news 2024 US Election Megathread 🇺🇸🏛️

[shelven]

Okay I'm back, what have you all decided to doom about now

[Chemist]

North Carolina is coming YIKES

[SmittenCake]

2 minutes ago, Poker Face said:

why? its an exit poll 

[Devin]

i think kamala will have a biden-like win. rough start but start snatching big electoral states.

[Lightbringer007]

WV for trump

[FrederickGa]

1 minute ago, Poker Face said:

why? its an exit poll 

Because it's an exit poll that is not a vague question/answer.. it's independents swinging 20% to TRUMP no?

[p1lotjones]

this is too stressful 

[lilrobomonster]

2 minutes ago, JennyWayne said:

Georgia will have a red mirage it seems

yeah the bomb threats made that almost certain

[Lightbringer007]

Just now, Devin said:

i think kamala will have a biden-like win. rough start but start snatching big electoral states.

a burner hit yep! longevity > peak

[Hector]

All these damn red wins reported first

[FameFatale]

Florida is just a lost cause 

[James_Dean]

This thread... oh lord.

 

[Communion]

5 minutes ago, nadiamendell said:

Interesting how Indiana is trending blue while southern states so far seem to be trending red. What is going on. 

On 10/28/2024 at 11:14 PM, Communion said:

Polls have kind of coalesced around two patterns:

• Harris UP bigly with white women and even some movement on educated white men, but significant dips amongst men of color;
• Harris only making moderate inwards with white women, but her losses with men of color are extremely marginal if at all;

In these types of polls, the white surge doesn't manifest in the Sun Belt but shows up in the Rust Belt.

And that a 270 or 276 electoral college victory could leave room to her winning the EC but losing the popular vote.

On 10/16/2024 at 7:02 PM, Communion said:

I think there's a clear chance she can win. But it'll be from running up white women in the Rust Belt.

 

Cross tabs across numerous polls just don't show white voters in the Sun Belt responding or breaking out into the same kind of gender polarization in the same way that she needs them to and as they look like to be doing in the Rust Belt.

 

Edited November 6 by Communion

[FrederickGa]

1 minute ago, Bloo said:

Don't panic y'all, but Trump just won West Virginia.

 

Shocking

[Wonderland]

I feel like the Georgia count is going to be messy as a lot of Atlanta polling sites are having their hours delayed due to bomb threats

[45seconds]

3 minutes ago, montacelo said:

Some of y'all need to be a little more serious, and you don't have to be dramatic all the time 

Like? A 1% reporting county is red and they are falling over themselves. 

[Vermillion]

 

[Bloodflowers.]

12 minutes ago, Hector said:

 

 

Bernie Sanders you will ALWAYS be famous

 

[RussianRoulette]

I loathe elections. The stress is too much.

[Mike91]

The early part of election night ALWAYS favors republicans. We do this every 4 years. 

[Azulito]

5 minutes ago, Adrian14 said:

It's true ?

 

 

Yes, South Carolina was always going to Trump. North Carolina is the one that could go to Kamala

[Mordecai]

Look at the NUMBERS, IGNORE the exit polls

 

Early numbers from Georgia are looking positive, the Atlanta suburbs that have reported a majority of their votes show Harris making good gains. Trump is NOT making gains in rural areas, the numbers are similar to 2020. Very early days but things are looking up at the moment

[mdnazn]

that one tweet that said if Virginia is called before 9PM, it bodes well for Harris

hmm 

[FrederickGa]

If the Exit Poll is favorable - Let's fvckin GO

if the Exit Poll is unfavorable - It's not real, it's a joke

 

That's very MAGA behavior

 

[rivers]

Cracking open my wine