? Unless there's a 3rd smash during the album release, Espresso will get the #1 during the album release, I think

You are right about summer just beginning in the US, but Espresso just doesn't have much more room to grow on radio than some of the songs ahead of it on the Hot 100 (like IHSH or ABS). By the time we get to album release, Espresso will be well past its peak on Pop and Sabrina will be pushing another song. Plus, there's the new Morgan Wallen song that comes out in early July.

[PoisonPill]

1 hour ago, aesthetic bih said:

I believe Espresso will eventually get to #1. Summer is just starting in the US right? Unless there's a 3rd smash during the album release, Espresso will get the #1 during the album release, I think

That's 10 weeks from now, it will most likely peak before then... but I hope you're right 

[Capruni]

8 hours ago, Truth Teller said:

INSANE

 

We need this to happen and we need Espresso to hit #1 later on, like Rihanna's Only Girl -> What's My Name. I think that's the only other time a lead has hit the top after the second single

Yassssss!

 

It's going to be exciting and hope it happens! It's going to be the 3rd case, cuz The Weeknd did it in 2015 with "Can't Feel My Face" and "The Hills".

[Capruni]

Quote

 

 #1 debut coming…

[ReH2o]

Espresso deserves #1 

[Sweetestsecret]

 

[KatyPrismSpirit]

if it doesn't go #1 charts are corrupt

[Green]

PPP deserves to debut at #1. It's doing 4.7 million streams on US Spotify alone, that's 2.1 million more streams than the current #1 (I had some help), and it's also #1 on Apple Music and youtube.

[Green]

7 hours ago, ReH2o said:

Espresso deserves #1 

 

Espresso will have a chance later when airplay is higher

[dussel_06]

OMG…. Sabrina!!!!

please go no. 1!

[CottageHore]

This possibly debuting at #1 after y'all dragged it for being "boring" is such a kii. And y'all will switch like maggots as usual. 
 

I love this song and it deserves that #1!

[EarthJang]

Go get that #1 Sabrina!!

I'm genuinely feel so happy for her

[dumbsparce]

Sabrina about to serve a Rih Loud tea where the 1st single went #1 after the 2nd single did 

Edited June 11 by dumbsparce