movie Avatar: The Way of Water | Billions: 2 | Oscar Noms: 4 | Best Picture Noms: 1

[Liafen]

3 hours ago, tootight49 said:

They (Academy) would rather die than give Best Picture to Avatar. 

1) Seems they kinda hate JC - he has some weird reputation 

2) Movie is too motion capture and CGI for them 

3) They’d prefer to give a boost to smaller pics like Fablemans or Everything everywhere all at once

4) Too successful. No top grossing film has won Best Picture since Lord of the Rings

 

Has a shot at Best Director but even then the same issues above. 

The main issue is that it's not close to being worthy of a BP win. I liked it, planning my 3rd watch, but at best it should only sweep the technicals.

[tootight49]

37 minutes ago, BNF91 said:

Super early Thursday.. looking like $7M 

[tootight49]

50m weekend 

 

[BNF91]

That $7M Thursday early estimate is going to go up apparently.. might even slightly increase from Wednesday. Insanity. 

 

If that holds, then we are looking at a $42-48M weekend, either 3rd or 2nd biggest of all-time. With M3GAN finding success this weekend with a $20-25M+ opening, and Puss in Boots likely headed for an incredible hold at $12-14M, it looks like January box office is off to a solid start. 

 

 

Edited January 6, 2023 by BNF91

[BNF91]

My estimated totals by Sunday 

 

Domestic- $514M (off a $42-45M weekend)

Overseas- $1.2B (off a $120-125M weekend)

 

Global by Sunday- $1.714B 

 

[Reb'l Rêveur]

Top 10 overall already

[Reverse Warholian]

7 hours ago, BNF91 said:

Also, officially in the top 10 highest grossing films of all-time. 

 

[BNF91]

38 minutes ago, Reb'l Rêveur said:

Top 10 overall already

And so much more to make.. wild. 

[Reb'l Rêveur]

6 minutes ago, BNF91 said:

And so much more to make.. wild. 

#7 by the end of this week? would be awesome if it joins the 2billion club 

Edited January 6, 2023 by Reb'l Rêveur

[BNF91]

2 minutes ago, Reb'l Rêveur said:

would be awesome if it joins the 2billion club 

It will in about 3-4 weeks. Easily. We should be looking at $2.2-2.3B+ at this point. 

 

[Guest]

Jimmy won OMG

[mystery]

I am thinking 38-42m US weekend and above 100m international.

[Zerocoke]

$6.75M early estimates from Charlie. A x6-7 multiplier for the weekend takes it to $40-47M.

 

Hopefully it manages to reach the higher end of that number.

 

My predictions:

Friday: $12.5M (+85% vs. THU)

Saturday: $19M

Sunday: $13M

Total Weekend: $44.5M

 

 

[SmashingMiley]

I’m thinking of rewatching this for the 3rd time in IMAX 3D. 
 

The first two times i could only book third row from the front which is a little bit too close to the screen and my field of vision didn’t cover the entire width of screen.

 

So i’m asking for advice here: the “middle middle” seat (exact middle front to back, left to right) or the 2/3rd middle seat from the screen. Which one is worth it? 

Edited January 6, 2023 by SmashingMiley

[Reb'l Rêveur]

13 minutes ago, SmashingMiley said:

I’m thinking of rewatching this for the 3rd time in IMAX 3D. 
 

The first two times i could only book third row from the front which is a little bit too close to the screen and my field of vision didn’t cover the entire width of screen.

 

So i’m asking for advice here: the “middle middle” seat (exact middle front to back, left to right) or the 2/3rd middle seat from the screen. Which one is worth it? 

 

For me, it's always be the 3rd/4th row towards the back then middle seat for IMAX

[mystery]

Will be rewatching this for sure in the next few days! Wanted to go today but the cinema is fully booked...

Edited January 6, 2023 by mystery

[Bloodflowers.]

so much winning, ughhh poor obsessed GODvatar haterz

[BNF91]

First day I'm a little disappointed in the numbers.  With everything saying the number was tracking for $7M+. Still a great number. 

 

M3GAN is overperforming, I imagine it's solid previews might have done a small bit on A2's Thursday. But A2 should still win the weekend. It will be good to have multiple movies smashing, the cinemas need it badly. 

[BNF91]

$22M OS Thursday. Bit lower than I was expecting. Goes to show how high my expectations are though, because a $22M 3rd Thu is stellar still. Previous grosses were just in the stratosphere.

 

$1.075B OS total. With $471M Domestic, the global total going into the weekend is $1.546B. Anywhere from $1.69-1.71B by Sunday.

[BNF91]

Bit better for both numbers now. $6.8M domestic and $23.4M OS Thursday. 

[Butters]

we cheered

[SmashingMiley]

8 hours ago, Reb'l Rêveur said:

 

For me, it's always be the 3rd/4th row towards the back then middle seat for IMAX

Thanks for the tip! 

[Sharapov]

Good for this movie smashing but I think 3 will actually underperform, this movie was basically like avatar 1 2.0 so i wonder what they'll do with part 3...

[tootight49]

9 hours ago, BNF91 said:

First day I'm a little disappointed in the numbers.  With everything saying the number was tracking for $7M+. Still a great number. 

 

M3GAN is overperforming, I imagine it's solid previews might have done a small bit on A2's Thursday. But A2 should still win the weekend. It will be good to have multiple movies smashing, the cinemas need it badly. 

But $6.8M was your initial instinct before things went on to $7M+ 

[Donquizote]

People will always continue to underestimate Cameron even though he has already proven them wrong three times

I think once they release Avatar 3, people will think it will underperform but I think Cameron will prove them wrong again