charts discussion HDD predictions: Kendrick 350-400K, Jack 160-180K, Bad Bunny 125-150K, Post 250-275K

[Baby Judas]

Finally, after months of having #1s with just around 50k sales.  

 

[Askeroff]

Hollywood Bleeding did almost 500k (300k was from a stream alone)

so 250k seems very real 

Edited May 4, 2022 by Askeroff

[byzantium]

2 hours ago, UnusualBoy said:

Well, the biggest girls released late last year aka Taylor and Adele. I don't see any of the other big girls releasing this year since they're busy with other things, Dua is touring, Ariana is working on her movie, Rihanna is pregnant and lazy, Gaga will be touring and the only one left is Bey but we don't know anything about her releases most of time.

But that is the thing.  We only have maybe 5 MPGs who regularly release total these days.  Meanwhile there are 5 major male releases in the next 2 months.  There is definitely an imbalance. 

Edited May 3, 2022 by byzantium

[dreamsclique]

does kendrick have physicals?

[Green]

They are predicting more for Jack than Bad Bunny?   I hope they are right about it 

[More Than A Melody]

1 hour ago, byzantium said:

But that is the thing.  We only have maybe 5 MPGs who regularly release total these days.  Meanwhile there are 5 major male releases in the next 2 months.  There is definitely an imbalance. 

Taylor, Billie, Ariana, Dua, Doja, Cardi, Megan, Olivia, Gaga, Lana. All of them can go #1 with a good rollout. Adele releases very sporadically. RiRi well...

 

3 out of the 5 male releases you mention haven't released albums in 3 years or so.

 

With that said, there absolutely is an imbalance.

[Gerardo]

Bad bunny is being underestimated, he did 175k in 2020 with 20 tracks, this time he’ll have have 23 tracks and he’s way bigger, he’ll push 200k 

Post is being overestimated, he’ll debut above 120k  but not close to 200k 

I think the rest are accurate 

[1989]

They’re underestimating Kendrick and Bunny. 

[Protocol]

Post will do half of that if he’s lucky 

[BIAATCH]

Bad Bunny predictions will probably increase after the release

[Zoe_]

7 hours ago, byzantium said:

Are there no longer any women in music?  

The thing is women get slaughtered by Media and fan-bases far more than men.

[Martyr Of Fame]

Kendrick could do a lot better with (vinyl) preorders  

[Letemtalk]

How many of them had the album recorded and produced in 2021 and enough time for mixing, mastering, vinyl production and distribution in May 2022, or are some relying on streaming, digital and CDs?

[JCsNumba1Fan]

2 hours ago, Letemtalk said:

How many of them had the album recorded and produced in 2021 and enough time for mixing, mastering, vinyl production and distribution in May 2022, or are some relying on streaming, digital and CDs?

Idk about the rest, but Harry’s album is ready to go physically in multiple formats on release day. When you stay ready, you don’t have to get ready. 

[Jude]

They're overestimating.

[britxbrit]

I feel like they're overestimating Post and Jack and underestimating Kendrick. Weird.

[LastGreatBloodline]

I don't see Jack outdoing Bad Bunny

[GreatestLoveofAll]

I agree with the OP- had First Class not gone viral basically first week then the battle for #1 between Jack and BB would be much stiffer and I still think BB can pull an upset once the streaming #s come out.

 

Post hasnt had anything stick since 2020 so maybe 200k would be more feasible if his fanbase is loyal. 

[Mr. Duff]

Bunny will probably do more than Jack.

 

Love Post, but I don't think he'll even make 200k. 120k-150k would be my prediction for him. I'd love to be proven wrong though.

 

I feel like Kendrick can push 500k. Harry's one I agree, although he may do more given how he got more massive since the last release.

[DRjuss06]

8 hours ago, GreatestLoveofAll said:

I agree with the OP- had First Class not gone viral basically first week then the battle for #1 between Jack and BB would be much stiffer and I still think BB can pull an upset once the streaming #s come out.

 

Post hasnt had anything stick since 2020 so maybe 200k would be more feasible if his fanbase is loyal. 

Nah, Bad Bunny wouldve still come out on top. Everyone is understimating him and it is really infuriating when the guy is one of the biggest stars in the world. 

[Katamari]

On 5/3/2022 at 1:32 PM, Tusk said:

Several but mainstream likes to focus on basic pop music women 

 

[Yuanyu]

I think it's pretty clear that bad bunny is going to be #1.

[Baby Judas]

Bad is stomping on Jack on AM US. 

[PopFan1996]

Bad Bunny just hit #1 on US Apple Music and it's not even his strongest streaming platform. The Spotify numbers will be insane

There's no way he will debut with less than Jack Harlow's numbers.

Predicting 200-300k for his album. Jack Harlow 100-150k.

[PopFan1996]

On 5/4/2022 at 1:48 AM, More Than A Melody said:

Taylor, Billie, Ariana, Dua, Doja, Cardi, Megan, Olivia, Gaga, Lana. All of them can go #1 with a good rollout. Adele releases very sporadically. RiRi well...

 

3 out of the 5 male releases you mention haven't released albums in 3 years or so.

 

With that said, there absolutely is an imbalance.

The Lana sneak tho

She can only debut at #1 if the climax is low