charts discussion 2022 Billboard Year-End Hot 100 Predictions: HW #1 AIW #2 STAY #3 EOM #4 CH #10

[Ger]

These are the predictions carried out by Cedric and Chart Essentials, that are really good charts predictors and and I am very grateful for their hard work.

 

Up to this point, the total 52 weeks on the "Billboard year" calendar are in!

 

 

 

Edited November 18, 2022 by Ger-55

[Genie in a Bottle]

Wow. I had no idea how slow the charts moved these days. Haven’t paid much attention to them in years. So many of these songs are well over a year old….

[ccfan007]

Idk how these predictions work or the point system BUT how can "Sweetest Pie" make this list so high up and "Bam Bam" no where to be found?

 

Sweetest Pie

YT: 51 Million

Spotify: 188 million

 

Bam Bam

YT: 113 million

Spotify: 450 million

 

 

Edited September 7, 2022 by ccfan007

[Nightingale]

12 minutes ago, ccfan007 said:

Idk how these predictions work or the point system BUT how can "Sweetest Pie" make this list so high up and "Bam Bam" no where to be found?

 

Sweetest Pie

YT: 51 Million

Spotify: 188 million

 

Bam Bam

YT: 113 million

Spotify: 450 million

 

 

Bam Bam was a big hit outside of the US  and those numbers are its worldwide numbers, not just US numbers. It did less well in the US especially compared to Sweetest Pie

[Armani?]

20 minutes ago, ccfan007 said:

Idk how these predictions work or the point system BUT how can "Sweetest Pie" make this list so high up and "Bam Bam" no where to be found?

 

Sweetest Pie

YT: 51 Million

Spotify: 188 million

 

Bam Bam

YT: 113 million

Spotify: 450 million

 

 

That's global streams, not US

[TrieLz]

I’m happy Ed will have a top 10 year end with “Shiver”

[Ivan_brit]

Uk Artist Dominating Harry Styles, Glass Animals, Ed Sheeran, Elton / Dua & Adele

[Jay T]

I literally don’t even know how the #1 even goes… billboard needs a change 

[Nip Tuck]

55 minutes ago, ccfan007 said:

Idk how these predictions work or the point system BUT how can "Sweetest Pie" make this list so high up and "Bam Bam" no where to be found?

 

Sweetest Pie

YT: 51 Million

Spotify: 188 million

 

Bam Bam

YT: 113 million

Spotify: 450 million

 

 

It’s based on chart points on Bullboard

[CandleGuy]

6 minutes ago, Jay T said:

I literally don’t even know how the #1 even goes… billboard needs a change 

How  Heat Waves is absolutely massive 

[Timber]

Wait, might Dua get another top 10 3 years in a row? Very impressive. 

[ithinkheknowsoutsold]

Around a third of the entries this year are by lead women, including women like Adele, Lizzo, Doja Cat, Dua Lipa, Beyonce, Olivia Rodrigo, Meghan Thee Stallion, Ariana Grande, and Taylor Swift.

[unclefloprry]

Heat Waves needs to chart only 3 more weeks to secure that #1 

[wish]

Not Big Energy top 5 with less than 200M Spotify streams

 

Radio NEEDS to be weighted down.

[Gerardo]

3 minutes ago, wish said:

Not Big Energy top 5 with less than 200M Spotify streams

 

Radio NEEDS to be weighted down.

Although I agree radio needs to be weighted down, BE was very local so most of those 200M streams are from the US, the song also did better on AM, and thanks to the Mariah remix its pure sales are really good 

 

OT: billboard should change the tracking period, starting these charts in November always benefits songs that peaked in nov-feb chart really high so by the time the year end is out they feel really old already, with a tracking period from Jan-Dec As it was would’ve probably been the #1 on the year end which feels more accurate, HW is still massive tho

[Ms. Togekiss]

Big Energy does NOT feel like a Year End Top 5  same with First Class

Stay does not feel like a 2022 hit, Shivers also feels very 2021

Ghost does not feel like a hit at all

Not to mention heat waves which is a 2020 song 

[Sesame]

Okay this glass animals song that’s over two years old needs to die off already my god. Who the f*ck is still streaming it? The way last summer I asked this same question. Is it going to follow us into 2023? 
 

 

[pride4jc1222]

2 hours ago, Sesame said:

Okay this glass animals song that’s over two years old needs to die off already my god. Who the f*ck is still streaming it? The way last summer I asked this same question. Is it going to follow us into 2023? 
 

 

Probably not because Lil Baby has an album coming out on 10/14 and Taylor Swift the following week, and I think that is where the run comes to an end for Heat Waves.

[Into The Void]

5 hours ago, Ms. Togekiss said:

Big Energy does NOT feel like a Year End Top 5  same with First Class

Stay does not feel like a 2022 hit, Shivers also feels very 2021

Ghost does not feel like a hit at all

Not to mention heat waves which is a 2020 song 

How tho?  Radio played all these too death which plays a major role in points

[Into The Void]

7 hours ago, ccfan007 said:

Idk how these predictions work or the point system BUT how can "Sweetest Pie" make this list so high up and "Bam Bam" no where to be found?

 

Sweetest Pie

YT: 51 Million

Spotify: 188 million

 

Bam Bam

YT: 113 million

Spotify: 450 million

 

 

The way Bam Bam has 2x the streams + more 

[Green]

I think Easy on Me could still finish at #5 instead of Big Energy

 

That "Big Energy" prediction is using the same points it got last week for the next 8 weeks which won't be true because points will be lower each week because radio, streams and sales are decreasing

[dabunique]

all Planet Her singles making da Top 100 in their second year lol

 

 

in total she has 7 entries, no wonder she's da Hot 100 artist of da year

 

Edited September 7, 2022 by dabunique

[Starkboy]

6. Super Gremlin 

8. Big Energy

 

Never heard these songs  and I check Spotify daily.

 

 

This year had been absolutely DRY for hits. Bar a few exceptions (As It Was and First Class), the majority of these songs were complete unevents or either old songs.

[MALAMENTE]

Rooting for Heat Waves 

[UnusualBoy]

Hope EOM end at #5 and not 6. She'd finish top 5 in both Hot 100 and BB200