charts discussion Final Hot 100 predictions (5/18): Not Like Us #1, Million Dollar Baby #2, euphoria #3

[Green]

It's over. Not Like Us will debut at #1

 

6.6 million streams on US spotify

[Green]

Sabrina had the worst timing   A week ago we thought Taylor would be the one blocking her, only for this to happen:

 

#4 while doing 3 million daily streams in the US  

 

US Spotify

1    =    Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us  6.6 million
2    =   Tommy Richman - MILLION DOLLAR BABY (combined)  4.6 million
3    =   Kendrick Lamar - euphoria  4.2 million
4    =   Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso  3 million
5    +4 Kendrick Lamar - meet the grahams  2.9 million

[Menchies]

52 minutes ago, Green said:

It's over. Not Like Us will debut at #1

 

6.6 million streams on US spotify

THANK GOD, no #1 hit for you Tommy Brokeboy 

[Azulito]

I wonder if Kendrick could've replaced himself at #1 if Euphoria had a full week of tracking

[pride4jc1222]

3 hours ago, Green said:

Sabrina had the worst timing   A week ago we thought Taylor would be the one blocking her, only for this to happen:

 

#4 while doing 3 million daily streams in the US  

 

US Spotify

1    =    Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us  6.6 million
2    =   Tommy Richman - MILLION DOLLAR BABY (combined)  4.6 million
3    =   Kendrick Lamar - euphoria  4.2 million
4    =   Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso  3 million
5    +4 Kendrick Lamar - meet the grahams  2.9 million

Sabrina could have released in the dead period (before the Metro Boomin albums), but I still think she won. I mean, who would have thought, even six months ago, that Sabrina would be doing better numbers than Drake?

[GoodGuyGoneGhetto]

This is unsurpassed.

 

A diss track at that. 
 

 

 

[Aribiotch.]

The fact that he will probably hold the top 2 spots on BB next week 

[JoJo]

On 5/6/2024 at 8:07 AM, pride4jc1222 said:

Remember this about diss tracks: Almost all of them come and go. The only one that has really stood the test of time is You're So Vain. We've remembered that one 50 years later, and it's likely that it will be remembered 50 years from now. These Drake and Kendrick tracks will be forgotten by this time next year.

This is such a pop-centric take. Hit 'Em Up and Ether aren't forgotten just because your local radio station isn't playing them 

[Gossip_Boy]

If Kendrick played the charts game he could've had 2 back-to-back #1 debuts.

Edited May 7 by Gossip_Boy

[Raspberries]

Send it to radio immediately. Song of the summer about to be a song calling Drake a pedophile  

[fridayteenage]

Wonder if Sabrina will have a chance when she peaks in airplay during the summer

[Mezter]

A smash

[LCTV]

10 hours ago, Green said:

Sabrina had the worst timing   A week ago we thought Taylor would be the one blocking her, only for this to happen:

 

#4 while doing 3 million daily streams in the US  

 

US Spotify

1    =    Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us  6.6 million
2    =   Tommy Richman - MILLION DOLLAR BABY (combined)  4.6 million
3    =   Kendrick Lamar - euphoria  4.2 million
4    =   Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso  3 million
5    +4 Kendrick Lamar - meet the grahams  2.9 million

It's another ' Greedy ' situation.

[Katy V.!]

Poor Sabrina & Shaboozey  Hopefully they get a chance in 3 weeks. 

[JBJT2786]

 

 

Kinda think the surprise here is that Drake might still get a top 5 out of this ( tho Like that is so close it'll be funny if FM doesnt)

[Mezter]

Taylor, her freefall  

[Life Savers]

I'm streaming Kendrick. He deserves 

[Bey_Rihstan]

On 5/6/2024 at 8:07 AM, pride4jc1222 said:

Remember this about diss tracks: Almost all of them come and go. The only one that has really stood the test of time is You're So Vain. We've remembered that one 50 years later, and it's likely that it will be remembered 50 years from now. These Drake and Kendrick tracks will be forgotten by this time next year.

f

 

Hit Em Up, Ether, Shether, No Vaseline & Takeover didn't even Chart and they're all still referenced and discussed YEARS later. Your pop rules do not apply to rap  

 

But LOL @ you're so vain being the only diss to stand the test of time. You Outta Know? Hollaback Girl? Obsessed? 

[OrgVisual]

The charts have never been this busy, it's crazy

[ForgottenSoul]

The diss tracks suck so sad they will hit 1 tbh 

[KatyPrismSpirit]

Fortnight is tumbling down the charts. Deserved for not making I Can Do It With A Broken Heart the lead single.

[Green]

462 points??? 

[KingWitch]

Fortnight having no legs, her worst lead single after Me!

 

[Ger]

Kendrick owning the Top 3 (and almost Top 2) like that.

 

"Fortnight" is not freefalling, but some people were doing the most thinking it was following AH's run, very different pop songs, no matter Taylor's popularity is at a much higher level now. 

[NEX]

On 5/6/2024 at 11:39 AM, Mr. Duff said:

Does this mean Cruel Summer will go recurrent? I'm sorry I always ask this, I'm just really hoping it could get a few more weeks.  

It will need to rise above at least 5 other Taylor tracks that are freefalling in order not to get punched out