charts discussion Hot100 final predictions: Last Night #1, Radio sabotages Kill Bill

[B-Luke]

2 hours ago, Sscorpionn said:

 

 

Omg is she really taking it

[fridayteenage]

1 hour ago, LastKiss said:

Buy kill bill you faggss 

i only buy taylor songs 

[Margaux]

where is jimin. help

[SissyThatTwink]

KILL BILL IS NOW #4, #9, & #35 ON ITUNES. IT MIGHT HAPPEN GUYS HOLY SH IT

Edited April 6, 2023 by SissyThatTwink

[Sscorpionn]

49 minutes ago, SissyThatTwink said:

KILL BILL IS NOW #4, #9, & #35 ON ITUNES. IT MIGHT HAPPEN GUYS HOLY SH IT

And the Spotify gap narrowed down by over 75k streams yesterday 

 

if we can get the Sped-Up version in the top 10 and get the other versions to chart then we have a very good chance 

[pride4jc1222]

It looks like Kill Bill is going to pull a Bad Guy/Industry Baby. Like Crazy's sales are a wild card, though. I can see it as high as #6 (with 147k sales) and as low as 33 (with less than 60k sales).

[B-Luke]

9 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

It looks like Kill Bill is going to pull a Bad Guy/Industry Baby. Like Crazy's sales are a wild card, though. I can see it as high as #6 (with 147k sales) and as low as 33 (with less than 60k sales).

This is only their third tweet, are they reliable?

[dabunique]

1 hour ago, pride4jc1222 said:

It looks like Kill Bill is going to pull a Bad Guy/Industry Baby. Like Crazy's sales are a wild card, though. I can see it as high as #6 (with 147k sales) and as low as 33 (with less than 60k sales).

Kill Bill at number one .. finally ... and look at Jimin holding in da top 10 too ... sorry haters no record broken

[Lovett]

1 hour ago, B-Luke said:

This is only their third tweet, are they reliable?

I think you answered your own question there.

[pride4jc1222]

1 hour ago, B-Luke said:

This is only their third tweet, are they reliable?

I don't know, but nothing seems too terribly off with the prediction. It seems in line winston and lip's predictions, but with the website sales already factored in. The only big difference is the Like Crazy sales, but that's hard to predict and everyone is all over the place with that.

[yassskween]

8 hours ago, fridayteenage said:

i only buy taylor songs 

i can't at you admitting this ddd. Congrats being a simpleton.

[Sscorpionn]

1 hour ago, pride4jc1222 said:

It looks like Kill Bill is going to pull a Bad Guy/Industry Baby. Like Crazy's sales are a wild card, though. I can see it as high as #6 (with 147k sales) and as low as 33 (with less than 60k sales).

The layout looks identical to chart essentials but I fear it might be fake 

[Mattyboy]

1 hour ago, pride4jc1222 said:

It looks like Kill Bill is going to pull a Bad Guy/Industry Baby. Like Crazy's sales are a wild card, though. I can see it as high as #6 (with 147k sales) and as low as 33 (with less than 60k sales).

There’s no way Kill Bill is selling 31k, you kidding me?  

[Miley Cyrus]

How is last night doing 35M+ streams consecutively with ease  

Edited April 6, 2023 by Miley Cyrus

[I'm JAVIng Fun]

This is giving me flashbacks to 2021 with the whole Levitating fiasco.

[Element]

OMFGGGGG let me stream KB all day 

[Ger]

Mediabase re-calibration should have some effect, it's going to benefit Morgan btw, what an interesting week.  

[Green]

30 minutes ago, Ger-55 said:

Mediabase re-calibration should have some effect, it's going to benefit Morgan btw, what an interesting week.  

 

Levitating teas   

[Sscorpionn]

 

2 minutes ago, Ger-55 said:

Mediabase re-calibration should have some effect, it's going to benefit Morgan btw, what an interesting week.  

this is just so unfair. They could’ve waited two days to do it 
 

[Green]

59 minutes ago, Sscorpionn said:

 

this is just so unfair. They could’ve waited two days to do it 
 

 

**** mediabase radio 

 

3=

SZA - Kill Bill

98.65-7.66

 

28=

Morgan Wallen - Last Night

31.62-1.08

 

[pride4jc1222]

I'm kind of rooting for Kill Bill to get the #1 this week. It's been hovering around 300 points for 4 months now, and if we are using real points, this is the biggest song since Stay. (Even AIW was well below 300 points at this point in its run.)

 

Last Night has the potential to challenge KB for the YE #1, but it's already been #1 and likely going to be back there after this week.

[Sscorpionn]

17 minutes ago, Green said:

 

**** mediabase radio 

 

3=

SZA - Kill Bill

98.65-7.66

 

28=

Morgan Wallen - Last Night

31.62-1.08

 

 

they literally just made it impossible for her to challenge him now wow

 

can someone tell us how the hot100 was affected by the previous media base radio recalibration? 
 

@pride4jc1222 @Ger-55

Edited April 6, 2023 by Sscorpionn

[pride4jc1222]

10 minutes ago, Sscorpionn said:

 

they literally just made it impossible for her to challenge him now wow

 

can someone tell us how the hot100 was affected by the previous media base radio recalibration? 
 

@pride4jc1222 @Ger-55

This is how the last recalibration looked like: 

Here is a prediction from before the recalibration: 

And the same predictor's prediction after the recalibration: 

 

[Ger]

1 minute ago, pride4jc1222 said:

This is how the last recalibration looked like: 

The difference is that Billboard used to depend on BDSradio data last year, while they depend on Mediabase now, but with a slight difference because their panels are a little different, still the audience estimation is done by the same company that made the recalibration.

[Sscorpionn]

8 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

This is how the last recalibration looked like: 

Here is a prediction from before the recalibration: 

And the same predictor's prediction after the recalibration: 

 

Interesting. I hope that tweet is accurate   
 

 

7 minutes ago, Ger-55 said:

The difference is that Billboard used to depend on BDSradio data last year, while they depend on Mediabase now, but with a slight difference because their panels are a little different, still the audience estimation is done by the same company that made the recalibration.

so there’s a chance that the recalibration won’t have that much effect on billboard and it could just be the company making media base audience numbers on par with billboard’s estimates?