HeavyMetalAura Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 Since 30's chart performance gets brought up frequently here, how well do we think she'll fare next time? I definitely see her faring worse than 30 considering she didn't really have another hit after EoM (which didn't seem like as much of show-stopping cultural moment as Hello), but I don't doubt her; she's still a huge star. People here love to discredit 30 as being "front loaded," and that may be somewhat true, but when 800k+ people buy your album in one week, you can't be anything but extremely relevant and successful no matter how you spin it or how much you sold last time. I say it largely depends on how long she waits. If she drops maybe 2 or 3 years from now, I can see her doing 500k+. Any longer, I feel like she'll drop into the 300-400k range. But to even say "Adele" and "300-400k" in the same sentence seems weird to me. I could see anything happening tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abrahamjmr Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 She'll do around 600k for her next album, but if the market continues the path it is going, it'll be 400k. That lazy ass ***** hasn't really promoted the album out of the two Hyde Park shows, new Vegas announcement and the BRITs and that interview in London. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Into The Void Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 it doesn't matter the Swifties will drag her anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheArgonaut Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 If she waits another 6 years, 400k at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zaynsus Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 Honestly, if she and her team don't learn from the mistakes they made with 30, I don't see her doing more than 300k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aspookykid Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 Atrl told me she’s in her flop era so let’s say 50k. Anything above that would be great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Both Sides Now Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 Pure sales continue to plummet and with stacks of 30s left unsold her label isn’t going to flood the market again. I genuinely think it’ll be 250-350k unless she can turn it around somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suspendedintheair Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 Don’t know and I don’t care. She’s sorry as **** for this era + I feel stupid and perplexed for buying a ticket to this residency despite still loving her and her music. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
duybeeGAshantiGA Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 (edited) It depends on a lot of things. For artists like Gaga or Bey or Ari, they have established a really solid fanbase so whatever project they put out, will do around 230-350k. Adele is a GP oriented artist, and they are fickle. If they like you at the hot moment, you can even push it to 1M with ease, but once you are over you can easily become a flop (Katy Perry, Lil Wayne, Ashanti sadly, Leona Lewis, etc.). So it depends on how Adele and her team play the cards next. She has lost quite a lot of likability with 30 and how she behaved like a diva recently, that resulted in 30 plummeting on the BB 200 real quick. So it depends on the music, how she damage-controls, how she apologizes to the GP... Edited August 10, 2022 by duybeeGAshantiGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MusicBiz234 Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 id say 250k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ninetiesceline Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 First week, it will still do pretty much the same with 30 (considering the same rollout of promos). I don't really see her selling below 500k in first week just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
byzantium Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 I don’t think there will be that much interest in 2032 when she releases 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xfreshkidxx Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 100k or below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
duybeeGAshantiGA Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Paranoid Android said: Gaga is not seeing 250k again. Ariana can with vinyls up first week and a bit of promotion. Adele will easily do 400-500k next album release week. But there won't be pent up demand with the next project. Lmao. Yall like to say a lot of things about Gaga and she always proves yall wrong again and again yall even said the same thing with Chromatica. Gaga will always have sth up her sleeve to pull sales. Her fanbase will always guarantee herat leas 130-170k. The rest of 40-80k will rely on the GP and her talent. Edited August 10, 2022 by duybeeGAshantiGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meev Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 24 minutes ago, Paranoid Android said: Gaga is not seeing 250k again. Ariana can with vinyls up first week and a bit of promotion. Adele will easily do 400-500k next album release week. But there won't be pent up demand with the next project. We will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QueenBLadyG Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 This is going to be interesting to see how her next record does depending on when she releases it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supertiffany Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 1 hour ago, Insanity said: it doesn't matter the Swifties will drag her anyway surely it will be bigger than fave's releases, especially globally and will have a song with longevity in the top 10, and not a 1-OUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supertiffany Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 37 minutes ago, duybeeGAshantiGA said: It depends on a lot of things. For artists like Gaga or Bey or Ari, they have established a really solid fanbase so whatever project they put out, will do around 230-350k. Adele is a GP oriented artist, and they are fickle. If they like you at the hot moment, you can even push it to 1M with ease, but once you are over you can easily become a flop (Katy Perry, Lil Wayne, Ashanti sadly, Leona Lewis, etc.). So it depends on how Adele and her team play the cards next. She has lost quite a lot of likability with 30 and how she behaved like a diva recently, that resulted in 30 plummeting on the BB 200 real quick. So it depends on the music, how she damage-controls, how she apologizes to the GP... the fiction, and the admiration of GP to Adele is bigger than whatever fans left Gaga has Adele still has 10 weeks #1 SOLO song more than 10 years in her career, when was the last time your fave did that. Adele might not have a huge fanbase but she is a GP darling and outside atrl or stan twitter, NOBODY CARES about what you've said. (the problem with 30 is the lack of streaming friendly ballads aka as Easy on Me or "25" ballads) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
duybeeGAshantiGA Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 (edited) 26 minutes ago, supertiffany said: the fiction, and the admiration of GP to Adele is bigger than whatever fans left Gaga has Adele still has 10 weeks #1 SOLO song more than 10 years in her career, when was the last time your fave did that. Adele might not have a huge fanbase but she is a GP darling and outside atrl or stan twitter, NOBODY CARES about what you've said. (the problem with 30 is the lack of streaming friendly ballads aka as Easy on Me or "25" ballads) Read my post and yours again to see how you didnt even understand what I said the way you clapbacked at me by saying basically what I said Reading comprehension. Edited August 10, 2022 by duybeeGAshantiGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeyace16 Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 She’s clearly over in the US. Her stand setting her up again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supertiffany Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 1 minute ago, duybeeGAshantiGA said: Read my post and yours again to see how you didnt even understand what I said the way you clapbacked at me by saying basically what I said Reading comprehension. you leveled Adele with Katy and other unknown singers, they are different level of GP driven singers the same way there are different kind of fanbase driven singers there are singers with big GP market, and there are singers with small fanbase market Adele fits the former, you know who fits that latter. again nobody outside twitter/atrl cared about what you've said, only bottom gays know such stan things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
naval23 Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 200k me thinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloröx Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 1 hour ago, supertiffany said: surely it will be bigger than fave's releases, especially globally and will have a song with longevity in the top 10, and not a 1-OUT Idk folklore already ahead of 30 in majority markets nowadays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GentleEarthquake Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 500k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
duybeeGAshantiGA Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 1 hour ago, supertiffany said: you leveled Adele with Katy and other unknown singers, they are different level of GP driven singers the same way there are different kind of fanbase driven singers there are singers with big GP market, and there are singers with small fanbase market Adele fits the former, you know who fits that latter. again nobody outside twitter/atrl cared about what you've said, only bottom gays know such stan things You cared enough. I said she is the same type of artists, but didnt say she was at the same level as Katy or others. Mind you, Lil Wayne was actually huge for quitea few eras. He has a couple of 1M+ debuts. Obviously Ádele was/is bigger. I mentioned them all bcuz they are similar in terms of GP artists, who dont have a cult-like following like Gaga/Ari/Bey. Taylor kinda has both: stanbase and GP. Thats why she is always hugel successful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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