charts discussion Hot 100:06/17/2023 predictions.Last night 10x #1,calm down #3,fast car #5,Cardi B #13

[Jude]

I was worried Morgan will break the longest #1 on BBH100 but I remember Olivia our savior is coming in 3 weeks.

[Green]

According to lip predictions the gap of Last Night is so big that he would be #1 based on streams alone

 

Points of Last Nights without sales and radio:

[TrieLz]

1 hour ago, Jude said:

I was worried Morgan will break the longest #1 on BBH100 but I remember Olivia our savior is coming in 3 weeks.

If Olivia debut with over 320 points with the current rules 

 

because the last time G4U debut with around 330 points (almost get blocked by J.Cole song )

 

she needs another viral song like DL to debut above 580 points (old rules)

 

[Rico Shameless v2]

All the promo and multiple versions, no Top 15? Oof.

[Zolanski.]

1 hour ago, Zox said:

Your fave just debuted a song at #66 purely due to fraudulent sales, let’s not

 

OT: a solid debut

What you should be more concerned about is that fact that PIOTF had multiple versions, website copies, a music video, a live performance and a trend on TikTok only for it to still miss the top 20. I would hope you would agree that Cardi & Latto are more established artists than Sexyy Red so it’s quite a pathetic comparison - but of course you would avoid comparing it to Princess Diana, well for obvious reasons  

[Zox]

1 minute ago, Zolanski. said:

What you should be more concerned about is that fact that PIOTF had multiple versions, website copies, a music video, a live performance and a trend on TikTok only for it to still miss the top 20. I would hope you would agree that Cardi & Latto are more established artists than Sexyy Red so it’s quite a pathetic comparison - but of course you would avoid comparing it to Princess Diana, well for obvious reasons  

Literally every Nicki release since 2018

 

Id also rather a 30 debut than top 5 and then plummeting the next week. FRAUD!

[Ger]

1 hour ago, Green said:

According to lip predictions the gap of Last Night is so big that he would be #1 based on streams alone

 

Points of Last Nights without sales and radio:

What a smash, omg  I was wondering what would occur if Pop radio suddenly drops it and well...

[Zolanski.]

15 minutes ago, Zox said:

Literally every Nicki release since 2018

 

Id also rather a 30 debut than top 5 and then plummeting the next week. FRAUD!

No one is denying that, but you’re comparing PIOTF to PT2 which didn’t get the same treatment so let’s not play dumb here. 
 

Princess Diana crossed 700K units mid May and is due to go platinum any day now. It has now spent its 7th week on the billboard charts and is rising on radio - I really hope PIOTF manages to do the same!  

Edited June 7, 2023 by Zolanski.

[Stepfon]

You all are forgetting EVERY other song Latto since Big Energy has either NOT charted or charted in the 80’s or 90’s so let’s not act like Latto is some chart force here. 

[Zox]

19 minutes ago, Stepfon said:

You all are forgetting EVERY other song Latto since Big Energy has either NOT charted or charted in the 80’s or 90’s so let’s not act like Latto is some chart force here. 

They’re so bird brained  like fave like stan I guess!

 

OT: given the facts above, this is major for Latto!

[K@rm@]

I think it will be a grower especially wit it being pushed on radio.

 

idk why people expect songs to smash right out the gate only people that do that are Taylor and Drake.

[Jude]

3 hours ago, TrieLz said:

If Olivia debut with over 320 points with the current rules 

 

because the last time G4U debut with around 330 points (almost get blocked by J.Cole song )

 

she needs another viral song like DL to debut above 580 points (old rules)

 

All the stanbases should unite and end the racist.

[Fetish for MiMi]

I’m happy with a #3 peak, #2 is kinda tragic 

[MALAMENTE]

Top 3! What a sleeper hit! #2 is an iconic position for the songs that cannot go #1 but I’ll take #3 

[pride4jc1222]

9 hours ago, Ger-55 said:

Midweek predictions: https://twitter.com/lippredicts/status/1666232814688165889

 

"Calm Down" #3, close to "Flowers", "Last Night" 10th week atop and keeps ganing, "Fast Car" super close to #5. 

Fast Car could get as high as #4, as 4-7 are really close. Yikes at Creepin moving up to #9 and Anti-Hero still at #11.

 

#22-28 are really close. I hope Stand By Me and Put It On Da Floor Again end up in the top end (22 and 23), so that would increase the chance of AIW going recurrent.

 

Also, I'm surprised that Bizzarap/Peso Pluma, despite doing so much better on Spotify, is lower than PIONDFA. The power of Apple Music is really that much stronger in the US.

[B-Luke]

8 hours ago, Zox said:

Your fave just debuted a song at #66 purely due to fraudulent sales, let’s not

 

OT: a solid debut

The power that she has  imagine if it was a known artist she collaborated with

 

OT: Interesting result.

[pride4jc1222]

Currently predicted to be #27 on lip's predictions, but #22-28 are really close. Keep streaming this and Stand By Me to finally push AIW into recurrency.

[xfreshkidxx]

 

9 hours ago, Zox said:

Your fave just debuted a song at #66 purely due to fraudulent sales, let’s not

 

OT: a solid debut

Mind you this song just debuted multiple versions and still cant reach #1 on Itunes. "Pound Town" didnt even get extra versions. The fans are just buying the OG & Remix on Itunes. Something 2 bases together clearly cant do. 

 

 

6 hours ago, Stepfon said:

You all are forgetting EVERY other song Latto since Big Energy has either NOT charted or charted in the 80’s or 90’s so let’s not act like Latto is some chart force here. 

This is rich coming from the base trying to drag Sexy Red who isnt signed to a big label is "Pound Town" with her 1st entry coming in at #66 but celebrating a top 30 peak from 2 that are with heavy promo. 

Edited June 7, 2023 by xfreshkidxx

[Maroonx]

Rema/Selena being 5 points away from #2... That's crazy, but I think 5 points is a lot tbh. Maybe next week or the following they might be able to overtake it.  I'm pleased with how successful "Calm Down" is, so a #3 peak is brilliant too.

[Fading]

1 hour ago, Maroonx said:

Rema/Selena being 5 points away from #2... That's crazy, but I think 5 points is a lot tbh. Maybe next week or the following they might be able to overtake it.  I'm pleased with how successful "Calm Down" is, so a #3 peak is brilliant too.

The success is unreal. The music is just too good to not be a hit tho.

[UnusualBoy]

I never got the hype of the CD song but anyway and with no one big releasing this month, that's 4 more weeks for Morgan

[Polgg48]

having a thought about how recent dominance country scene just yesterday and sure taylor swift could easily jump on the hype train whenever she wants...

 

OT: fast car is rock and a hard place of 2023, just how it is but so happy to see instead of that over-payola former FGL guy one.

[thatsmydemi]

Nothing will dethrone Last Night considering it's got plenty of room to grow on radio still.

 

Maybe Olivia at the end of June... 

[thatsmydemi]

Calm Down possibly going #2

 

The power of radio

[Maroonx]

2 hours ago, Fading said:

The success is unreal. The music is just too good to not be a hit tho.

Agreed... I listen to both versions and the Selena version just adds more to the song.