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2024 US Election Megathread ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›๏ธ


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Posted
21 minutes ago, Blade said:

That AZ trump +3 poll is so frustrating because people are ticket splitting massively according to it.

Lake will lag behind Trump, but I think she'll overperform her current polling and the ticket splitting will be smaller as a result. We usually only see this degree of ticket splitting in a presidential year when the incumbent is uniquely well-liked in their state; I can't see it happening in a race with an open seat.ย 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Armani? said:

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Lol

After the two viral moments hammering him on 2020 election results, I'm not surprised at all

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Posted
7 minutes ago, shelven said:

Lake will lag behind Trump, but I think she'll overperform her current polling and the ticket splitting will be smaller as a result. We usually only see this degree of ticket splitting in a presidential year when the incumbent is uniquely well-liked in their state; I can't see it happening in a race with an open seat.ย 

It's just disheartening that even though we get tie AZ polls and the occasional +1 or 2 Harris poll, we've seen Trump hitting over 50% in a lot of these surveys.

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Conversely though, Kamala hits 50% in a lot of high quality PA/MI/WI polls.ย 
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Georgia behaves more like AZ polling wise this cycle and NC has just been pure tossup polling wise...

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Posted
15 minutes ago, GhostBox said:

Looks like she's gonna keep her if she wins ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿผ

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Good. Because myself and many, many others would have been disappointed.

This was a concern of mine and I'm happy it's been assuaged.

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Posted
17 minutes ago, FameFatale said:

She's still at it :deadbanana2:

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The obsession:bibliahh:

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Posted

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:suburban:

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Posted
Just now, nadiamendell said:

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:suburban:

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The power that a David Duke endorsement has :sistrens:ย 

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Posted
8 minutes ago, Liafen said:

After the two viral moments hammering him on 2020 election results, I'm not surprised at all

Everyone despises him. I think dems should use Vance's abysmal popularity in ads and in interviews to showcase how old and mentally unwell Trump is (just as they did with Biden and to be fair, democratic voters, too). By doing so forces the notion that Vance would be a step away from the presidency. Which to me, is actually more unsettling than Trump. :rip:ย  ย 

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Posted
7 minutes ago, nadiamendell said:

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Good. Jill is a clown. She has good policies but it's difficult to say just how genuine she is. Jill can promise a lot of great policies proposals because she knows she'll never be president. She's a disruptor and that's become quite clear to me through out the years.ย 

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Watched this interview in full the other day and it further showcases how unserious she is. She's still unable to deem Putin a war criminal.

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Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, FameFatale said:

Ehh I don't know. He's been a little more right leaning and upset at democrats since he left CNN. I believe he has said he's open to voting Trump too and feels bad for being so harsh on him :rip:

This is so disappointing and to think he used to be my favorite on CNNย :doc:

Edited by dman4life
Posted
7 minutes ago, i spit on haters said:

Good. Jill is a clown. She has good policies but it's difficult to say just how genuine she is. Jill can promise a lot of great policies proposals because she knows she'll never be president. She's a disruptor and that's become quite clear to me through out the years.ย 

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Watched this interview in full the other day and it further showcases how unserious she is. She's still unable to deem Putin a war criminal.

Exactly, and it's why I have such trouble with her as a candidate.ย 
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1.) She hasn't shown she's incorruptible, so there's no real reason to believe she won't go back on anything she said and her promises aren't empty because there's no burden of proof with her.

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2.) Her entire campaign is primarily built on criticizing Dems, which is fine, but making Dems the primary enemy and including "Trump too..!" as a small footnote isn't a good way to gain traction with voters who are actually sympathetic to the causes she claims to be for. I don't know how legitimate that finding is showing that she's hurting Republicans more now than Democrats, but it wouldn't shock me cause her platform's messaging is more anti-Democrat than anything else.

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Posted

I definitely agree that highlighting Trump's obvious decline and Vance's unlikeability will turn off some moderate Trump leaning voters.ย 

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Posted
23 minutes ago, ClashAndBurn said:

The power that a David Duke endorsement has :sistrens:ย 

She is such a troll.ย 

Posted

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Posted
29 minutes ago, nadiamendell said:

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:suburban:

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Ooop. Puttie may not cut that check after all.ย 

Posted (edited)

The way that seemingly "normal" and "smart" ppl can be so intellectually dishonest with themselves when it comes to Trump needs to be studied. I'm not talking about elected officials or pundits who want to keep their jobs but regular ppl who have nothing to lose by telling the truth. It's so bizarreย :biblionana:

Edited by dman4life
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Posted

Really feels like trump is on the path to winning now :dancehall3:

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Posted

Rally #2 coming up ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿผ

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Flanders said:

Really feels like trump is on the path to winning now :dancehall3:

Why do you say this?

Posted

Trump's campaign strategy has arguably never been worse but we keep popping in here with the dooming :toofunny2:

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I was super bearish on Harris until this month, but I only get more hopeful she's taking this as we get to the end. She's locked in, and Trump is hiding.

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Posted

Neither side should feel like they are going to lose because there's nothing to suggest in any of the polls that anyone has the edge over the other.ย :rip:

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Election night will be a different story.ย :skull:

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Posted

that trump town hall was BADย 

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and he's done terrible before but this was just a whole other league BAD

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