Post Malone Posted May 15 Posted May 15 Billie Eilish is releasing her anticipated(?) 3rd studio album "Hit Me Hard And Soft" this Friday after having announced it in early April and promoted it with excessive snippets & beauty shots since. Predict her first day Spotify streams! Some things to take into consideration: - The album consists of 10 tracks, no pre-release singles were released - Her previous album, Happier Than Ever, debuted with a disappointing 35.5M first day streams. Keep in mind it has +60% the amount of tracks compared to this new album - HTE had 5 pre-release and on-release highly playlisted singles. The album also had some abrasive, unlikely to be repeated Spotify promo on release, including immediate TTH and NMF covers and #1 placement, as well as an unprecedented "Happier Than Ever genre" button on all users' homepage linking to the album. - Some recent debuts by her peers with similar amounts of tracks: GUTS - 60.9M (12 tracks) Eternal Sunshine - 58.1M (13 tracks, 1 is an interlude) but then there's also... Radical Optimism - 20.5M unfiltered (11 tracks; filtered unknown due to songs missing the chart. ) Predict carefully, ATRL, as responses will be bumpedT accordingly in due time. 1
selena_lavigne Posted May 15 Posted May 15 (edited) I'm gonna go with 46.8 Million if we're gonna play this game. Hoping it crosses 50. Edited May 15 by selena_lavigne
Popular Post Almodusa Posted May 15 Popular Post Posted May 15 Quote Surprised? How would I be surprised if it's something she announced 8 25
YellowRibbon Posted May 15 Posted May 15 Anything below 60M would be disappointing considering her status as a Gen Z icon 1
Popular Post tost1 Posted May 15 Popular Post Posted May 15 Thread title serving a Shania Twain track! 1 19
Selegend Posted May 15 Posted May 15 (edited) Even with the fact that Happier Than Ever had a lot of pre-releases singles, i feel hype now is bigger. The Close Friends thing [+10million followers "just" cuz of it) and etc (Closer Friends should've been made closer to album release than when they did it tho) My filtered prediction is 40m. Don't see Billie crossing 60m with only 10 tracks. Edited May 15 by Selegend 4
kimberly Posted May 15 Posted May 15 I honestly don't think she'll surpass 40M at most. that would be a respectable debut anyway. 2
Rabbit Posted May 15 Posted May 15 It will bury Post Malones last debut and block TTPD from AOTY 1 4 1
Popular Post wish Posted May 15 Popular Post Posted May 15 38M which will be at least 3 times larger than C, XOXO debut 1 15
50thStateofMind Posted May 15 Posted May 15 55-65 since it seems like there's a lot of hype even from non Stans 4
ReneighIsHere Posted May 15 Posted May 15 (edited) between 50M and 60M is what is expected.. if she does more than 70M it's a gag, if less than 50M a flop.. yea it's only 10 tracks but she's one of the biggest artists among the new generation. I feel like there is demand for her albums, her previous one underperformed because of the terrible rollout with lots of singles, i expect this to do bigger numbers since she's not dropping any singles (which could have ruined her hype) Edited May 15 by ReneighIsHere
Post Malone Posted May 15 Author Posted May 15 8 minutes ago, Almodusa said: How would I be surprised if it's something she announced Not many people seem to be talking about it on ATRL sooo Spoiler Camila's random, visualsless instant grab album track from 4 days ago outpaging her months old album thread 1 1
ImpressMeMuch Posted May 15 Posted May 15 If by surprised you mean I forgot this was coming bc there has been no noise after she announced it a month ago except for eco vinyl gate then yes 2
KingWitch Posted May 15 Posted May 15 I guess over 50 million, not having any singles before could actually help her because people get to choose which songs they like.
Reginald Posted May 15 Posted May 15 I think it will actually start off with similar "decent" numbers to HTE. Her diehard fans will be listening at midnight, but the lack of singles might mean it will take longer to become a cultural event. It will be interesting to see if this strategy gives longevity, or if the streams fizzle out
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