GhostBox Posted October 18 Posted October 18 22 minutes ago, Vermillion said: The way they even frame this as a positive Trump thing when he's still less popular than she is 💀 the media sucks 3
parvatishallow Posted October 18 Posted October 18 5 minutes ago, GhostBox said: The way they even frame this as a positive Trump thing when he's still less popular than she is 💀 the media sucks I thought the same thing? Media literacy is at an all time low and they expect people to understand this without watching the video for context… 3
Lil Mistee Posted October 18 Posted October 18 Wew mawma this Georgia voter turnout is making me goon 5
Sannie Posted October 18 Posted October 18 59 minutes ago, Vermillion said: Lmao every time I see this dude it's always so negative and dramatic. 4
Popular Post shelven Posted October 18 Popular Post Posted October 18 1 hour ago, Vermillion said: "Trump's more popular than ever before while Harris is now in net negative favourability" is an insane way to frame Trump being at a -9 net favourability while Harris is at a net -0.8 3 1 12
Blade Posted October 18 Posted October 18 12 minutes ago, Lil Mistee said: Wew mawma this Georgia voter turnout is making me goon Day 1: 313k Day 2: 279k Day 3: 259k Day 4: 270k (still counting) + 63k absentees = 1.184M
spree Posted October 18 Posted October 18 these 3 weeks will seem like forever, but at the same time, time marches on and it will fly by and it will be behind us in an instant. 8
shelven Posted October 18 Posted October 18 19 minutes ago, Blade said: This is kind of giving "if I have a 50% chance of heads and I just hit tails twice in a row, that means I basically have to hit heads next time!" tbh. The real takeaway of this graph should simply be that polling error has an equal chance of overestimating Dems as it does of overestimating Republicans. 7
Tropic Posted October 18 Posted October 18 2 minutes ago, shelven said: This is kind of giving "if I have a 50% chance of heads and I just hit tails twice in a row, that means I basically have to hit heads next time!" tbh. The real takeaway of this graph should simply be that polling error has an equal chance of overestimating Dems as it does of overestimating Republicans. If anything this graph shows that in the past 40 years Republicans have only been overestimated by the polls a total of three times. Democrats have been overestimated 8 times. Same ratio if you extend it back 60 years. 1
Armani? Posted October 18 Posted October 18 @Communion What do you think about this ad? Apparently it's only aired in Philly https://host2.adimpact.com/admo/viewer/4ed65023-e11e-41a6-844d-9e860225008b/
Cruel Summer Posted October 18 Posted October 18 Not to jinx it, but I'm honestly starting to think - and hope - that things are pointing to a systemic overcorrection in favor of Trump in polling this year. The 538 model being a virtual dead heat, and even leaning 51-49 Trump right now, seems so divorced from reality, and so many strange things are being reported in polling samples. Maybe the American electorate really is just that conservative because of unmotivated young and minority voters, and maybe conservatives really are split between true enthusiasm for Trump and willingness to deal with him to further the rest of their agendas. But it just seems so weird. We know that the Dobbs decision has been effective in motivating Democratic voters, we know that internal Republican polling is showing alarm bells, we know the Harris ground game is stronger in swing states, we know so many things, and yet it's essentially a toss-up? It's so bizarre. 5 1
Lightbringer007 Posted October 19 Posted October 19 13 minutes ago, Armani? said: its giving walmart mega-church vibes 1
Sannie Posted October 19 Posted October 19 If polls are off again then we need to just shut that entire industry down lol. 3 2
dman4life Posted October 19 Posted October 19 20 minutes ago, Armani? said: All those black men in the audience 6
Sannie Posted October 19 Posted October 19 5 minutes ago, VOSS said: White leftists stop showing your asses challenge.
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