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Hot 100 Predictions: Kill Bill #1, PDR #4


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Posted
4 minutes ago, Machete said:

I’m not a Morgan hater and usually defend him against the obsessed haters, but there’s like a no chance Last Night goes #1 on YE. It’s Kill Bill vs. Flowers.

He can go #1. Even Anti Hero can go #1, it will depend a lot on how each song hold on radio. For all we know Kill Bill could start collapsing by next week.

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Posted
3 minutes ago, Machete said:

I’m not a Morgan hater and usually defend him against the obsessed haters, but there’s like a no chance Last Night goes #1 on YE. It’s Kill Bill vs. Flowers.

That’s like writing off Old Town Road, which also had just gotten to #1 at this point in 2019, had spent even less time on the charts beforehand, and still had a long way to climb on radio.

Posted
6 minutes ago, Axelios said:

He can go #1. Even Anti Hero can go #1, it will depend a lot on how each song hold on radio. For all we know Kill Bill could start collapsing by next week.

Being extremely cautious like that is pointless. Both Kill Bill and Flowers will leapfrog Anti-Hero within the next month going off the latest update.

I won’t even address the Last Night and OTR comparison :deadbanana:

Posted
3 minutes ago, Machete said:

Being extremely cautious like that is pointless. Both Kill Bill and Flowers will leapfrog Anti-Hero within the next month going off the latest update.

someone saying something good about AH has you upset huh?

 

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Posted
3 minutes ago, Machete said:

Being extremely cautious like that is pointless. Both Kill Bill and Flowers will leapfrog Anti-Hero within the next month going off the latest update.

I won’t even address the Last Night and OTR comparison :deadbanana:

That's assuming the gap will remain stable which it shouldn't. Song at their peak tend to fall harder and then stabilize at lower points. LN still has a lot of room to grow on radio while AH is very stable. I think that KB is the front runner especially with the extra points from the remix but it is far from guaranteed.

Posted (edited)

That one user having meltdown in this thread :rip:

 

Predictors are not just making up numbers to favour SZA. Morgan’s streams on US Spotify this week are down 700k. They probably estimated a similar decline in other platforms hence the lower streaming numbers. 

Edited by Sscorpionn
Posted
10 minutes ago, Axelios said:

That's assuming the gap will remain stable which it shouldn't. Song at their peak tend to fall harder and then stabilize at lower points. LN still has a lot of room to grow on radio while AH is very stable. I think that KB is the front runner especially with the extra points from the remix but it is far from guaranteed.

Once KB or Flowers overtakes Anti-Hero, that’s the end of its year end #1 hopes and the race becomes a three-way. I think by September one of KB/Flowers will be eliminated from contention and it will come down to the other one and LN.

Posted
18 minutes ago, Tekken_Guy said:

That’s like writing off Old Town Road, which also had just gotten to #1 at this point in 2019, had spent even less time on the charts beforehand, and still had a long way to climb on radio.

How have you been ranting for PAGES on this forum AND PULSE about trying to get a song by a racist man to #1, even when it's already been #1 for WEEKS? SZA won babes.

Also the OTR comparison :rip: a 19-week #1 hit that peaked with over 1000 points, and blocked 2 Taylor Swift singles hitting #1? Of course it was #1 on the YE. Morgan MIGHT have a shot at #1, but you are purposely acting dense, as if Morgan's song is anywhere near as dominant as OTR was during its peak :dies: Go outside and breathe some fresh air. Stop being weird about a black woman getting her first #1 in a white-dominated industry. Morgan will be #1 next week and you can continue your dick riding then

Posted
10 minutes ago, mintpasty said:

How have you been ranting for PAGES on this forum AND PULSE about trying to get a song by a racist man to #1, even when it's already been #1 for WEEKS? SZA won babes.

Also the OTR comparison :rip: a 19-week #1 hit that peaked with over 1000 points, and blocked 2 Taylor Swift singles hitting #1? Of course it was #1 on the YE. Morgan MIGHT have a shot at #1, but you are purposely acting dense, as if Morgan's song is anywhere near as dominant as OTR was during its peak :dies: Go outside and breathe some fresh air. Stop being weird about a black woman getting her first #1 in a white-dominated industry. Morgan will be #1 next week and you can continue your dick riding then

SZA will be #1 this week. I’ve accepted that.

 

My focus is now on the YE #1, and we have 8 months to go.

Posted
6 minutes ago, dussymob said:

Stop lying you just had a two-page rant. 

Do ya now if people bought kill bill then bought it again for this week, do those get filtered? Like I bought it 2 weeks ago then again this last week but I don't think it counts?

Posted

I actually was kind of hoping to see another year end #1 that never topped the Hot 100 after Levitating.

Posted
39 minutes ago, Machete said:

Being extremely cautious like that is pointless. Both Kill Bill and Flowers will leapfrog Anti-Hero within the next month going off the latest update.

I won’t even address the Last Night and OTR comparison :deadbanana:

Yes it was obvious and everyone already knew AH was going to be top 5 not 1, it really upset you that much that someone just mentioned AH being #1? :rip:

Posted
46 minutes ago, fridayteenage said:

someone saying something good about AH has you upset huh?

 

tumblr_6a36f06c600ef11d24a0f2a450aa3c71_

 

8 minutes ago, Andre2000 said:

Yes it was obvious and everyone already knew AH was going to be top 5 not 1, it really upset you that much that someone just mentioned AH being #1? :rip:

Swifties are really something because WHERE in my comment did it seem like I'm fuming at AH :deadbanana4: The user stated "even AH can be #1" which is not true so I replied saying so. I semi-stan Taylor. You would think that Swifties stanning the biggest artist in the world would not make them insecure :rip:

Posted

I prefer LN but with KB getting so close so many weeks I'm happy for KB at #1. KB has begun to decline so this is its last chance. LN will likely rebound the next week & has a lot of room to grow. LN also has no official remixes to download/stream yet either. I think that will change in the coming weeks as he'll need them for Dance/Mix & Rhythmic airplay. 

Posted
17 minutes ago, brianc33710 said:

I prefer LN but with KB getting so close so many weeks I'm happy for KB at #1. KB has begun to decline so this is its last chance. LN will likely rebound the next week & has a lot of room to grow. LN also has no official remixes to download/stream yet either. I think that will change in the coming weeks as he'll need them for Dance/Mix & Rhythmic airplay. 

This was what I was thinking. I mainly was rooting for the possibility of another Levitating situation where it goes year end #1 despite peaking at #2.

 

Last Night should return to #1 next week and stay parked atop for awhile. I don't see EBS getting to #1 as it needs upward of 45m streams to get there without radio airplay.

 

Also he could use a streaming rebound as a buffer. My calculations showed that it was a midweek slump in streaming for Last Night, not anything Kill Bill itself did, that moved SZA in the lead.

Posted

Final predictions:

 

Posted
13 minutes ago, B-Luke said:

Final predictions:

 

Excited to see Kill Bill finally get the #1, but if Billboard pulls a Levitating on SZA I’m done :rip: 

Posted
33 minutes ago, PurrKaty said:

Excited to see Kill Bill finally get the #1, but if Billboard pulls a Levitating on SZA I’m done :rip: 

It's not that close in points so Sza should be fine

 

Posted (edited)

would kill bill hold any specific record when it goes #1? like the word kill or bill? or just any random artist stat that billboard likes to add in their articles ? :fan:

Edited by SissyThatTwink
Posted

People that were rooting for Morgan in the earlier pages of this thread lost :dies:

Posted
6 minutes ago, krustysalt said:

People that were rooting for Morgan in the earlier pages of this thread lost :dies:

And also the people that were rooting for Princess Diana. That one is worse. There were 64 versions of that song out and they still couldn't come close to Morgan and SZA. Morgan has his faults, but at least the success of his music is organic.

Posted

Today‘s the day Camp get ready

 

amanda tanen catwalk GIF by HULU

Posted

Kittenz waitin in anticipation today 

Posted
1 hour ago, Zox said:

Excited for a long overdo #1 today

 

amanda tanen catwalk GIF by HULU

Is it 99% sure?

 

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