Lil Mistee Posted October 18 Posted October 18 (edited) Just double triple checking with you smart people. I'm helping my friends vote (some of them their first time) and voting precincts are based off your residential address yes? My friend just moved but his old address is on his voting registration. Eek Can he call the county clerks office to get it changed? I feel like Florida would be a state to throw out votes because of stuff like this. Edited October 18 by Lil Mistee
HausOfPunk Posted October 18 Posted October 18 Just now, Blade said: Silver's forecast now at 52% Trump win We are a coin toss away from the Handmaid's Tale 2
Яeo. Posted October 18 Posted October 18 57 minutes ago, Lil Mistee said: So this is just 2020 all over again except Kamala loses ga and gains nc yes? What happened in 2020?
Blade Posted October 18 Posted October 18 1 minute ago, Яeo. said: What happened in 2020? Biden won all the swing states except NC.
Blade Posted October 18 Posted October 18 Losing more than 1 pt in national polls is terrible this isn't the same race from 1 month ago 1
Blade Posted October 18 Posted October 18 1 minute ago, FameFatale said: If polls are right, and that's a big if, then a razor thin race is prime for there to be a split in the blue wall again. After all the margins in 2020 were 0.6 WI, 1.2 PA, and 2.8 MI. WI was 20k votes away from being red in 2020. 1
woohoo Posted October 18 Posted October 18 5 minutes ago, Blade said: If polls are right, and that's a big if, then a razor thin race is prime for there to be a split in the blue wall again. After all the margins in 2020 were 0.6 WI, 1.2 PA, and 2.8 MI. WI was 20k votes away from being red in 2020. I wonder if there's any recent data from 2022 that we can see if dems have over performed in those elections or not
Blade Posted October 18 Posted October 18 1 minute ago, woohoo said: I wonder if there's any recent data from 2022 that we can see if dems have over performed in those elections or not They over performed the polls in all of the blue wall iirc. 2
GhostBox Posted October 18 Posted October 18 10 minutes ago, Blade said: Losing more than 1 pt in national polls is terrible this isn't the same race from 1 month ago Isn't it funny when Kamala was close to 60% in his model (and many others) it didn't mean anything and was anyones ballgame still but trump Moves to 52% and he's got "momentum" 😂 2
Lil Mistee Posted October 18 Posted October 18 2 minutes ago, Blade said: They over performed the polls in all of the blue wall iirc. They massively over performed !
woohoo Posted October 18 Posted October 18 1 minute ago, Lil Mistee said: They massively over performed ! Well, let's hope it holds true again. I hate polls but if they can provide a baseline to see how we are performing compared to them, I can see how they can be useful there. I agree with another user, I think we are seeing a dying polling industry unless they think of ways to get more people to respond
Raspberries Posted October 18 Posted October 18 6 minutes ago, GhostBox said: Isn't it funny when Kamala was close to 60% in his model (and many others) it didn't mean anything and was anyones ballgame still but trump Moves to 52% and he's got "momentum" 😂 Literally lol i hate that ugly ******
Blade Posted October 18 Posted October 18 Over 1 million people have now voted in Georgia https://sos.ga.gov/page/election-data-hub-turnout 4 2
Relampago. Posted October 18 Posted October 18 1 hour ago, Lil Mistee said: I'd rather be dead in California than alive in Arizona Not too much sis — Emerson poll was cute. I expected worse based on how R-leaning they've been this election. 1
Tovitov Posted October 18 Posted October 18 I dont feel like worrying over Nate Silver either The next two plus weeks are going to have really close national polls and really close swing state polls. Thats just how its going to be. If that moves models, so be it. 5
Sannie Posted October 18 Posted October 18 42 minutes ago, Raspberries said: Here she go... here she go! So when Kamala was having huge gains, it was a no biggie, but now for Trump it's movement. These people are a joke. 41 minutes ago, Blade said: Losing more than 1 pt in national polls is terrible this isn't the same race from 1 month ago But the change is specifically bc of the **** right-wing polls that Nate refuses to change his views on. He still weighs some of them far too heavily. 2
Save-Me-Oprah Posted October 18 Posted October 18 Trump keeps getting more and more orange the further we get into fall he's like the leaves 7
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