charts discussion Final Hot 100 predictions (5/18): Not Like Us #1, Million Dollar Baby #2, euphoria #3

[Green]

Another increase for Million Dollar Baby:

 

5.65 million + 0.85 million = 6.5 million streams combined  (US spotify)

 

 

Not Like Us: 6.93 million streams

 

 

When was the last time the top 2 was doing over 6 million daily streams on US spotify alone (not counting Taylor's first day of her last album)  

[Green]

US Weekly Spotify:

 

1. Not Like Us, Kendrick Lamar  31,689,943

2. MILLION DOLLAR BABY, Tommy Richman  29,046,883 + 6,081,909 = 35,128,792 (#1 combined)

3. euphoria, Kendrick Lamar  26,907,009

4. Espresso, Sabrina Carpenter  20,429,043        
5. A Bar Song (Tipsy), Shaboozey  18,607,082    

6. Like That - Future, Metro Boomin, Kendrick Lamar  16,280,5897

7. Fortnight (feat. Post Malone) - Taylor Swift, Post Malone  15,110,116

8. Too Sweet - Hozier    13,653,543        
9. Family Matters - Drake   13,372,360        
10. I Can Do It With a Broken Heart - Taylor Swift  11,995,195

[pride4jc1222]

1 hour ago, Green said:

Another increase for Million Dollar Baby:

 

5.65 million + 0.85 million = 6.5 million streams combined  (US spotify)

 

 

Not Like Us: 6.93 million streams

 

 

When was the last time the top 2 was doing over 6 million daily streams on US spotify alone (not counting Taylor's first day of her last album)  

I think it's only happened during the holiday season and CLB (GWG and Way 2 Sexy).

[Paul]

So is it Not Like Us or is it Million Dollar Baby that is projected to go #1?

[Green]

1 hour ago, Paul said:

So is it Not Like Us or is it Million Dollar Baby that is projected to go #1?

 

Not Like Us

[Green]

 

 

528 points for Not Like Us  73 million streams in just 5 days

 

 

[extra_ordinary]

Did Fortnight physical ship or something? +1% point, so stable

[Carrie-is-no-1]

Not espresso was hyped to be at #2 just 1.5 week ago and now all these happened 

[pride4jc1222]

Sucks that Lose Control is in that 10 spot instead of Too Sweet or Meet the Grahams. It's really dragging down an otherwise fresh Top 10.

[RoseBud]

42 minutes ago, Carrie-is-no-1 said:

Not espresso was hyped to be at #2 just 1.5 week ago and now all these happened 

  I'm afraid Espresso has been tragically decaffeinated but it will return to be the number one hit of the year  !!!

[Life Savers]

Kendrick 

[Maroonx]

1 hour ago, extra_ordinary said:

Did Fortnight physical ship or something? +1% point, so stable

it's expected to ship on May 30th

[extra_ordinary]

9 minutes ago, Maroonx said:

it's expected to ship on May 30th

What would explain the stability then? Didn't it drop in streams vs week 2?

[fridayteenage]

44 minutes ago, extra_ordinary said:

What would explain the stability then? Didn't it drop in streams vs week 2?

talent won!

[NEX]

Looks like Cruel Summer will survive the chop. And it will probably stabilise in the Top 20 now that the tour is resumed. 

[Green]

37 minutes ago, NEX said:

Looks like Cruel Summer will survive the chop. And it will probably stabilise in the Top 20 now that the tour is resumed. 

 

Billie's album bomb is coming next week

[punisher]

18 minutes ago, Green said:

 

Billie's album bomb is coming next week

at this rate i don't think the bomb will be bombing

[Mr. Duff]

20 minutes ago, Green said:

 

Billie's album bomb is coming next week

I doubt there will be more than three songs that's going to debut top 25. I could be wrong though.

 

CS week 53  If ever Billie would kick this to recurrency, I'd be furious. I doubt it though, the tour should help to nake it stable back in the top 20.

 

I am so impressed with ICDIWABH, Down Bad and WAOLOM still in the top 25

Edited May 11 by Mr. Duff

[Green]

Feather peaking at #21 again

 

Sabrina fans need to mass buy this song so it can finally go top 20.

A #21 peak is ugly

[Green]

44 minutes ago, Mr. Duff said:

I doubt there will be more than three songs that's going to debut top 25. I could be wrong though.

 

CS week 53  If ever Billie would kick this to recurrency, I'd be furious. I doubt it though, the tour should help to nake it stable back in the top 20.

 

I am so impressed with ICDIWABH, Down Bad and WAOLOM still in the top 25

 

Isn't the tour boost for Cruel Summer mostly outside the US?

 

It's #69 on US spotify and #147 on Apple Music. Most of its current points in the US are from radio.

[Mr. Duff]

16 minutes ago, Green said:

 

Isn't the tour boost for Cruel Summer mostly outside the US?

 

It's #69 on US spotify and #147 on Apple Music. Most of its current points in the US are from radio.

I am hoping it could at least have a small boost in the US, although yes you are right, the impact would mostly be global.

[pride4jc1222]

Final predictions: 

 

[Kyle-x]

On 5/10/2024 at 9:15 PM, extra_ordinary said:

What would explain the stability then? Didn't it drop in streams vs week 2?

It did ship, I have mine 

[whiteferrari]

Kendrick occupying 2 of top 3   

[naval23]

16 hours ago, Green said:

Feather peaking at #21 again

 

Sabrina fans need to mass buy this song so it can finally go top 20.

A #21 peak is ugly

Her "Goodbye to You", "Mr. Saxobeat"