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Is the Little Mermaid set to box office disappointment?


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Posted
35 minutes ago, Orsay said:

I think we as a society need to take a stand against these horrible Disney live action remakes being force fed to us. I hope they all flop and I know in my heart they are all completely devoid of true art. Sorry, no personal feelings!

Or you could just not watch things you're not interested in and let those who are interested in them, enjoy them. You talk about no personal feelings, but your entire argument is an arrogant need to mould everything around your own personal taste.

 

Clearly, there is an appetite for these movies, as they're all huge successes. If they're not for you, that is fine. But trying to get them all cancelled because you don't want them is so weird. :skull: There's so much content out there for you to enjoy, go focus on that.

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Posted (edited)

Not a Disney adult by any means, but The Little Mermaid is the movie of my childhood and I'll be watching this even if just for the nostalgia 

Edited by Miracle
Posted

The movie is not bombing at least. 

RockStarShit101
Posted
1 hour ago, Orsay said:

I think we as a society need to take a stand against these horrible Disney live action remakes being force fed to us. I hope they all flop and I know in my heart they are all completely devoid of true art. Sorry, no personal feelings!

nothing is forcing you to watch them, though. :lmao:

Posted
1 hour ago, Aristotle said:

Why such a huge gap in predictions?

This is how every major blockbuster is. There is always a 30M leeway from the high end to the low end. Also there is a 4 day weekend that will push it from $90M to $125M if it performs as expected 

Posted

it will do ok.

Posted (edited)

the original was not that popular so idk why some people expect this to hit 1b. I can see this finish in the 600-700m range between Cinderella and maleficent if the movie is good, snow white will bomb tho

  Original Remake
The Lion King (1994) (2019) $968,511,805 $1,663,075,401
Beauty and the Beast (1992) (2017) $424,967,620 $1,266,115,964
Aladdin (1992) (2019) $504,050,219 $1,054,304,000
The Jungle Book (1967) (1994) (2016) $205,843,612
$43,229,904
$967,724,775
Sleeping Beauty (1959)
Maleficent (2014)
$51,600,000 $759,853,685
Cinderella (1950) (2015) $96,383,330 $542,358,331
Mulan (1998) (2020) $304,320,254 $69,965,374
The Little Mermaid (1989) (2023) $211,343,479  
Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (1937) (2024) $184,925,486  

the songs also not as huge as the other films 

also disney underperforming these days (from their animations, Marvel, Star Wars, and these live actions), and because of Disney+ too 

this month and next month are also stacked with movies competing for screens so I don't think it'll have good legs

May 26: The Little Mermaid
June 2: Spider-verse

June 9: Transformers
June 16: The Flash, Elemental
June 30: Indiana Jones
and Mario still going strong. Obviously, the demographics for these movies are different but they will take turns taking more screens in the theaters
This will do ok in North America but international markets will drop very fast 

Edited by Hans.
Posted
11 minutes ago, Hans. said:

the original was not that popular so idk why some people expect this to hit 1b. I can see this finish in the 600-700m range between Cinderella and maleficent if the movie is good, snow white will bomb tho

  Original Remake
The Lion King (1994) (2019) $968,511,805 $1,663,075,401
Beauty and the Beast (1992) (2017) $424,967,620 $1,266,115,964
Aladdin (1992) (2019) $504,050,219 $1,054,304,000
The Jungle Book (1967) (1994) (2016) $205,843,612
$43,229,904
$967,724,775
Sleeping Beauty (1959)
Maleficent (2014)
$51,600,000 $759,853,685
Cinderella (1950) (2015) $96,383,330 $542,358,331
Mulan (1998) (2020) $304,320,254 $69,965,374
The Little Mermaid (1989) (2023) $211,343,479  
Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (1937) (2024) $184,925,486  

the songs also not as huge as the other films 

also disney underperforming these days (from their animations, Marvel, Star Wars, and these live actions), and because of Disney+ too 

this month and next month are also stacked with movies competing for screens so I don't think it'll have good legs

May 26: The Little Mermaid
June 2: Spider-verse

June 9: Transformers
June 16: The Flash, Elemental
June 30: Indiana Jones
and Mario still going strong. Obviously, the demographics for these movies are different but they will take turns taking more screens in the theaters
This will do ok in North America but international markets will drop very fast 

 

oh i always thought the little mermaid was super popular! Ariel seems more popular than other disney princesses 

Posted (edited)
4 hours ago, Hans. said:

the original was not that popular so idk why some people expect this to hit 1b. I can see this finish in the 600-700m range between Cinderella and maleficent if the movie is good, snow white will bomb tho

  Original Remake
The Lion King (1994) (2019) $968,511,805 $1,663,075,401
Beauty and the Beast (1992) (2017) $424,967,620 $1,266,115,964
Aladdin (1992) (2019) $504,050,219 $1,054,304,000
The Jungle Book (1967) (1994) (2016) $205,843,612
$43,229,904
$967,724,775
Sleeping Beauty (1959)
Maleficent (2014)
$51,600,000 $759,853,685
Cinderella (1950) (2015) $96,383,330 $542,358,331
Mulan (1998) (2020) $304,320,254 $69,965,374
The Little Mermaid (1989) (2023) $211,343,479  
Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (1937) (2024) $184,925,486  

 

That's not a good strategy when predicting/assuming box office. The Beauty and the Beast outperformed Aladdin and did 75% of TLK. And original 90s TJB did less than TLM wheras it's remake nearly reached 1B dollars in box office. Also DVD sales were very profitable back then. The Princess and the Frog broke even at nearly the end of it's cinema run and only made a small profit from it. Later DVD/CD sales brought 1/2 of cinema numbers so it was quite profitable in the end.

 

A 1B box office would've been very likely secured had Ariel been white and redhead.

 

I hope it breaks even, at minimum. And DVD sales will bring some profit.

Otherwise, Halle seems like a very sweet girl I hope she does not take it at heart.

Edited by Aristotle
Posted
1 hour ago, Hans. said:

the original was not that popular so

Every Western household with children owned a Little Mermaid VHS in the 90s, bffr.

Posted (edited)

the character is popular sure but not the movie compared to Lion King, Aladdin, and Beauty & The Beast

And not the Western household when I was talking about WW

also, this is about the box office so why did you guys bring up DVD & VHS, the number is right there

Edited by Hans.
Posted

600 - 700 mil is my prediction. Not a bomb but nothing extraordinary. China  has given up on all Hollywood movies besides Avatar so a big chunk of its box office isn’t there. 

Posted

none of the disney remakes have bombed at the box office and it's not about to start with one of their most popular stories

Posted
1 hour ago, Hans. said:

the character is popular sure but not the movie compared to Lion King, Aladdin, and Beauty & The Beast

And not the Western household when I was talking about WW

also, this is about the box office so why did you guys bring up DVD & VHS, the number is right there

Because the box office prospects of the remakes depend on the nostalgia for the brand itself and the characters and songs

The box office success of the originals shouldn't solely indicate the remake's success

Like someone pointed out, BATB 2017 remake outgrossed Aladdin 2019 despite Aladdin 1992 outgrossing BATB 1991 back then

 

You can't say TLM 1989 was not that popular when it literally started the Disney Renaissance and started that momentum of the world tuning in to each new entry

The Big 4 Disney Renaissance movies each outgrossed their predecessor until it reached a fever pitch/highest peak with The Lion King 1994

What if, let's say, Aladdin 1992 and TLM 1989 swapped release dates, who knows, maybe TLM 1992 would outgross Aladdin 1989 instead especially after BATB 1991's Oscar hype which further added to that momentum

 

Before TLM 1989 was released, Disney was hit or miss or even having panned bombs like The Black Cauldron (1985) and TLM was even predicted to underperform

After TLM 1989 was released, Disney had a newfound prestige and renewed public interest for future projects and the box office increases per entry reflected that

(The Rescuers Down Under doesn't count cause it's a sequel to a 1977 film pre-TLM 1989 :gaycat5:)

So basically TLM 1989 walked (on land :mandown:) so the other 3 subsequent movies can RUN :clap3:

 

Now with THAT being said, I am also on the fence on whether TLM 2023 will gross $1B, but mostly due to genre fatigue and the loss of that novelty factor cause of endless remakes throughout the 2010s. But the timeless story and iconic songs (Part of Your World and Under the Sea are just as huge as the other Renaissance songs what are you talking about? :skull: ) are enough to make it a success, maybe in the $700M to $900M range? We'll see

Posted

My money is on 600M to 650M total box office.

 

Posted
4 hours ago, ICLDXU4HS said:

Every Western household with children owned a Little Mermaid VHS in the 90s, bffr.

!!!  

 

For many it was also their first Disney movie theater experience.  

Posted
18 hours ago, CarCAL22 said:

the subtle racism LOL 

 

Halle is beyond qualified. Young, beautiful, and the voice of an absolute angel. I wonder what else she would need to make you like her...

I am a grown man and I don't care about a fictional mermaid's race. But Ariel's look and especially her hair was a very iconic image of her. 

Hypothetically if they picked a blonde and pale girl to play Esmeralda (mind you some Romani people have pale skin) would you have an issue with that? Not a rhetorical question, I really curious on your opinion. 

young-blonde-woman-wearing-blue-sweater_

ac0c50274ea333d500fdbbcebf9ce2e6

Posted

With all that marketing? I don't think so

Posted
31 minutes ago, Aristotle said:

I am a grown man and I don't care about a fictional mermaid's race. But Ariel's look and especially her hair was a very iconic image of her. 

Hypothetically if they picked a blonde and pale girl to play Esmeralda (mind you some Romani people have pale skin) would you have an issue with that? Not a rhetorical question, I really curious on your opinion. 

young-blonde-woman-wearing-blue-sweater_

ac0c50274ea333d500fdbbcebf9ce2e6

 

If a fictional character's race is integral to their story and experiences then you could have an argument.

Ariel's skin color is not relevant to the context of the story in any way. She is also a mermaid from a fictional undersea kingdom. We cannot find any authentic mermaids to play her... because the entire universe is made up and her skin color has zero importance. 

Also, this new version does not erase the disney's interpretation of the character and story, which changed A LOT of the original danish fairlytale 

 

Esmeralda's character is more so based on reality of being a Romani girl (who actually existed), even though she is more a temptress above all other aspects of her character (which I can people seeing that as a problematic depiction to begin with). I'm not that well versed in her character so I can't have too much of an informed opinion here, but I would understand people having an opinion on her character's race more than Ariel's. 

Posted
56 minutes ago, Aristotle said:

I am a grown man and I don't care about a fictional mermaid's race. But Ariel's look and especially her hair was a very iconic image of her. 

Hypothetically if they picked a blonde and pale girl to play Esmeralda (mind you some Romani people have pale skin) would you have an issue with that? Not a rhetorical question, I really curious on your opinion. 

young-blonde-woman-wearing-blue-sweater_

ac0c50274ea333d500fdbbcebf9ce2e6

99% of old-school Disney cartoon characters are white and your question is "Would you be unhappy if one of the handful of non-white/light skin characters was played by a blonde-haired, white woman"? Seriously?

 

These whataboutism questions are always so damn ridiculous. :rip:

Posted

The movie became the scapegoat for the culture war so it is what it is 

Posted (edited)

I usually don’t comment about things like this but Halle’s relationship with DDG has ruined this for me.

 

He has been extremely disrespectful to her, cheated on her, disrespectful to her fans on Twitter by cussing them out, calling them ugly and b**ches (just because they have defended her and asked why she is with him).

 

All of that for her to stay with him and defend him.

 

Many in The black community are confused and it’s just has taken away from her being a “princess” for me. I can’t explain it. There is also a fatigue of the Bailey sisters (which is also mostly Chloe’s fault)

 

I wish the film the best, and she sound amazing!!

Edited by simon
Posted
27 minutes ago, MrLovett said:

99% of old-school Disney cartoon characters are white and your question is "Would you be unhappy if one of the handful of non-white/light skin characters was played by a blonde-haired, white woman"? Seriously?

 

These whataboutism questions are always so damn ridiculous. :rip:

IDK maybe if this underperforms it might refrain Disney from being more inclusive with original stories in the future. Even that new princess had a very cheap animation compared to Tangled which was released 13 years ago.  I thought it was a Disney+ streaming only movie. :rip:

Had Halle been the image (she has a very unique look) and the voice of an actual new CGI princess similarly like Moana (which is my favorite CGI princess)  it would've been much better. Also princess Tiana had, IMO, the worst storyline among the 2D princesses.  Or at least one of the worst. She remains a frog for the most time. I think a new princess would've been much better and needed for that matter.

 

Now they picked a  Latina to play Snow White, if they decide to lighten her skin because of the backflash the recent movies have received that would be very awkward. 

Posted

the way people have been hypercritical about the tlm remake 

already screams racism :deadbanana4: 

 

i have never seen so many people complain about lighting, set design 

and how the animals look until now :rip: it looks even more ridiculous

when the trailer itself looks much more lively compared to the leaks

and the people have seen it are enamored by it :rip: 

 

i can get having critiques about the film from what we've seen but 

the way the girls are frothing at the mouth for it to fail is so disturbing 

 

and to then try and hide behind "objectivity" :toofunny2:

Posted
5 minutes ago, worldwide angel said:

the way people have been hypercritical about the tlm remake 

already screams racism :deadbanana4: 

 

i have never seen so many people complain about lighting, set design 

and how the animals look until now :rip: it looks even more ridiculous

when the trailer itself looks much more lively compared to the leaks

and the people have seen it are enamored by it :rip: 

 

i can get having critiques about the film from what we've seen but 

the way the girls are frothing at the mouth for it to fail is so disturbing 

 

and to then try and hide behind "objectivity" :toofunny2:

Some of the backlash is racism, but some of it is fatigue with Disney remakes. 

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